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©Copyright Kennedy and Coe, LLC 2010All rights reserved.
04/10/2023 1
Agriculture
What to expect in 2014
©Copyright Kennedy and Coe, LLC 2010All rights reserved.
04/10/2023 4
The market environment will be much different the next 3-5 years compared to the last 5 years,the profit environment for the protein business will be much greater than the grain business.
©Copyright Kennedy and Coe, LLC 2010All rights reserved.
©Copyright Kennedy and Coe, LLC 2010All rights reserved.
©Copyright Kennedy and Coe, LLC 2010All rights reserved.
04/10/2023 10
Source: http://www.agmanager.info/livestock/marketing/outlook/newsletters/Figure1.asp
A larger herd is on the way!
Replacement heifer numbers will be higher again in 2014.
©Copyright Kennedy and Coe, LLC 2010All rights reserved.
04/10/2023 13
©Copyright Kennedy and Coe, LLC 2010All rights reserved.
04/10/2023 14
©Copyright Kennedy and Coe, LLC 2010All rights reserved.
04/10/2023 15
©Copyright Kennedy and Coe, LLC 2010All rights reserved.
04/10/2023 16
©Copyright Kennedy and Coe, LLC 2010All rights reserved.
04/10/2023 17
©Copyright Kennedy and Coe, LLC 2010All rights reserved.
04/10/2023 18
Source: USDA-NASS
©Copyright Kennedy and Coe, LLC 2010All rights reserved.
04/10/2023 19
©Copyright Kennedy and Coe, LLC 2010All rights reserved.
04/10/2023 20
Political and consumer impacts
• Farm bill• Tax reform• Global trade• Sustainability
©Copyright Kennedy and Coe, LLC 2010All rights reserved.
04/10/2023 21
Agriculture in 2014• Don’t know if the drought is over.• Crops should be less profitable than past year.• Cow-calf and ranching should be profitable.• Feedlots should have mixed results.• Dairies need a strong milk price for
profitability.• Land values should plateau at some point.
©Copyright Kennedy and Coe, LLC 2010All rights reserved.
04/10/2023 22
Additional Information
• K&C website www.kcoe.com• Farmers for Tax Fairness www.fairfarmtax.com• Cattle Fax website www.cattlefax.com• Ag Manager website www.agmanager.info• NASS website www.nass.usda.gov• Email address and phone number– Doug Claussen [email protected] 970-685-3500