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The economic and financial crisis: Elements to construct a new paradigm8th December 2008, ITUH, Brussels
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1
Pension Fund Investments in
Private Equity:
Implications for the
Stewardship of Workers’ Capital
The economic and financial crisis: Elements to construct a new paradigm
8th December 2008, ITUH, Brussels
2
I. The Landscape
– The boom in 2002-2006, assessing PE performances– Freeing up the investment policy
II. The Arms Race
– Risk-based allocation, management and regulation– Single fund, fund-of-funds, strategic partnership or co-
investments?
III. The Workers’ Capital
– The concept & the new conglomerates– Back to the stone age of governance
IV Concluding remarks
– Trade union and government trustee guidance– Re-regulation in the aftermath of the crisis
3
Double standard behaviour?
British House of Commons, hearings on private equity (2007)
– Paul Myners: “Investors can be quite lethargic… [we] should ask why they invest in private equity with its association with aggressive capital structures, high incentives for management and a minimalist approach to governance … while adopting an entirely different approach when investing in public equity.”
Source: Private equity, Treasury Committee, House of Commons, 24 July 2007 www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm200607/cmselect/cmtreasy/567/567.pdf
4
I. The Landscape
I. The Landscape
– The boom in 2002-2006, assessing PE performances– Freeing up the investment policy
II. The Arms Race
– Risk-based allocation, management and regulation– Single fund, fund-of-funds, strategic partnership or co-
investments?
III. The Workers’ Capital
– The concept & the new conglomerates– Back to the stone age of governance
IV Concluding remarks
– Trade union and government trustee guidance– Re-regulation in the aftermath of the crisis
5
No reliable data on alternative investments
Un-regulated industries = no gvt data, just ‘surveys’
– Pension funds provide at a quarter to a third of PE funding
– more if PF investments in funds of funds are included
– Ad hoc surveys: 3-5% of PF AUM
– 8-10% in the US and Sweden
– Mainly in large pension funds , and in DB schemes
The boom in 2002-2006
– 2-digit returns, favourable macro context
– Including public reserve funds (France FRR, Swedish APs, Korean NPS)
6
Yet, some doubts about performance
None of listed equity simplicity applies to PE performance evaluation
– Remaining value
– Exposure: remaining value + un-funded commitment
– Valuation of the remaining value (Phalippou et al 2007)
– End-of-life vs interim fund performance (WSJ)
– Abnormal distribution of risk (Aglietta)
– Leverage effect (M. Gordon, Fidelity)
7
CalPERS’ private equity program(since 90, USD Bn)
Total capital commitments
(legal obligation to the private equity fund over several years)
52.8
- Capital contributed (Cash in)
(effective contributions to the fund, including management fees)
29.6
= Un-funded capital commitments
(remaining contributions legally due to the fund)
23.2
+ Remaining Valueof the investments
(as reported by the General Partner)
20
= Total Exposure (un-funded commitments + remaining value)
43.2
Cash Out (proceeds distributed back to the investors)
22.5
Investment Multiple (cash out + remaining value) / cash in
143%
Source: CalPERS website
8
Doubts about PE performance
Source: JP Morgan Alternative Asset Survey (November 2007)
9
Loosening or removal of investment restrictions
2002-2006
Source: Source: OECD Survey of Investment Regulations of pension funds, July 2008, www.oecd.org/dataoecd/12/46/40804056.pdf
10
In need of harmonisation?
Country Quantitative restrictions (% of AUM) Average Exposure (% of AUM)
Austria 30% max in unlisted securities (incl. HF)
Canada None* 1% (federally regulated plans)
Czech Republic 5% max Estimated up to 1%
Denmark Solvency requirements
Estonia 10% max in unlisted securities (incl. HF); Short selling prohibited
Finland Authorised since 1st January 2007 3.10%
Greece 5% max 0%
Ireland 10% max in unlisted securities (incl. HF) Thought to be extremely low
Italy 20% max in CIS (incl. HF); max 1x leverage; short selling, lending & borrowing prohibited.
Negligible
Netherlands Solvency requirements Approximately 2-3%
Poland 10% max in CIS (incl. HF) 0%
Portugal 5% max (to be raised to 10%) 3%
Slovakia Prohibited 0%
Spain 5% max; indirect restriction via caps on fees
11
Indirect restrictions to PE allocation
Geographical distinction between foreign assets
– Difference between OECD & non-OECD (ie. countries having signed on the OECD Code of Liberalisation of Current Invisible Operations)
In Europe, difference between collective investment funds
– ‘harmonised’ investment funds (subject to EU directive on UCITS)
– ‘non-harmonised’ funds (private equity & HF)
12
The Anglo-Dutch-Japanese group
– No quantitative restrictions, PP standard applies
– AUM, 50-130-25 % GDP
The Nordics
– Several restrictions, including on alternatives
– AUM: 30-130% of GDP
Rest of Europe & Korea
– Various scenarii
– AUM: 1-13% of GDP
The three families
13
Asset portfolio composition
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Slova
k Rep
ublic
Czech
Rep
ublic
Korea
Mex
ico
Turke
y (8
)
Hungar
y
Spain
(7)
Polan
d
Ger
man
y
Norway
Sweden
Austri
a
Icela
nd (4
)
Denmark
(3)
Finlan
d
Italy
(5)
Nether
land
s
Portu
gal (
6)
Switzer
land
Canada
(2)
United
Kingdom
(200
5)
United
State
s (9
)
Belgiu
m
Austra
lia (1
)
Alternatives (land & buildings, unallocated insurance contracts, private investment funds,other)Mutual funds (CIS)
Shares
Cash and Deposits, Bills and bonds issued by public and private sector, Loans
AUM > 10% GDP
Source: OECD Pension Markets in Focus 2007 www.oecd.org/daf/pensions/pensionmarkets & www.oecd.org/dataoecd/47/0/39510746.xls
14
II. The Arms Race
I. The Landscape
– The boom in 2002-2006, assessing PE performances– Freeing up the investment policy
II. The Arms Race
– Risk-based allocation, management and regulation– Single fund, fund-of-funds, strategic partnership or co-
investments?
III. The Workers’ Capital
– The concept & the new conglomerates– Back to the stone age of governance
IV Concluding remarks
– Trade union and government trustee guidance– Re-regulation in the aftermath of the crisis
15
The arms race
Diversifying portfolio risks
– Lessons from the IT bubble in 2001-2002– Beta (market generic) vs alpha returns (asset specific)– PE as a return enhancer or a risk diversifier ?– Matching liabilities– Role/influence of advisers
Regulators’ reaction
– Regulated funding rules : assets should mach liabilities, market & longevity risks
– Risk-based regulations (such as Solvency II)• factor in the ‘riskiness’ of the portfolio• Only a few countries so far (Denmark, the Netherlands,
Sweden)
16
Implications for PF risk management
Most challenging aspects (JP Morgan)
– selecting & monitoring PE managers
– fees
Say they will increase their allocation
– 50% of those currently investing in PE
– 9% of those not currently investing
Due diligence procedures (Danish ATP)
The fees:
– 2% on annual commitments + 20% on capital gains
– 0,5% max in regulated asset management
17
Private equity portfolio strategies
Investor(limited partner)
General Partner(private equity firm)
Portfolio companies
Investor (direct investment)
Individual company
General Partner Portfolio companies
Investor(limited partner)
Fund-of-funds General Partner Portfolio companies
General Partner Portfolio companies
risk concentration management cost(excl. infrastructure & large buy-outs)
2+20%
2+20%
2+20%
2+20%
1+10%
18
PF-PE partnerships
Strategic partnerships
– OregonPERS & KKR
– AP4 & EQT
Direct ownership in PE firms
– CalPERS in Carlyle, Silver Lake, Apollo
– ABP & PGGM owned Alpinvest
– Australian Supers’ Industry Funds Management
Mixed strategy
– Ontario Teachers’: Teachers Private Capital & KKR
– AP4 & EQT bid over V&S
– Consortiums
19
Swedish PF investments – diverse portfolio strategies
State & occupationalpension funds
PE as % of total AUM
PE in €m (dec. 06)
Portfolio strategy
AP2 0.9% 203 Concentrated (less than 10 funds)
AP3 3% 685 Highly diluted (over 50 funds)
AP4 0.6% 140 Highly concentrated (2/3 in EQT)
AP6 100% 242 Concentrated
AP7 4% 171 Concentrated
Alecta n/a 204 n. a.
AMF n. a. n. a. n. a.
Wallenberg family Investor
13% 1624 of which €952m in EQT
20
III. The Workers’ Capital
I. The Landscape
– The boom in 2002-2006, assessing PE performances– Freeing up the investment policy
II. The Arms Race
– Risk-based allocation, management and regulation– Single fund, fund-of-funds, strategic partnership or co-
investments?
III. The Workers’ Capital
– The concept & the new conglomerates– Back to the stone age of governance
IV Concluding remarks
– Trade union and government trustee guidance– Re-regulation in the aftermath of the crisis
21
Workers as employees& as investors
Representation of workers « as employees »– Collective bargaining– Works councils, EWCs, board representation
Representation of workers « as investors »– Worker trustees in pension funds– On average 20% of market cap in US, UK & Canada
Link between capital market regulation, corporate governance and workers’ rights– Stakeholder corporate governance– UN Principles for Responsible Investment
22
Stewardship of workers’ capital
Shareholder activism– ranging from
• ‘engagement’ with the management, to• hostile resolutions at the AGM.
– Aiming at• enhanced financial performance• enhanced corporate accountability
(board composition/remuneration)
Workers’ capital– Asset management shareholder accountability
• asset managers exercise AGM votes• TU-led (or commissioned) proxy voting surveys
– Issue-specific shareholder campaigns• Resolution for Wal-Mart ESG disclosure policy• Burma campaign
– Non-shareholder related
23
TUAC’s two pillar framework on corporate governance (2005)
Stakeholder approach
– Shareholders (AGM)
– Board of directors
– Senior management
– Workers
Workers’ capital
– Workers
– Board of trustees
– Asset management
– Shareholders (AGM)
ownership
control
24
The stewardship ofworkers’ capital
Conditions to be met
– Relevance of pre-funded schemes– Freedom of portfolio investment (no
restrictions)– Asset management accountability (AGM)– Member and beneficiary ownership &
governance representation (vs employers)– Robust capital market (& TU)
infrastructures
25
Back to the stone age of governance
Limited liability partnerships– virtually all control in the hands of the general
partners– Un-regulated, no standardisation
Right of the GP– to keep an investment confidential, should
disclosure “cause a risk of jeopardising that investment or the anticipated returns”
– to establish alternative investment vehicles to avoid “tax, legal, business, accounting or regulatory impediments to the making of a potential investment”
26
Workers’ K does not function correctly under PE
Stakeholder approach
– Shareholders (AGM)
– Board of directors
– Senior management
– Workers
Workers’ capital
– Workers
– Board of trustees
– Asset management
– Shareholders (AGM)
Private equity manager
Private equity manager
Private equity manager
Private equity manager
27
Double standard behaviour?
British House of Commons, hearings on private equity (2007)
– Paul Myners: “Investors can be quite lethargic… [we] should ask why they invest in private equity with its association with aggressive capital structures, high incentives for management and a minimalist approach to governance … while adopting an entirely different approach when investing in public equity.”
Source: Private equity, Treasury Committee, House of Commons, 24 July 2007 www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm200607/cmselect/cmtreasy/567/567.pdf
28
A return to the 1950s
conglomerates ?
If so, PE firm and managers’ employer responsibilities could
be activated
29
Impact of PE buy-out on the company’s… PF
The case of the UK
– PF funding dependent on the employer covenant
– High profile cases: Boots, EMI, GMB study
– Survey: ¾ of UK trustees would be “worried” about a possible leveraged buyout of the sponsoring company
Pensions Act:
– Expands the The Pension Regulator enforcement powers
– “aggregate resources of a whole group of companies may be considered” (i.e. including those of other portfolio companies in other funds managed by the same private equity firm), in order to judge whether the funding level of the target company’s pension scheme is appropriate”
30
IV Concluding remarks
I. The Landscape
– The boom in 2002-2006, assessing PE performances– Freeing up the investment policy
II. The Arms Race
– Risk-based allocation, management and regulation– Single fund, fund-of-funds, strategic partnership or co-
investments?
III. The Workers’ Capital
– The concept & the new conglomerates– Back to the stone age of governance
IV Concluding remarks
– Trade union and government trustee guidance– Re-regulation in the aftermath of the crisis
31
IOPS Guidelines
ITUC General Council (June 2007)
FNV & TUC Guidance
Global Unions (UNI, IUF)
G8 Trade union statements
32
Re-regulation in a post-15 September world
– Unsustainable model of growth
– The ‘structured finance’ business and the illusion of risk spreading
– Investment banks, conglomerates and the cost of regulatory arbitrage
– Shareholder value model of corporate governance versus market integrity
– Central banks did not foresee the bubble
– Weak economic & financial governance
33
The cost ofcorporate short-termism
Non-OECD SWF
Other funds US gvt injection
Buy-Backs 2006-07
Debts to executives
Bank of America 25 17.5 1.3
Merril Lynch* 8 1.2 14.4 2.2
Citigroup 7.5 25 7.8 5
Goldman Sachs 10 16.8 11.8
JP Morgan Chase 25 12.1 8.2
Bear Stearns ** 1 1.7 1.7
Morgan Stanley 5 7.1
Lehman Brothers**** 4 5.3
*purchased by BoA for 50bn; ** purchased 1.2bn by JP Morgan Chase following offloading of toxic assets valued at 29bn onto US gvt; *** 2007 only; **** entered into bankruptcy on 15 sep
34
Re-regulation
– Strengthening financial safeguards & international cooperation
– Diversifying finance & Protecting social development goals
– Spreading responsibility throughout the investment chain
– Unsustainable model of growth
– The ‘structured finance’ business and the illusion of risk spreading
– Investment banks, conglomerates and the cost of regulatory arbitrage
– Shareholder value model of corporate governance versus market integrity
– Central banks did not foresee the bubble
– Weak economic & financial governance
35
Re-regulation
– Unsustainable model of growth
– The ‘structured finance’ business and the illusion of risk spreading
– Investment banks, conglomerates and the cost of regulatory arbitrage
– Shareholder value model of corporate governance versus market integrity
– Central banks did not foresee the bubble
– Weak economic & financial governance
– Strengthening financial safeguards & int’l cooperation
• Bank prudential regulation
• Mandate & public accountability of central banks
• Reign in int’l flows of capital
• Offshore Financial Centres
• Staffing of supervisory and enforcement authorities
– (Protecting social development goals)
– (Spreading responsibility throughout the investment chain)
36
Re-regulation
– Unsustainable model of growth
– The ‘structured finance’ business and the illusion of risk spreading
– Investment banks, conglomerates and the cost of regulatory arbitrage
– Shareholder value model of corporate governance versus market integrity
– Central banks did not foresee the bubble
– Weak economic & financial governance
– (Strengthening existing safeguards and international cooperation)
– Diversifying finance & protecting social development goals
• Protect households against predatory lending
• Diversifying the financial sector & support community-based financial services
• Protect workers’ pension schemes
• International taxation– (Spreading responsibility
throughout the investment chain)
37
Re-regulation
– Unsustainable model of growth
– The ‘structured finance’ business and the illusion of risk spreading
– Investment banks, conglomerates and the cost of regulatory arbitrage
– Shareholder value model of corporate governance versus market integrity
– Central banks did not foresee the bubble
– Weak economic & financial governance
– (Strengthening existing safeguards and international cooperation)
– (Protecting social development goals)
– Spreading responsibility throughout the investment chain
• Reform the credit rating industry
• Regulate credit risk transfers and derivatives
• Regulate private investment funds and conglomerates
• Ensure executives’ and intermediaries’ perverse incentives are reversed
• Combat corporate short-termism
38
Re-regulation& private
equity
Financial safeguards & int’l cooperation– Prudential regulation for banks– CB mandate and public accountability– International flows of capital
– Offshore Financial Centres– Staffing of financial authorities
Diversifying finance & social goals– Protect households
– Community-based financial services– Protect pensions– International taxation
Spreading responsibility– Credit rating industry
– Credit risk transfers and derivatives– Private funds & conglomerates– Executive compensations– Corporate short-termism