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ETF TRADING RESEARCH
OPEC Oil Prices Hit Energy ETFs
Welcome to ETF Trading Research Your premier site to instantly diversify your
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Hi, My name is Corey and I‘m with ETF Trading Research, today were
reviewing our recently published article…
OPEC Oil Prices Hit Energy ETFs
Last week, the members of Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries or OPEC met. They decided to continue pumping oil at a record pace and let
OPEC oil prices fall as the supply glut widens.
The immediate reaction to the decision had a negative impact on oil prices. The
price of a barrel of WTIC crude oil plunged 5% to the lowest levels since
2009.
As a result, analysts are slashing earnings and valuations of oil and gas
companies. And oil and energy ETFs that hold these assets are being taken down
as well.
Why Does OPEC Want Lower Oil Prices?
OPEC’s decision to continue flooding the global market with more oil than it needs wasn’t unanimous. Many countries want
the cartel to cut back production to support oil prices.
But the kingpin of the cartel, Saudi Arabia, wants to protect their market
share from surging oil production in the US, Iraq, and Russia.
In short, they hope that keeping oil prices low will curb oil production from non-OPEC oil producers. Once they have
forced these producers out of business or at least force them to halt expansion,
then OPEC won’t need to cut back their production as much to support higher oil
prices. In short, this is a high stakes game of chicken… and they’re betting that they can outlast their upstart competition from
US shale oil and other oil producers.
Impact of OPEC Oil Prices and US Oil Production
Low oil prices are having a big impact on US shale oil producers. Many smaller US oil and gas companies have already missed bond payments or been forced
into bankruptcy.
According to the former head of oil firm EOG Resources, Mark Papa, "We are
about to see a pretty dramatic decline in U.S. production growth." US oil
production has peaked. It’s expected to fall from 9.6 mbpd to 8.6 mbpd in 2016.
Needless to say, a decrease in US oil production will be a major headwind
towards the US achieving energy independence.
Who Benefits The Most From Lower OPEC Oil Prices?
In the long run, the big winner from the price war will be major oil and gas
companies.
Companies like Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Chevron (CVX) have the resources and
financial stability to withstand a price war with OPEC unlike the smaller US oil
producers.
What’s more, many of these companies missed the boat on the initial wave of US shale oil production. As small companies falter the big boys will be there to pick up
the pieces for pennies on the dollar. Get started with you Oil ETF research.
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