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1
Financial inclusion to achieve the
Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) in India
Shiladitya Chatterjee
International Seminar on Financial Inclusiveness
Department of Commerce, Calcutta University18 March 2016
2
Financial inclusion – definitions and purpose
• Rangarajan Committee on Financial Inclusion (2008) ―Process of ensuring access to financial services; and ―Providing adequate credit where needed to vulnerable groups such
as weaker sections and low income groups at affordable cost
• Raghuram Rajan Committee on Financial Sector Reforms (2014) —Broadening of financial services to those who do not have access; —Deepening of financial services for people who have minimal
financial services; and —Promoting financial literacy and consumer protection for clients to
enable them make appropriate choices
• Latter definition has no special focus on poor and vulnerable• Also, these definitions tend to view financial services as goal by
themselves and not as instruments to achieve higher order goals such as the Sustainable Development Goals
3
Financial inclusion - India compared to other countries
UK
South Korea
US
China
Thailand
Brazil
Russian Fed.
India
Indonesia
Bangladesh
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
98.9
94.4
93.6
78.9
78.1
68.1
67.4
53.1
36.1
31
21.1
18.2
23.3
9.6
15.4
11.9
10.3
6.4
13.1
9.9
Proportion of adults (15+) with accounts, and borrowings (%)
Proportion of adults borrowed Proportion of adults with accounts
Source: World Development Indicators
4
The SDGs - growth, inclusion and sustainability
GOAL 1. End poverty in all its forms everywhere
GOAL 2. End hunger, achieve food security and improved nutrition and promote sustainable agriculture
GOAL 3. Ensure healthy lives and promote well-being for all at all ages
GOAL 4. Ensure inclusive and equitable quality education and promote lifelong learning opportunities for all
GOAL 5. Achieve gender equality and empower all women and girls
GOAL 6. Ensure availability and sustainable management of water and sanitation for all
GOAL 7. Ensure access to affordable, reliable, sustainable and modern energy for all
GOAL 8. Promote sustained, inclusive and sustainable economic growth, full and productive employment and decent work for all
GOAL 9. Build resilient infrastructure, promote inclusive and sustainable industrialization and foster innovation
GOAL 10. Reduce inequality within and among countries
GOAL 11. Make cities and human settlements inclusive, safe, resilient and sustainable
GOAL 12. Ensure sustainable consumption and production patterns
GOAL 13. Take urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts
GOAL 14. Conserve and sustainably use the oceans, seas and marine resources for sustainable development
GOAL 15. Protect, restore and promote sustainable use of terrestrial ecosystems, sustainably manage forests, combat desertification, and halt and reverse land degradation and halt biodiversity loss
GOAL 16. Promote peaceful and inclusive societies for sustainable development, provide access to justice for all and build effective, accountable and inclusive institutions at all levels
GOAL 17. Strengthen the means of implementation and revitalize the global partnership for sustainable development
5
SDG 1: Poverty reduction through financial inclusion: access to banking
• In recent years phenomenal bank branch expansion has occurred• Mainly through Business
Correspondents (BCs)• But 43% of accounts lie dormant
according to World Bank• Deposits expanded, but remain low
by developing country standards; and credit availed even smaller
• Attempts to improve previous approach being made through Jan Dhan Yojana
―By combining account opening with other services such as Direct Benefit Transfer (DBT), credit, pensions, insurance
―Through focus on financial literacy―Better remuneration for BCs
1-Jan-10 1-Jan-11 1-Jan-12 1-Jan-13 1-Jan-140
50000100000150000200000250000300000350000400000450000
Expansion in number of bank branches, total and through BCs 2010-2014
BankingOutletsinVillages—Total BankingOutletsinVillages—BranchlessMode
1-Jan-10 1-Jan-11 1-Jan-12 1-Jan-13 1-Jan-140
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Deposit and credit expansion 2010-2014
Deposits (Rs. billion) OD facility availed in BSBDAs (Rs. billion)
Rs. b
illio
ns
Source: RBI quoted in Nair and Tanka, Inclusive Finance Report, Oxford University Press, 2014
6
SDG 1: Poverty reduction through financial inclusion (cont.): microfinance as test of quality of inclusion• Self help groups (SHGs) serve 63% of microfinance
clients ― But SHGs account for only 3.4% of total agricultural
credit ― Causes are
― High risk (and NPAs) despite group lending― High transactions costs― Poor capacities
• Microfinance institutions (MFIs) serve 37% of microfinance clients
— MFIs account for only a third as much of micro-credit as SHGs
— MFI model not sustainable as— Their borrowing rates leave little margins requiring high
volumes and higher on-lending rates
• There is a tendency to reduce role of microfinance after Andhra crisis
— But only 11% of Andhra household debt was from MFIs
— Over-regulation may hurt industry even more— Deposits can solve problem – Bandhan example— Greater role for SHGs also needed with scaling up of
successful models as there is wide variation in microfinance penetration in the country
1999-00
2000-01
2001-02
2002-03
2003-04
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
0500
100015002000250030003500400045005000
Credit to SHGs by SCBs, RRBs and Cooperatives compared to total agriculture credit 2011-12
SHG Lending Total credit to agriculture
Lend
ing
₹ bi
llion
s
Andhra Prad
eshKera
laGoa
Tripura
Uttarakhan
d
Mahara
shtra
Haryana
PunjabBihar
Meghalay
a
Gujarat
Madhya
Pradesh
Uttar Prad
esh
Arunach
al
Mizoram
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Microfinance Poverty Penetration Index (2014)(MPPI=share of state in SHG clients/share in poor)
Source: RBI, Nair and Tankha (2014)
7
SDG2: Eliminating hunger and achieving food security through financial inclusion• Share of agriculture in SCB lending
low (13%) and stagnating• Lending by specialized institutions
(RRBs and cooperatives) to agriculture still minor (33%)• Rural cooperatives must perform well• Vaidyanathan Committee
recommendations not fully implemented
• Loan waiver affected health
• Share of marginal farmers in SCB lending is low (30%) compared to share in holdings (67%)
• Problem of risk and high transactions costs• Risks be tackled by specialized
institutions (such as cooperatives) functioning properly
• Costs can be lowered by mobile banking – currently only 1% by volume and mainly urban.
2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-150
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
Non-food credit outstanding by scheduled commercial banks total, and to agriculture
Total non-food credit outstandingTotal credit outstanding to agriculture
₹ Bi
llion
)
Source: RBI, Agricultural Census 2010-11
SDG3: Universal access to health care – the role of health insurance for poor
• In India 6.2% of people are impoverished by catastrophic health events
• Universal access to health care difficult through direct public provision alone
• Publicly supported health insurance can fill an important gap
• But India’s initiatives on health insurance leaves most uncovered
• The Central Government’s flagship Rashtriya Swastha Bima Yojana (RSBY) is still quite ineffective
― Of total intended coverage (70 million poor households by 2017); so far 40 million covered
― Extreme poor left out and many non-BPL families may have captured benefits
― RSBY caps benefits at ₹ 30,000 per family per year – results in increasing health costs according to an EPW study
― Helping mainly urban poor and middle income rural population
• Realistic solution is to focus on health insurance for organized sector; and strengthening direct public health provision for unorganized sector 8
Source: S.K. Hooda, Health Insurance, Health Access andFinancial Risk Protection, EPW Dec 2015
9
SDG 4: Education loans for vocational and higher education• Tertiary and vocational
enrolment in India low compared to comparators in Asia• Skills development needs
are large• Not all can pay for their
education and more education loans are needed
• But education loans (now priority sector) account for just 1% of non-food loans outstanding of scheduled commercial banks in March 2015
• Delhi Government model could be scaled up• State guarantees provided
0
10
20
30
40
50
60Enrolment in vocational education as proportion of
total enrolment 2006 (%)
South Korea Thailand Indonesia East Asia & Pacific
India0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Enrolment in tertiary education latest year (%)
Source: UNESCO Institute for Statistics 2006, World Development Indicators
10
SDG 5: Promoting gender equality through financial inclusion
• Access to finance by women in agriculture is limited
— In rural India, 83% of women depend on agriculture but only 10% have land ownership, preventing access to finance
— SHGs have helped, with women’s groups predominating but lending meagre, stagnating and working only in a few states
— Another reason why SHG based lending needs promotion – for women’s empowerment
• Outside agriculture, women’s participation in wage employment is low.
― Women’s entrepreneurship needs promotion with focused lending towards them
Russian Fed.
UK
USA
Brazil
South Africa
Thailand
Philippines
Cambodia
Vietnam
Malaysia
Indonesia
Sri Lanka
Bhutan
India
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Share of women in wage employment in the non-agricultural sector (latest) (%)
Source: India (GOI- MOSPI); rest World Development Indicators
11
SDG 6&7: Financing access to basic infrastructure
• Basic infrastructure integral to inclusion
• Financing basic infrastructure is a major problem
• Public sector alone cannot fund all India’s infrastructure needs
• Private financing of infrastructure essential• Private financing provided 37%
of funding in 2007-12• Expansion hampered by lack of
long-term bond market
Source: R. Sengupta and V. Anand, Corporate Debt Market in India: Lessons from the South African Experience. Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai. July 2014
Source: Chatterjee (et al) (2015)
Access to roads and proportion of births attended by skilled health personnel
12
SDG 9: Inclusive industrialization through financial inclusion • SME lending is small compared
to need―Getting just 8% of total lending
to industry —Although its share in industry
employments is about 75% —Challenges of lending to the
“Bottom of the pyramid”―Financiers not convinced of
viability―Need capacity support to
develop viable business models―Infrastructure, policy and
institutional support needed to expand SME sector
Source: RBI
Allocation of outstanding non-food credit (March 2015)
13
SDG 10: Reducing inequality within countries
• In India, the top 20% income earners, earn 44% of total GDP• Access to credit is more
heavily skewed • Large borrowers
comprise about 20% of all borrowers but corner 90% of the total credit
• More equal access to credit will help reduce inequality in India
Source: RBI
14
SDG 11: Promoting inclusive cities – funding shelter for the poor• Needs for housing for poor huge
• 100 million urban slum population• 20 million housing units needed of
which 75% (15 million) for bottom 40% of population
• Public housing schemes for poor yet to take off• 12th Plan Rajiv Awas Yojana (RAY)
contains a subsidized credit component (6.5% subsidy) for EWS/LIG category
• PM’s “Housing for All by 2022” programme subsumes RAY.
• Progress till Feb 2016 negligible• Availability of land key constraint
Non-food credit outstanding to housing sector (March 2015)
Source: RBI
15
Inclusive equity finance for attaining the SDGs• The small investor in stock markets needs protection
—Retail investors have a significant share in capital market: 21% for NSE and 16% for BSE
—Mutual funds have only a small share: 5% of BSE - although these provide better protection to small investors and further development of mutual fund industry is essential
• Stock exchanges can also play a key role in promoting inclusive financing
―Equity finance for SMEs needs to grow― SME Exchanges (inaugurated in 2012) still insignificant by market capitalization
―The concept of “Social Stock Exchange” needs consideration— SSEs connect social minded investors to companies promoting social and
environmental objectives— CSR funds of companies can be used to support this— Under consideration at present.
16
A few conclusions ………• Access to finance should be viewed not only as having intrinsic value but also as an instrument to achieving higher order goals such as the social and environmental objectives of the SDGs and specifically target financial indicators to be achieved in their support • Attention should be focused not merely on expanding access but also on the quality of access to finance• More focus is necessary on preparing the ground for making access to financial services productive
― Such as strengthening SHG models; the functioning of microfinance institutions, specialized rural credit institutions such as cooperatives; introducing institutional reforms to open up credit for women; supporting development of SME sector etc.
• The long-term bond market needs to be promoted for expanding inclusive infrastructure;• Stock markets must play a bigger social role including through the idea of ‘social stock exchanges.’
17
Bibliography
Rajaram Dasgupta. Microfinance in India - Empirical Evidence, Alternative Models and Policy Imperatives. EPW March 19, 2005Shailender Kumar Hooda. Health Insurance, Health Access and Financial Risk Protection. EPW December 12, 2015. Tara S Nair. Microfinance: Lessons from a Crisis. EPW February 5, 2011. Mandira Sarma, Rajiv Kumar. Rural Short-term Cooperative Credit Structure. EPW March 1, 2008Pyaralal Raghavan. Delhi Government’s Educational Loans to Students Will Help Expand Facilities & Improve Quality of Institutions. September 9, 2015Tara S. Nair and Ajay Tankha. Inclusive Finance India Report 2014. Oxford University Press 2014.Abhijit Banerjee, Pranab Bardhan, Esther Duflo, Erica Field, Dean Karlan, Asim Khwaja, Dilip Mookherjee, Rohini Pande, Raghuram Rajan. Help Microfinance Don’t Kill It. The Indian Express Posted online: Fri Nov 26 2010Bandini Chhichhia. The Rise of Social Stock Exchanges. A new, innovative platform is helping more investors support social enterprises. Stanford Social Innovation Review. January 2015.
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Thank [email protected]