40
How to Profit from the Upcoming Election

How to Profit From the Upcoming Election

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: How to Profit From the Upcoming Election

How to Profit from the Upcoming

Election

Page 2: How to Profit From the Upcoming Election

• Chief Investment Officer, Greenwich Wealth Management

• #1 Stock Picker from 2003-2012, according to Hulbert Financial Digest

• PhD in Finance, Chartered Financial Analyst

Vahan Janjigian, Editor of Bottom Line’s Money Masters Stock Report

Page 3: How to Profit From the Upcoming Election

• Managing Director, U.S. Equity Strategy of S&P Global Market Intelligence

• Chairman of the S&P Investment Policy Committee• Author of The Seven Rules of Wall Street and The

Standard & Poor’s Guide to Sector Investing

Sam Stovall, Managing Director, Standard and Poor’s

Page 4: How to Profit From the Upcoming Election

• Vice president, T. Rowe Price• Portfolio manager of the $22 billion T. Rowe Price

Equity Income fund• Special expertise in dividend stocks and energy

markets

John D. Linehan, CFA, Vice President, T. Rowe Price

Page 5: How to Profit From the Upcoming Election

The Economy

Page 6: How to Profit From the Upcoming Election

Under which president, Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump, do you think the economy and the stock

market would do better—and why?

Page 7: How to Profit From the Upcoming Election

Under which president, Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump, do you think the economy and the stock market

would do better—and why?Sam Stovall:• Better under Clinton• Less hostile position toward trading partners, particularly China and

Mexico• Focus more on growth than protectionism• Less uncertainty than Trump• Concern: More Congressional gridlock if Clinton elected

Page 8: How to Profit From the Upcoming Election

Under which president, Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump, do you think the economy and the stock market

would do better—and why?Vahan Janjigian:• Safe choice is Clinton; “The devil we know”• Taxes raised on investment class• Taxes cut on middle class• Not well but less uncertain than Trump• Trump will bring radical changes• Trump likely to lower tax rates, causing a temporary rally

Page 9: How to Profit From the Upcoming Election

Under which president, Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump, do you think the economy and the stock market

would do better—and why?John Linehan:• Clinton• Same as last 8 years under Obama• Will Trump change, become presidential?• Possible Senate gridlock under Clinton, easier change for Trump• Clinton likely more pro market than Obama• More accommodating regulative stance

Page 10: How to Profit From the Upcoming Election

Industries

Page 11: How to Profit From the Upcoming Election

Which specific industries do you think would do especially well/suffer with Clinton as president?

Page 12: How to Profit From the Upcoming Election

Which specific industries do you think would do especially well/suffer with Clinton as president?

Sam Stovall:

Do well under Clinton• Managed Care (HMOs)

Suffer under Clinton:• Restaurants

Page 13: How to Profit From the Upcoming Election

Which specific industries do you think would do especially well/suffer with Clinton as president?

John Linehan:

Do well under Clinton• Infrastructure• Environmental Services

Suffer under Clinton:• Biotech• Pharmaceutical• Managed Care

Page 14: How to Profit From the Upcoming Election

Which specific industries do you think would do especially well/suffer with Clinton as president?

Vahan Janjigian:

Do well under Clinton• HMOs• Infrastructure• Consumer Staples• Alternative/clean energy• Defense

Suffer under Clinton:• Financial Companies• Traditional Energy/Fossil Fuels

Page 15: How to Profit From the Upcoming Election

Which specific industries do you think would do especially well with Trump as president?

Page 16: How to Profit From the Upcoming Election

Which specific industries do you think would do especially well with Trump as president?

Sam Stovall:• Traditional Energy/Fossil Fuels• Aerospace/Defense• Companies with domestic revenue

Page 17: How to Profit From the Upcoming Election

Which specific industries do you think would do especially well with Trump as president?

Vahan Janjigian:• Traditional Energy/Coal/Oil• Restaurants• Biotech/Pharmaceutical• Infrastructure

Page 18: How to Profit From the Upcoming Election

Which specific industries do you think would do especially well with Trump as president?

John Linehan:• Banking• Oil Infrastructure• Utilities• Chemical

Page 19: How to Profit From the Upcoming Election

Which specific industries do you think would suffer with Trump as president?

Page 20: How to Profit From the Upcoming Election

Which specific industries do you think would suffer with Trump as president?

John Linehan:• Multinational industrial conglomerates• Air Freight

Page 21: How to Profit From the Upcoming Election

Which specific industries do you think would suffer with Trump as president?

Vahan Janjigian:• Aerospace/Defense• Agriculture• Companies that import foreign commodities• Hospital Management

Page 22: How to Profit From the Upcoming Election

Which specific industries do you think would suffer with Trump as president?

Sam Stovall:• Hospital Management

Page 23: How to Profit From the Upcoming Election

Stocks

Page 24: How to Profit From the Upcoming Election

What are stocks you think would do especially well with Clinton as president?

Page 25: How to Profit From the Upcoming Election

What are stocks you think would do especially well with Clinton as president?

Vahan Janjigian:• Boeing (BA)• Wal-Mart (WMT)• Caterpillar (CAT)

Page 26: How to Profit From the Upcoming Election

What are stocks you think would do especially well with Clinton as president?

John Linehan:• Vulcan Materials (VMC)

Page 27: How to Profit From the Upcoming Election

What are stocks you think would do especially well with Clinton as president?

Sam Stovall:• Aetna (AET)• FedEx (FDX)• Korn/Ferry Int’l (KFY)

Page 28: How to Profit From the Upcoming Election

What are stocks you think would suffer with Clinton as president?

Page 29: How to Profit From the Upcoming Election

What are stocks you think would suffer with Clinton as president?

Sam Stovall:• Lockheed Martin (LMT)• GlaxoSmithKline (GSK)• Panera Bread Co. (PNRA)

Page 30: How to Profit From the Upcoming Election

What are stocks you think would suffer with Clinton as president?

John Linehan:• Eli Lilly (LLY)• Merck (MRK)

Page 31: How to Profit From the Upcoming Election

What are stocks you think would suffer with Clinton as president?

Vahan Janjigian:• Incyte Corp. (INCY)• McDonald’s (MCD)• Exxon Mobile (XOM)

Page 32: How to Profit From the Upcoming Election

What are stocks you think would do especially well with Trump as president?

Page 33: How to Profit From the Upcoming Election

What are stocks you think would do especially well with Trump as president?

Vahan Janjigian:• Consol Energy (CNX)• Boston Scientific (BSX)• Buffalo Wild Wings (BWLD)

Page 34: How to Profit From the Upcoming Election

What are stocks you think would do especially well with Trump as president?

John Linehan:• Morgan Stanley (MS)• Citigroup (C)• TransCanada (TRP)

Page 35: How to Profit From the Upcoming Election

What are stocks you think would do especially well with Trump as president?

Sam Stovall:• Consol Energy (CNX)• Triumph Group (TGI)• Johnson Controls (JCI)

Page 36: How to Profit From the Upcoming Election

What are stocks you think would suffer with Trump as president?

Page 37: How to Profit From the Upcoming Election

What are stocks you think would suffer with Trump as president?

Sam Stovall:• Universal Health Services (UHS)• Advance Auto Parts (AAP)• Nabors Industries (NBR)

Page 38: How to Profit From the Upcoming Election

What are stocks you think would suffer with Trump as president?

John Linehan:• Boeing (BA)• General Electric (GE)• United Parcel Service (UPS)• Kansas City Southern (KSU)

Page 39: How to Profit From the Upcoming Election

What are stocks you think would suffer with Trump as president?

Vahan Janjigian:• Apple (AAPL)• Whirlpool (WHR)• HCA Holdings (HCA)

Page 40: How to Profit From the Upcoming Election

How to Profit from the Upcoming

Election

Thank you for joining us!

Hosted by

Sign up to our free eletter