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Company LOGO Impact of the Single Fee Impact of the Single Fee An Analysis An Analysis

Concerned Members of Moss Creek Single Fee Presentation

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The presentation delivered at Bostwick Paviliion January 22, 2007.

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Page 1: Concerned Members of Moss Creek Single Fee Presentation

Company

LOGO

Impact of the Single FeeImpact of the Single Fee

An AnalysisAn Analysis

Page 2: Concerned Members of Moss Creek Single Fee Presentation

The IssuesThe Issues

• Competitiveness and Home Value

• Fairness

• Golf Pricing and Choices

Page 3: Concerned Members of Moss Creek Single Fee Presentation

The Economic EnvironmentThe Economic Environment

• Real Estate Market—End of the Bubble– Rising Inventory– Falling Prices– Record Vacancies/Foreclosures– Bottom—2010?

Page 4: Concerned Members of Moss Creek Single Fee Presentation

Real Estate Sales BubbleReal Estate Sales Bubble

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

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3500

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2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Real Estate Sales

Recovery is not Projected to begin until 2010

HH

I U

nits

Sol

d

Page 5: Concerned Members of Moss Creek Single Fee Presentation

Golf-Revenue and Cost ChallengeGolf-Revenue and Cost Challenge• 2000-2007—Long Term Decline

– Rounds Played*– Revenues*– Construction* – Popularity*

“People retiring in the next 10-15 years are going to have golf as one of many things they do….not the only thing they do.”

Vice President, Toll Brothers Golf Division

*All Falling

Page 6: Concerned Members of Moss Creek Single Fee Presentation

Moss Creek’s MarketMoss Creek’s Market

• Where Do People Choose to Live?

• 134 Housing Communities in HHI/Bluffton

• 24 Comparable to Moss Creek• 5 Comparables are Single Fee• 19 Comparables are “Choice”

Four out of five buyers—80 percent—purchase homes in “choice” communities.

Page 7: Concerned Members of Moss Creek Single Fee Presentation
Page 8: Concerned Members of Moss Creek Single Fee Presentation
Page 9: Concerned Members of Moss Creek Single Fee Presentation
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Page 12: Concerned Members of Moss Creek Single Fee Presentation

The Bottom Line

• Buyers in the “Single Fee” community market do not purchase homes in the price range where Moss Creek houses sell.

• 8 out of 10 potential purchasers buy homes in communities that offer a “Choice.”

Moss Creek’s MarketMoss Creek’s Market

Page 13: Concerned Members of Moss Creek Single Fee Presentation

Costs of the Single FeeCosts of the Single Fee

• Cost

• Fairness

Page 14: Concerned Members of Moss Creek Single Fee Presentation

Note: The average annual increase in fees in single fee communities is 7%, not including annual special assessments.

Page 15: Concerned Members of Moss Creek Single Fee Presentation

Transfer Fee: Compounding Our Problem

Transfer Fee: Compounding Our Problem

• At $23,000 Among Highest in HHI/Bluffton– 53% Increase From 2003-2008

• Serious Disadvantage in Market– 5% of Sale Price for Average Home in 2008

• Annual Cost for a 15-Year Homeowner:– $1500/year on Top of Annual Assessment

Page 16: Concerned Members of Moss Creek Single Fee Presentation

Transfer Fee: Compounding Our ProblemTransfer Fee: Compounding Our Problem

Community Transfer Fee % of Av. Sale Price (2007)

Moss Creek $23,000 4.6%

Colleton River $15,000 1.4%

Belfair $16,400 1.9%

Berkeley Hall $ 7,000 0.6%

Wexford $20,000 1.2%

Long Cove $15,000 1.0%

Moss Creek has the most expensive real estate transfer fee in our market

Page 17: Concerned Members of Moss Creek Single Fee Presentation

Costs of the Single FeeCosts of the Single Fee

What is Fair?

The Burden• 1800 Residents and 448 Annual Plan Golfers*….

– 74% Pay For the Recreation of 26%– $725K ( $1K each in 2007) to Subsidize Annual Golf Play

An Aging Population• 385 Residents—21% of Moss Creek—75 Years or Older

– Less Likely or Able to Play– 10%—126 Residents—Over 80 By 2010

*An additional 54 people purchased 10-40 round packages or renter package plans. Data from 2007.

Page 18: Concerned Members of Moss Creek Single Fee Presentation

Year Under 40

40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79 >80

2000 N/A 4.7% 25.3% 38.1% 27.7% 2.5%

2003 N/A 3.3% 20.2% 41.2% 28.4% 5.5%

2006 3.4% 3.8% 18.1% 38.9% 28.6% 6.9%

Distribution of Age at Moss Creek

Tri-Annual Moss Creek Membership Survey

Page 19: Concerned Members of Moss Creek Single Fee Presentation

Top Reasons residents left Moss Creek 2003 2006

Move to Assisted Living 3.0% 8.0%

Move Closer to grandchildren 13.9% 20.0%

Higher Fees 7.6% 8.9%

Economic Reasons 15.2% 22.0%

Other 48.2% 34.0%

No Answer 11.4% 8.0%

Tri-Annual Moss Creek Membership Survey

Page 20: Concerned Members of Moss Creek Single Fee Presentation

The Single Fee and Our HomesThe Single Fee and Our Homes

• Will We Be Competitive?• Negative Impact <$500,000

– 60% of all Moss Creek Homes• Major Problem <$400,000

– 35% of all Moss Creek Homes• Positions Moss Creek in Wrong Market

– 80% of Home Buyers Select “Choice” • Unfair Shift of Financial Burden

– Golf Subsidy and Age Issue

Page 21: Concerned Members of Moss Creek Single Fee Presentation

A Community Strategy for Moss CreekA Community Strategy for Moss Creek

• Goals– Maintain Quality Courses– Support Other Pursuits and Interests– Manage Prudently and Fairly

• Challenges– Declining Golf Participation– Weak Housing Market– Falling Revenues

Page 22: Concerned Members of Moss Creek Single Fee Presentation

A Community Strategy for Moss CreekA Community Strategy for Moss Creek

Golf Pricing—The Central Issue

• What’s a Fair Price?

• What a Fair Way to Share the Burden?

Benchmarking….

Page 23: Concerned Members of Moss Creek Single Fee Presentation

A Community Strategy for Moss CreekA Community Strategy for Moss Creek

Benchmarking

• Golf – Major Cost Driver

• 35% of Operating Budget ($2.8M in ‘07)• 21% of 5-Year Capital Spending Plan ($835K)

– Declining Popularity and Under-Used Courses• Only 1 out of 5 New Buyers Choose Annual Golf• Courses Idle 60% of Each Day

Page 24: Concerned Members of Moss Creek Single Fee Presentation

A Community Strategy for Moss CreekA Community Strategy for Moss Creek

• Benchmarking

• How Does Moss Creek Compare?– Private Clubs– Semi-Private Clubs

• A Sample– Sea Pines Country Club– Country Club of Hilton Head

Page 25: Concerned Members of Moss Creek Single Fee Presentation

A Community Strategy for Moss CreekA Community Strategy for Moss Creek

• Benchmarking

Common Measure For Annual Golf Plans

• Per Round – Price– Costs– Financial Performance

Page 26: Concerned Members of Moss Creek Single Fee Presentation

A Community Strategy for Moss CreekA Community Strategy for Moss Creek

Price Per Round

With Cart

Cost Per Round Gain/(Loss)

Moss Creek* $31.66 $52.22 ($20.56)

Sea Pines CC $53.37 $53.28 $0.09

CC Hilton Head $52.30 $47.50 $4.80

•Benchmarking Annual Plans•Average Price, Cost, Performance per Round

*Includes annual subsidy of $820 from the Moss Creek 2006 assessment of $3366.

Page 27: Concerned Members of Moss Creek Single Fee Presentation

A Community Strategy for Moss CreekA Community Strategy for Moss Creek

Moss Creek Today

Moss Creek Single Fee

Sea Pines CC CC of Hilton Head

Greens Fees $2622.00 $556.00 $3092.00 $3660.00

Annual Plan Subsidy $1022.00 $1091.00

Cart Fees $2754.00 $3277.00 $3464.00 $2592.00

Total $6398.00 $4924.00 $6556.00 $6252.00

Per Person Annual Price $3199.00 $2462.00 $3278.00 $3126.00

Price Per Round With Cart* $33.67 $25.91 $53.37 $52.30

A Single Fee: How Will Current Annual Family Plan Golfers Benefit?

*Based on average number of rounds played by annual family plan unlimited golf members at Moss Creek, Sea Pines, and CC of Hilton Head in 2006

Page 28: Concerned Members of Moss Creek Single Fee Presentation

A Community Strategy for Moss CreekA Community Strategy for Moss Creek

• Benchmarking Annual Plans– Average Price, Cost, Performance per Round

• The Issue– How to Price Golf Annual Plans Fairly

• Annual Golf Plans Discounted 40% Below Cost

• “Pay A Fair Share to Play”

Page 29: Concerned Members of Moss Creek Single Fee Presentation

Do We Have Choices?Do We Have Choices?

• Fair Golf Fees

• Annual Golf Pricing

– $1000 Increase to a Benchmarked Price?

– The Result:

• $300,000

• Outside Revenue

• Target Key Markets

– 4 More Foursomes Per Course?

– The Result:

• $600,000

Page 30: Concerned Members of Moss Creek Single Fee Presentation

A Community Strategy for Moss CreekA Community Strategy for Moss Creek

Revenue Goals

What’s the Impact on Moss Creek?

• 5 Foursomes Per Course• 20 Players @ $50 Round

• Gross Annual Revenue: $600,000*

• Impact: Negligible

– Added Play: 1 Hour Per Day For Each Course

*Based on 300 Playable Days

Page 31: Concerned Members of Moss Creek Single Fee Presentation

A Community Strategy for Moss CreekA Community Strategy for Moss Creek

Outside Golf: The Facts About Privacy

Who’s in Moss Creek Monday Through Saturday….

On Average Each Day:– 80 Daily Vehicle Pass Holders– 30 out of the 150 Annual Vehicle Pass Holders

275-300 People On Average Every Day…

Page 32: Concerned Members of Moss Creek Single Fee Presentation

A Community Strategy for Moss CreekA Community Strategy for Moss Creek

Name Vehicle License Number

Driver’s License Number

Credit Card Number

Phone Number

Security Deposit

Daily Vendor Pass Yes No No No No No

Annual Vendor Pass

Yes Yes No No No No

Outside Golfer Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes

Outside Golf: The Facts About Security

Page 33: Concerned Members of Moss Creek Single Fee Presentation

A Community Strategy for Moss CreekA Community Strategy for Moss Creek

Page 34: Concerned Members of Moss Creek Single Fee Presentation

A Community Strategy for Moss CreekA Community Strategy for Moss Creek

• The Way Forward– Fair Pricing: Benchmarking Fees and Costs

– New Income: Growing and Diversifying Revenue

– Realistic Budgeting: Managing For Challenges Ahead