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CitiHabitats 4 Quarter / Year-End 2009 Report
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RESIDENTIAL RENTAL MARKET REPORTFourth Quarter 2009 / Year-End Review
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Citi Habitats Residential Rental Market Report4th Quarter / Year-End Review 2009 Our results for December 2009 continued the pattern seen during the prior eight months of 2009 of minor price adjustments providing us with further evidence that the Manhattan rental market had found its footing in terms of pricing. Additionally, vacancy rates which historically increase during this period actually decreased slightly over November’s rate, indicating positive absorption in the market.
Results for the 4th Quarter 2009 vs. 3rd Quarter 2009 also were atypical of past market trends. Because the 3rd Quarter figures include peak season rental tallies, adjustments in rental prices and vacancy rates in the 4th Quarter are usually notable. However, during this 4th Quarter we saw only nominal decreases in both rental pricing and a marginal increase in the vacancy rate.
As we expected, the 2009 rental market underwent price corrections. Prices on average are approximately 7% lower than in 2008 and this adjustment does not include landlord incentives such as free rent which, when factored in, would make price reductions greater. Vacancy rates are marginally higher in 2009 (but continue to remain below 2%) from 2008 totals. However, over 3,700 new rental units came to market during 2009 (south of 96th Street) and we saw incredible absorption with respect to this new product. During this period, CHMG, Citi Habitats’ development marketing group, rented Silver Towers at a very brisk pace, renting over 40% of market-rate units during its launch phase as well as the lease-up or completion of Dwell95, The Westbourne, Greystone, and The Hub.
In 2009 Citi Habitats reached the incredible milestone of renting over 12,900 apartments in one year, an increase of 23% as compared with the 2008 total of more than 10,500 rental transactions. Many factors came into play during the year that contributed to achieving this incredible feat. 2009 was a great year to be a renter; because of the combination of lower prices and landlord incentives, amazing rental opportunities existed in the marketplace. Some, previously priced out of the Manhattan market and living in an outer borough were now able to afford an apartment in Manhattan. Many upgraded and moved to a larger space or a neighborhood closer to their job for less or equal rent. In any event, these indicators are a clear testament to the health and vitality of the rental market and the long-term prospects of our great City.
Please note the following with respect to this report:
1. The statistics in this report were compiled using solely Citi Habitats closed transactions during the stated period(s).2. Average rents cited in this report are, for the majority, gross rents, not net effective rents, and do not include
landlord incentives, unless the face rent reported on the lease was the net-effective amount. Factoring in rent concessions, average rents may be between 5% to 7% lower. However, not every rental transaction contains a landlord concession.
We hope you will find this study informative and we welcome any questions you may have regarding it. Sincerely,
Gary Malin, President We find more New Yorkers homes than any other brokerage firm.
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
1800+
2600+
4Q 2008 4Q 2009
total 2009 Rental tRansactions
Overall transactional volume for Citi Habitats for the 4Q 2009 was more than 2,600 transactions, representing an increase of more than 30% in the total number of transactions from the 4Q 2008 total of more than 1,800 transactions.
total 4Q Rental tRansactions
Overall transactional volume for Citi Habitats for 2009 was more than 12,900 transactions, representing an increase of 23% in the total number of transactions from the 2008 total of more than 10,500 transactions.
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5,000
7,500
10,000
12,500
15,000
10,500+
2008 2009
12,900+
RENTAL MARKET ANALYSIS: 4th Quarter 2009
AVERAGE RENTS: Q4/09 Market-wide for Manhattan, the average 4Q 2009 rental price for a studio was $1,733, representing a decrease of 1.5% from 3Q 2009; a one bedroom, $2,343 representing a decrease of 3.3% from 3Q 2009; a two bedroom, $3,294 representing a decrease of 2.6% from 3Q 2009; and three bedroom, $4,591 representing a decrease of 3.3% from 3Q 2009.
VACANCY RATES: Q4/09 The overall vacancy rate for Manhattan for 4Q 2009 was 1.79% representing a 0.08% increase in the vacancy rate from the 3Q 2009 rate of 1.71%.
A comparison of vacancy rates, by neighborhood, reveals that the SoHo/Tribeca area had the least amount of available apartments at 1.05%, while the Upper East Side, at 2.24%, ranked highest.
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aVeRaGe Rent sUMMaRY: Q4/09
location stUDio 1BR 2BR 3BR
Chelsea 2048 2908 4381 5239
East Village 1804 2281 3224 4100
Gramercy/Flatiron 2035 2852 3912 5047
Harlem 1112 1438 1680 2215
Lower East Side 1698 2033 2782 3490
Midtown East 1818 2370 3520 5026
Midtown West 1926 2494 3428 4422
Morningside Heights 1321 1851 2262 3012
Murray Hill 1731 2398 3157 4213
VacancY sUMMaRY: Q4/09
location stUDio 1BR 2BR 3BR
neiGHBoRHooD VacancY Rate
BPC / Financial Dist 2.05%
Chelsea 1.33%
East Village 1.72%
Gramercy 2.09%
Midtown East 2.18%
Midtown West 1.53%
Murray Hill 2.05%
SoHo/TriBeCa 1.05%
neiGHBoRHooD VacancY Rate
oVeRall BlenDeD aVeRaGes: Q4/09
New Development w/ DM* 2434 3573 5972 8396
Doorman 2144 3054 4402 5659
Elevator*** 1758 2452 3723 5412
Walkup** 1602 2041 2686 3910
BlDG classiFication stUDio 1BR 2BR 3BR
0
1
2
2.5
1.5
.5
1.881.962.36
ManHattan Rental VacancY Rates: Q4/09
Q4/08 Q1/09 Q2/09 Q3/09 Q4/09
* New Developments include all rental and condo buildings built after 2003. **Walkup averages include brownstone and townhouse rentals. ***Elevator averages in the downtown neighborhoods include a significant number of loft rentals compared to other neighborhoods.
SoHo/TriBeCa 2130 3145 5042 6898
Upper East Side 2.24%
Upper West Side 2.06%
West Village 1.34%
overall Vacancy: Q4/09 1.79%
overall Vacancy: Q3/09 1.71%
Difference 0.08%
Wall Street/BPC 2054 2728 3781 4943
Upper East Side 1569 2087 3043 5131
Upper West Side 1688 2351 3484 5401
Washington Heights 1073 1360 1800 2049
West Village 1993 2845 3916 5383
average: Q4/09 1733 2343 3294 4438
average: Q3/09 1760 2423 3381 4591
% change -1.5% -3.3% -2.6% -3.3%
average: Q4/08 1841 2527 3551 4712
% change: Q4-08/09 -5.9% -7.3% -7.2% -5.8%
overall Vacancy: Q4/08 1.96%
Difference: Q4 - 08/09 (0.17%)
1.71
1.76
RENTAL MARKET ANALYSIS: 2009 vs 2008
AVERAGE RENTS: 2009 Market-wide for Manhattan, the average 2009 rental price for a studio was $1,757, representing a decrease of 6.7% from 2008; a one bedroom, $2,406 representing a decrease of 7.7% from 2008; a two bedroom, $3,411 represent-ing a decrease of 7.8% from 2008; and three bedroom, $4,560 representing a decrease of 6.9% from 2008.
VACANCY RATES: 2009 The overall vacancy rate for Manhattan for 2009 was 1.93% representing a 0.51% increase in the vacancy rate from the 2008 rate of 1.42%.
A comparison of vacancy rates, by neighborhood, reveals that the SoHo/Tribeca area had the least amount of available apartments at 1.35%, while the Upper East Side, at 2.38%, ranked highest.
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aVeRaGe Rent sUMMaRY: 2009 vs 2008
location stUDio 1BR 2BR 3BR
Chelsea 2058 2959 4369 5463
East Village 1824 2372 3286 4281
Gramercy/Flatiron 1994 2965 4124 5132
Harlem 1170 1504 1855 2192
Lower East Side 1719 2162 2951 3750
Midtown East 1805 2399 3819 5210
Midtown West 1866 2457 3574 4664
Morningside Heights 1372 1952 2455 2999
Murray Hill 1835 2408 3255 4364
VacancY sUMMaRY: 2009 vs 2008
location stUDio 1BR 2BR 3BR
BPC / Financial Dist 2.02%
Chelsea 1.58%
East Village 2.10%
Gramercy 1.99%
Midtown East 2.36%
Midtown West 1.76%
Murray Hill 2.09%
SoHo/TriBeCa 1.35%
neiGHBoRHooD VacancY Rate
0.00
1.50
2.50
2.372.242.46
ManHattan Rental VacancY Rates: 2009
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
SoHo/TriBeCa 2181 3230 5086 7097
neiGHBoRHooD VacancY Rate
Upper East Side 2.38%
Upper West Side 1.98%
West Village 1.64%
overall Vacancy: 2009 1.93%
overall Vacancy: 2008 1.42%
Difference: 2009/2008 0.51%
Wall Street/BPC 2069 2819 4001 5081
Upper East Side 1608 2167 3070 5164
Upper West Side 1760 2366 3497 5475
Washington Heights 1064 1393 1820 2092
West Village 2037 2945 4009 5431
average: 2009 1757 2406 3411 4560
average: 2008 1883 2608 3700 4898
% change -6.7% -7.7% -7.8% -6.9%
overall % change -7.3%
2.28
1.72 1.621.65 1.671.83 1.86 1.87 1.84
RENTAL MARKET ANALYSIS: December 2009
AVERAGE RENTS: 12/09 Market-wide for Manhattan, the average December 2009 rental price for a studio was $1,740, representing an increase of 1% from November 2009; a one bedroom, $2,299 representing a decrease of 2% from November 2009; a two bedroom, $3,278 representing a decrease of 1% from November 2009; and three bedroom, $4,375 representing a decrease of 2% from November 2009.
VACANCY RATES: 12/09 The overall vacancy rate for Manhattan for December 2009 was 1.84% representing a 0.03% decrease in the va-cancy rate from the November 2009 rate of 1.87%.
A comparison of vacancy rates, by neighborhood, reveals that the Chelsea area had the least amount of available apartments at 1.20%, while Mid-Town East, at 2.24%, ranked highest.
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* New Developments include all rental and condo buildings built after 2003. **Walkup averages include brownstone and townhouse rentals. ***Elevator averages in the downtown neighborhoods include a significant number of loft rentals compared to other neighborhoods.
ManHattan Rental VacancY Rates: 12/09
aVeRaGe Rent sUMMaRY: 12/09
location stUDio 1BR 2BR 3BR
Chelsea 2100 2909 4384 5150
East Village 1841 2159 3289 4050
Gramercy/Flatiron 2075 2804 3883 5087
Harlem 1120 1455 1648 2132
Lower East Side 1731 2031 2725 3500
Midtown East 1826 2413 3491 5028
Midtown West 1904 2544 3351 4338
Morningside Heights 1340 1767 2199 2898
Wall Street/BPC 2053 2637 3778 4877
Murray Hill 1701 2234 3130 3710
SoHo/TriBeCa 2190 3048 5130 6900
Upper East Side 1504 2056 3026 5150
Upper West Side 1605 2276 3466 5400
Washington Heights 1050 1330 1813 1973
West Village 2065 2827 3857 5425
average 1740 2299 3278 4375
location stUDio 1BR 2BR 3BR
VacancY sUMMaRY: 12/09
neiGHBoRHooD VacancY Rate
BPC / Financial Dist 1.86%
Chelsea 1.20%
East Village 1.90%
Gramercy 1.86%
Midtown East 2.24%
Midtown West 1.53%
Murray Hill 2.03%
SoHo / TriBeCa 1.23%
Upper East Side 2.16%
Upper West Side 2.17%
West Village 1.41%
overall Vacancy 1.84%
neiGHBoRHooD VacancY Rate
oVeRall BlenDeD aVeRaGes: 12/09
New Development w/ DM* 2430 3681 5977 8784
Doorman 2096 2978 4322 5695
Elevator*** 1708 2419 3690 5279
Walkup** 1539 1988 2601 3751
BlDG classiFication stUDio 1BR 2BR 3BR
Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 09
0%
1.25%
2.50%
2.24 2.24 2.46 2.372.28
1.72 1.65 1.671.86
1.621.83 1.87 1.84
RENTAL MARKET ANALYSIS: November 2009
AVERAGE RENTS: 11/09 Market-wide for Manhattan, the average November 2009 rental price for a studio was $1,728, representing no change from October 2009; a one bedroom, $2,345 representing a decrease of 2% from October 2009; a two bedroom, $3,298 representing no change from October 2009; and three bedroom, $4,445 representing a decrease of 1% from October 2009.
VACANCY RATES: 11/09 The overall vacancy rate for Manhattan for November 2009 was 1.87% representing no change in the vacancy rate from the October 2009 rate of 1.86%.
A comparison of vacancy rates, by neighborhood, reveals that the SoHo/Tribeca area had the least amount of available apartments at .98%, while the BPC/Financial District, at 2.22%, ranked highest.
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* New Developments include all rental and condo buildings built after 2003. ** Walkup averages include brownstone and townhouse rentals. *** Elevator averages in the downtown neighborhoods include a significant number of loft rentals compared to other neighborhoods.
ManHattan Rental VacancY Rates: 11/09
aVeRaGe Rent sUMMaRY: 11/09
location stUDio 1BR 2BR 3BR
Chelsea 2006 2898 4434 5215
East Village 1754 2292 3308 4099
Gramercy/Flatiron 2013 2842 3925 5017
Harlem 1125 1402 1653 2156
Lower East Side 1750 2009 2799 3466
Midtown East 1816 2376 3555 5028
Midtown West 1920 2486 3402 4428
Morningside Heights 1300 1838 2267 3095
Wall Street/BPC 2089 2784 3745 4925
Murray Hill 1750 2385 3164 4410
SoHo/TriBeCa 2134 3199 4999 6889
Upper East Side 1577 2081 2998 5175
Upper West Side 1674 2378 3502 5360
Washington Heights 1083 1341 1800 2089
West Village 1936 2863 3913 5325
average 1728 2345 3298 4445
location stUDio 1BR 2BR 3BR
VacancY sUMMaRY: 11/09
neiGHBoRHooD VacancY Rate
BPC / Financial Dist 2.22%
Chelsea 1.50%
East Village 1.59%
Gramercy 2.20%
Midtown East 2.18%
Midtown West 1.44%
Murray Hill 2.00%
SoHo / TriBeCa .98%
Upper East Side 2.15%
Upper West Side 2.07%
West Village 1.38%
overall Vacancy 1.87%
neiGHBoRHooD VacancY Rate
oVeRall BlenDeD aVeRaGes: 11/09
New Development w/ DM* 2406 3550 5942 8330
Doorman 2137 3042 4391 5575
Elevator** 1766 2472 3713 5386
Walkup*** 1592 1985 2621 3953
BlDG classiFication stUDio 1BR 2BR 3BR
Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sep Oct nov 09
0%
1.25%
2.50%
2.042.24 2.24 2.46 2.37
2.28
1.72 1.65 1.671.86
1.621.83 1.87
RENTAL MARKET ANALYSIS: October 2009
PEAK SEASoN AVERAGE RENTS: 10/09 Market-wide for Manhattan, the average October 2009 rental price for a studio was $1,731, representing a decrease of 1% from September 2009; a one bedroom, $2,384 representing a decrease of 1% from September 2009; a two bedroom, $3,307 representing a decrease of 1% from September 2009; and three bedroom, $4,494 representing a decrease of 1% from September 2009.
PEAK SEASoN VACANCY RATES: 10/09 The overall vacancy rate for Manhattan for October 2009 was 1.86% representing a slight increase in the vacancy rate from the September 2009 rate of 1.83%.
A comparison of vacancy rates, by neighborhood, reveals that the SoHo/Tribeca area had the least amount of available apartments at .95%, while the Upper East Side, at 2.41%, ranked highest.
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* New Developments include all rental and condo buildings built after 2003. ** Walkup averages include brownstone and townhouse rentals. *** Elevator averages in the downtown neighborhoods include a significant number of loft rentals compared to other neighborhoods.
ManHattan Rental VacancY Rates: 10/09
aVeRaGe Rent sUMMaRY: 10/09
location stUDio 1BR 2BR 3BR
Chelsea 2039 2916 4325 5353
East Village 1817 2393 3075 4150
Gramercy/Flatiron 2016 2911 3928 5038
Harlem 1090 1458 1739 2358
Lower East Side 1613 2058 2821 3505
Midtown East 1811 2322 3515 5023
Midtown West 1954 2453 3530 4500
Morningside Heights 1322 1948 2319 3042
Wall Street/BPC 2019 2762 3820 5026
Murray Hill 1742 2576 3176 4519
SoHo/TriBeCa 2067 3187 4998 6905
Upper East Side 1625 2123 3104 5068
Upper West Side 1786 2398 3485 5444
Washington Heights 1086 1410 1786 2086
West Village 1977 2846 3977 5400
average 1731 2384 3307 4494
location stUDio 1BR 2BR 3BR
VacancY sUMMaRY: 10/09
neiGHBoRHooD VacancY Rate
BPC / Financial Dist 2.06%
Chelsea 1.30%
East Village 1.66%
Gramercy 2.20%
Midtown East 2.12%
Midtown West 1.61%
Murray Hill 2.12%
SoHo / TriBeCa .95%
Upper East Side 2.41%
Upper West Side 1.93%
West Village 1.22%
overall Vacancy 1.86%
neiGHBoRHooD VacancY Rate
oVeRall BlenDeD aVeRaGes: 10/09
New Development w/ DM* 2465 3489 5998 8075
Doorman 2199 3141 4493 5708
Elevator** 1801 2465 3765 5571
Walkup*** 1675 2149 2836 4027
BlDG classiFication stUDio 1BR 2BR 3BR
Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sep oct 09
0%
1.25%
2.50%
1.71
2.042.24 2.24 2.46 2.37
2.28
1.72 1.65 1.67
1.86
1.621.83