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5 th Risk Management Forum Wien, 10 - 11 September 2015 CHALLENGES FOR A CRO IN A NEARLY GONE CONCERN OPERATING ENVIRONMENT Carmine Candolfo Chief Risk Officer Banca Marche, Italy Disclaimer: the views expressed herein are exclusively those of the author and should not be interpreted as reflecting those of Banca Marche

CHALLENGES FOR A CRO IN A NEARLY GONE CONCERN OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

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Page 1: CHALLENGES FOR A CRO IN A NEARLY GONE CONCERN OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

5th Risk Management Forum

Wien, 10 - 11 September 2015

CHALLENGES FOR A CRO

IN A NEARLY GONE CONCERN

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Carmine Candolfo Chief Risk Officer

Banca Marche, Italy Disclaimer: the views expressed herein are exclusively those of the author

and should not be interpreted as reflecting those of Banca Marche

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FOREWORD Banca Marche highlights

Banca Marche is a very typical commercial retail bank, offering a wide range of

products and services…

… at the end of 2012 (last official figures available)…

was among the first 20 Italian banks in terms of total assets (23 bln)

had a very high market share in Marche Region

(25%, 23% deposits and 20% branches)

and about 1% of whole Italian market share

(1,0% loans, 0,8% deposits and 1,0% branches)

… its organization is now based on…

323 branches located in Central Italy, mainly in Marche Region

2750 employees

… and the most representative customers are

Individuals: about 380K

SME: about 100K

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Banca Marche was set up by merging Cassa di Risparmio di Pesaro, Macerata and

Jesi, three saving banks with over 150 years of history

Incorporation of Mediocredito Fondiario Centroitalia S.p.A., leasing company, and

majority ownership of Cassa di Risparmio di Loreto S.p.A. (Carilo S.p.A.)

SanPaolo Imi (now Intesa Sanpaolo) bought almost 7% equity of Banca Marche

Banca Marche carried out its last capital increase

by €180 mln in order to support its growth

On the 27th of August 2013, due to a lack of sound practices and an extreme

concentration in real estate sector, the Italian Supervisor, Banca d’Italia,

suspended the Bank Board and put the Bank under temporary management

Later Banca d’Italia, on the 15th of October, put the Bank under Extraordinary

Administration and definitively cancelled the Bank Board of Directors

Italian Interbank Deposit Protection Fund (FITD), a private-law mandatory

consortium recognized by Banca d’Italia, is now evaluating the bank

recovery through a relevant re-capitalization

FOREWORD Banca Marche history

1994

1997

2003

2012

2013

TODAY

TURNAROUND

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RISK CULTURE & RISK APPETITE

FROM GOING TO GONE CONCERN

OPERATIONAL RECOVERY

CONCLUSIONS

AGENDA

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GOING CONCERN

FROM GOING TO GONE CONCERN

GONE CONCERN

RISK CULTURE & RISK APPETITE Recent operational evolution of Banca Marche in a changing regulatory framework

More accurate

representation

of capital

adequacy

August

2013

Quick

identification

and simplified

quantification

of risk factors

undervalued

July

2013

Last

Annual

Report

(2012)

February

2013

New Top

Managers

including

CRO

June

2013

Start of

«GONE CONCERN»

with Extraordinary

Commissioners

October

2013

New

organization

model

January

2014

November

2012

Banca

d’Italia

Inspection

LIQUIDITY EVOLUTION*

CREDIT EVOLUTION*

March

2014

First

potential

buyer due

diligence

July

2015

Italian

Interbank

Deposit

Protection

Fund (FITD)

new due

diligence

(*) look

ahead

New Bank

Board of

Directors

April

2012

TURNAROUND

End of

Banca

d’Italia

Inspection

August

2013

Early

publications

of press

news on

a possible

crisis

situation

August

2012

2013 - 2015

Significant changes in International

Banking Regulation and Policy.

Continuous and rapid change in

the context of the Regulator

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RISK CULTURE & RISK APPETITE RAF: how roles and processes change

GOING CONCERN GONE CONCERN

CFO

45%

CRO

45%

Audit

10%

CFO

35%

CRO

60%

Audit

5%

In a “gone concern RAF” functions involved modify their relevance and

processes change their priorities

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RISK CULTURE & RISK APPETITE Review of business area prioritization

Focused communication towards institutional/significant local organizations

(by top management) and customers (by branch network) have to be addressed

Loans

Deposits

Wealth management

Capital market

Services

Deposits

Loans

Capital market

Wealth management

Services

Reputational

&

Liquidity

STRESSED RISK FACTOR

In a “gone concern”

context, external

communication becomes

a priority issue because of

the potential impact both

on reputational risk and,

indirectly, on liquidity risk

DETONATOR EFFECT:

CREDIT RISK

GONE CONCERN GOING CONCERN

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RISK CULTURE & RISK APPETITE Review of risk prioritization

Credit

Liquidity

Capital

Adequacy

Market

Operational

Business

GONE CONCERN GOING CONCERN

STRESSED RISK FACTOR

Liquidity /

Reputational

Credit /

Provisioning

Lack of

Capital

Market

Operational /

Reputational

Business

Liquidity Reputational Risk Risk

Credit Provisioning Risk Issue

Capital Lack of Adequacy Capital

Focus on provisioning and loan coverage adequacy

Focus on commercial actions to protect deposits and manage liquidity risk

Focus on RWA fine tuning to minimize lack of capital

Operational Reputational Risk Risk

Focus on recover of possible operational risk factor related to reputational risk

DETONATOR EFFECT:

CREDIT RISK

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CREDIT EVOLUTION

LIQUIDITY EVOLUTION

INT

O «

GO

NE

CO

NC

ER

RISK CULTURE & RISK APPETITE Recent operational evolution of Banca Marche: liquidity & credit evolution

Expiry

of first

potential

buyer

funding

April

2015

May

2015

Bond &

ABS market

placement

to write-off

former potential

buyer funding

August

2014

From Banca

d’Italia funding

to potential

buyer funding

From ECB to

Banca d’Italia

funding

September

2013

New

Loan

Policy

March

2014

PD/LGD

Model

Review

July

2014

July

2015

Credit

process

restructuring

Relevant

change in

Credit Policy

(Coverage and

Provisioning)

December

2013

TURNAROUND

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AGENDA

RISK CULTURE & RISK APPETITE

FROM GOING TO GONE CONCERN

OPERATIONAL RECOVERY

CONCLUSIONS

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FROM GOING TO GONE CONCERN Processes prioritization in a context of «going concern»

The new EU Banking Regulation introduced new tasks in terms of credit risk management,

with high impact in terms of organization, especially in IT and Human Resources.

This led to the structuring of different related processes …

… a "gone concern" bank requires a strong review of the priorities for many

single processes in consideration of the strategic evolution expected

Hot topic

Low time criticality

High time criticality

Source: Bain Analysis

BAIN Financial Services Brief

January 2015

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FROM GOING TO GONE CONCERN New processes prioritization

“Gone concern“ context and new processes prioritization …

Some solutions have been taken in order to achieve a cost/benefit optimization HUMAN RESOURCES

• Introduction of a specific «Solidarity Fund», which allowed early retirement to about 300 staff (10% resources)

• Staff transfer from Head Office to Branches Network

ICT

• Application Management, external management of ICT applications

•Recovery e resolution plan

•Bail-in tools

•LCR /NSFR

Higher Importance

•Leverage Ratio

• ICAAP

•AQR stress test

•SREP

•Remuneration

•…

Lower Importance

Others Processes

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RECOVERY OPTIONS

FROM GOING TO GONE CONCERN Recovery options

STAND ALONE

Maintenance / consolidation of the ICT

investments for strategic projects

Consolidation of the investments and

HR optimization in the strategic areas • IRB / AMA projects

• Reporting and information

Medium term revision of the strategy

on core business processes (no further

development on non core business),

focusing on what we already know how

to do, trying to do it better!

ACQUISITION / AGGREGATION

Reduction of ICT investments on strategic projects

Reduction / optimization of HR in strategic

development areas

• IRB / AMA projects

• Updates M/L term stress test

De-prioritization of

• ICAAP / ILAAP

• RAF

• Policy

Focus on control activities

Strong optimization (ICT / HR / Strategy)

on core business operating costs

Early Internal Assessment supported by the CRO

Supports and facilitates the identification of business to focus on (core and non core)

Evaluates internal interconnections between risks, business and activities

Supports and facilitates the identification of critical functions/departments processes

MOST LIKELY SCENARIO

(ITALIAN MARKET )

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AGENDA

RISK CULTURE & RISK APPETITE

FROM GOING TO GONE CONCERN

OPERATIONAL RECOVERY

CONCLUSIONS

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OPERATIONAL RECOVERY Exit strategy: CRO topics

In the most likely scenario the CRO supported the following purposes

Strategic Analysis

& Controls

Control the flow of information and manage the relationships with the Supervisor

Creation of a centralized coordination unit for 2nd level permanent controls

Capital Management - RWA fine tuning

Risk Analysis

Revision and extension of quantitative risk management models

Management of flow of information (hide critical ones!) between functions

Adoption of a single rulebook and valuation metrics

Strengthen integrated planning and risk management operational framework

Governance

Bank as a strongly integrated entity, with strong cooperation between functions

and clearly-defined roles and responsibilities

Identify managers not in tune with the most likely scenario because risk of failure

strongly increase in a gone concern context

ICT / Processes

Enhance processes and information management to support the ongoing strategic

decision process, the proactive management of the budget and the risk prevention

Unique business process mapping

In a “gone concern” context, in order to support the increase of the bank intangible asset

value, the CRO has to improve some strategic functions, consolidating a more correct “risk

culture” and aligning with the best practices

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UNDER CRO DIRECT CONTROL

CRO INVOLVED

OPERATIONAL RECOVERY Exit strategy: CRO relevant projects

MACRO AREAS OF EVOLUTION

Internal

Control System

Permanent

Controls

RAF &

Internal Policies

Credit

Monitoring

AML

Data

Quality

IRB Validation

Process

AMA Validation

Process

Liquidity

Compliance

Under a new managerial approach, in order to achieve this goal, given all the relevant ICT

constraints and the limited use of specialized consulting activities, the use of specialized

professional training has been very helpful

Optimization of

control processes

Review

CRO ICT

NEXT FOCUS

Process &

ICT Revision

Regulatory

Compliance

Medium Term

Strategic Objectives Governance

CAPTION

Strategic Analysis

& Controls

Risk Analysis

Governance

ICT / Processes

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The "gone concern" context led to a significant review of control processes and measuring risk

tools, in order to optimize and standardize as much as possible highly FTE absorbing activities

OPERATIONAL RECOVERY Process & ICT revision: optimization control processes

Reporting produced with engineered processes

• Identification, development and optimization of databases reporting (timing, certification,

single platform company)

• Development of automatic reporting, for Network and Head Office

Internal rating system and credit processes review

Maintenance of the rating system in IRB framework

• Integrating information for development of leasing models of PD and LGD

• Revision of segmentation of the Group risk

New Process/Risk /Control Map integrating the 2nd level control function areas

Integration of control processes across different control functions

• Credit monitoring of 2nd level and AML

• Local Permanent Controls Staff and 2nd level controls

Process engineering control of 2nd level in a GRC application for

• Reduction FTE involved in control activities

• Planning interventions

• Work-flow certification

AREAS PROCESS & ICT REVISION ACTIVITIES

INFORMATION

ARCHITECTURE

CONTROL

PROCESSES

NEW RISK

METRICS

PROCESSES

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In pursuit of greater integration, mechanisms for coordination between the control functions

have been set up in terms of taxonomy of processes, risk map, methodologies used and the

flows of information

OPERATIONAL RECOVERY Regulatory Compliance: Internal Control System

RISK AND

PERFORMANCE

INTERNAL

CONTROL SYSTEM

GOVERNANCE

ORGANIZATION

& COORDINATION

OF CONTROL

FUNCTION

INVESTMENT

IN ICT

AREAS OBJECTIVES

Logical connection within the control model between • Capital adequacy (ICAAP)

• Performance control (focus in pricing model)

• Liquidity control

Creating single Repository with rules and responsibilities of each organ /

Supervisory Commission / management / supervisory control model

Centralized management of follow-up on the control system

Organizational collocation and hierarchical reporting

Areas of responsibility

Centralization / decentralization

Dimensions and synergies of scale (units specialized tests)

Control methodologies

Integration evaluation models

Datawarehouse for remote controls

Single Repository for processes, risks - events, controls

Single Control work flow

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CONTROLS

OPERATIONAL RECOVERY Regulatory Compliance: credit monitoring (1/2)

PROJECTS

1. New Credit Department

organization for impaired

loans management with a

focus on the NPL portfolio

2. Outsourcing

of small ticket

impaired loans

collection

3. New Credit Department

organization to support

the management of

impaired loans

6. Rationalization

and focus on the

Corporate loans

management

4. Review of the

performing loans

management

processes

5. Review of grid of delegated

powers and rationalization

of the branches network

operational model

OBJECTIVES

Controls of single

positions delegated

to Committees and

Board of Directors

(ex ante control)

Quantitative

controls on

loan portfolio

(ex post control)

Local permanent

controls on loan

management and

credit strategies

compliance

(ex post control)

Strengthen

the recovery

processes of non

performing loans

+ Improve the

high risk and

the past due

credit quality

+ Optimize the

processes of lending

and the loan portfolio

management

The monitoring conducted by the CRO focuses on 2nd level controls which tend to evaluate

the proper implementation of policies and regulations.

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1. New Credit Department organization for impaired loans management with a focus on the NPL portfolio

Upgrade of the Debt Collecting Office

Create a support office to liaise with the loans collecting agent

Start the process in the continuous collection of outdoor practices with reduced exposure

Review management processes for NPL

Establishment, within the Credit Department, of a dedicated Office

Corporate Relationship Officer to support General Manager with high standing customers

Software to support the activity of corporate specialized management

6. Rationalization and

focus on the Corporate

loans management

Grid of delegated powers to optimize workloads based on the risk taken

Decentralize the Commercial Network (Regional Office) for the Retail and Small Business segment

Acquisition of software to support the network in credit decisions

New applications and / or currency until the draft revision of the loan application

Review of internal structure to support Regional Credit Areas

5. Review of grid of

delegated powers and

rationalization of the

branches network

operational model

Update Early Warning process: statistical model and operating framework review

Review of credit status and of the Credit Division set up according to new EBA Regulation

Review of the Loan Policy

3. New Credit Department

organization to support

the management of

impaired loans

Reduction of number of interventions on the performing and / or abnormal files with the support of

specialists in Regional Credit Offices

Assign tasks to manage files in pre-litigation and administrative management of impaired positions /

past due outsourced (external collection)

Handling of problem loans at the Head Office, where specializations is greater

4. Review of the

performing loans

management processes

OPERATIONAL RECOVERY Regulatory Compliance: credit monitoring (2/2)

Start the process of external collection practices with reduced exposure

Define the rules of selection and handling of files to be outsourced

Definition of policies / regulations to activate the outside credit collection in continuous for new loans

2. Outsourcing of small

ticket impaired loans

collection

GUIDELINES PROJECTS

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AGENDA

RISK CULTURE & RISK APPETITE

FROM GOING TO GONE CONCERN

OPERATIONAL RECOVERY

CONCLUSIONS

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CONCLUSIONS Nearly gone concern operating environment

The conditions of a nearly gone concern operating environment typically are the

presence of inadequate processes and operational behaviours not correctly

oriented… no sound practices!!

The CRO role in such an operating environment is very critical

CRO must have a good reputation and be generally acknowledged within the

organization through a significant role

during the transition between going and gone concern CRO should

• be totally unrelated to the dynamics that led to the crisis and not be conditionable by

"environmental factors“… it's easier if CRO comes from outside!!

• quickly identify the risk factors that, before the crisis, were not fully emerged and quickly

provide a quantification even accepting simplifications… timeliness is much more important

than absolute accuracy!!

• identify managers who can be part of the solution, preferably if coming from outside, therefore

not related to the path that led to the crisis

• establish a relationship of trust with the new Board of Directors and/or Top Management

in charge, in order to make himself available for the turnaround required

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CONCLUSIONS Gone concern operating environment

The prerequisites of sound practices in a gone concern operating environment are

the removal both of inadequate processes and of operational behaviours not

correctly oriented…

… the CRO in such an operating environment must have

a broad overview to better understand the interconnected problems

a strong commitment on removing the critical internal factors, in order to

• identify the functional dynamics not operating properly

• identify the relational dynamics to understand the “critical” relationships existing within the

bank management

o “critical” does not mean that within the top management must exist one single thought

o “critical” means that the mechanism based on dialectical contraposition does not work properly

• provide possible solutions to problems according to a holistic view and, above all, don’t

waste time in waiting for someone else to solve all the problems

• increase the intangible asset value of the bank through a strong consolidation of a correct

“risk culture” and a path of gradual and sustainable alignment with the best practices

• not let people operate under a constant uncertainty framework!!

Page 24: CHALLENGES FOR A CRO IN A NEARLY GONE CONCERN OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

THANK YOU

Carmine Candolfo [email protected]