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DNV GL © SAFER, SMARTER, GREENER DNV GL ©
Energy Efficiency and its Transformative Power
1
DNV GL - Energy, Dubai office
Riyadh, KSA – Tuesday 8th December 2015
DNV GL ©
Energy industry drivers: the Energy Trilemma & technology
2
Affordability
Reliability Sustainability
The past
Refo
rmin
g
The future
Gas
The past
Electricity
DNV GL ©
Ongoing Climate Negotiations in Paris
The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia has submitted its Intended Nationally Determined
Contribution (INDC) to the United Nations, seeking to achieve GHG emission
reductions of up to 130 millions tCO2eq by 2030 annually through economic
diversification and adaptation.
3
DNV GL ©
Japan
USA
1 2 3
UK 0.8
2
0.9
KSA
Industrial Energy Intensity
Steel
1.4
Industrial energy Intensity per GDP level
(UN, 2014)
DNV GL ©
Buildings & Appliances
ENVELOPE HVAC LIGHTING
(SEEC, 2013)
DNV GL ©
Energy Efficiency: energy use per capita (toe/y)
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(BP, 2014)
DNV GL ©
Energy Efficiency: an investment- not a cost
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(Chatham House, 2012)
Models predict KSA becoming a net oil importer in 25 years
DNV GL ©
Mandatory Energy Efficiency Program Framework
Sub-sectors of Energy
Efficiency savings goals
Initiatives to achieve
Energy Efficiency
savings goals
Enablers to
implement initiatives
Mandatory EE savings goals
Sectors
Buildings Transport Industry
New buildings
Existing buildings
New plants
Existing
plants
New
fleet
Existing
fleet
Initiatives Initiatives Initiatives Initiatives Initiatives
EE savings goals
Regulations (specific to initiatives)
ESCO’s (Energy Service Companies)
Funding
Governance
Awareness
(SEEC, 2013)
DNV GL ©
Energy Efficiency: business as usual vs. improved efficiency
KSA domestic energy consumption
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(Chatham House, 2012)
DNV GL ©
Machine Learning is building computer
programs that automatically improve with
experience.
Tom Mitchell
DNV GL ©
There are multiple applications for ML – e.g. in Energy
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Detect
Forecast
Control
Optimize
Manage
Scheduling
Flexibility
Offers
Forecast
DNV GL ©
Italian Utility benefits from savings
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USD 600 Million
DNV GL ©
SAFER, SMARTER, GREENER
www.dnvgl.com
Thank you
13