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Warwick Business School Reputational Assessments of Executive Remuneration: CEOs as Celebrities, Managers, Villains or Hallmarks of Quality Edinburgh University Business School 13 th February, 2013 Stephen Brammer, Warwick Business School [email protected]

Stephen Brammer: Reputational Assessments of Executive Renumeration (13.2.13)

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Stephen Brammer is Professor of Strategy and Associate Dean for Research at Warwick Business School. Presented in partnership withe Sustainable Business Institute at the University of Edinburgh Business School.

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Page 1: Stephen Brammer: Reputational Assessments of Executive Renumeration (13.2.13)

Warwick Business School

Reputational Assessments of Executive Remuneration: CEOs as Celebrities, Managers, Villains or Hallmarks of Quality Edinburgh University Business School 13th February, 2013

Stephen Brammer, Warwick Business School

[email protected]

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Warwick Business School

Aims To explore the relationship between corporate

reputation and executive pay – to showcase some (very) new empirical evidence

Are Executive Pay and Reputation related? How are Executive Pay and Reputation related? Why are Executive Pay and Reputation related?

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Warwick Business School

Why bother?

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Warwick Business School

Why bother?

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Warwick Business School

Why bother? In October 2008, the CEO of Lehman Brothers, Richard S Fuld, argued over pay with Congressman Henry Waxman during public hearings on the bankruptcy. Fuld insisted he had taken "only" $310m in compensation during the seven years before 2008.

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Warwick Business School

Why bother?

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Warwick Business School

Why bother?

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Warwick Business School

Why bother?

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Why bother?At a time when the global economy remains fragile, it is neither sustainable nor justifiable to see directors’ pay rising at 10 per cent a year, while the performance of listed companies lags behind and many employees are having their pay cut or frozen.

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Warwick Business School

Why bother?

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Warwick Business School

So…… Discussion of executive pay provokes strong opinions There seems to be an emerging consensus that the

levels, and (un)fairness, of executive pay are socially problematic

The number of shareholder revolts, negative media reports, etc also suggest that pay is something external audiences are sensitive to and which might be reputationally relevant

How is executive pay perceived externally? What are its effects on reputation?

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Theorising the pay-reputation link Legitimacy theory? (perhaps high pay is bad, especially

when it’s unusual relative to other companies, not a reward for good performance, and out of line with rank and file pay?)

Agency theory? (Perhaps high pay is bad, as it reflects agency problems?)

Stakeholder theory? (Perhaps high pay reflects abuses of managerial power relative to other stakeholders?)

Signalling theory? (perhaps high pay is a signal of distinctive skills, and therefore good? Does the pay signal complement or substitute for other signals?)

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Warwick Business School

Our analysis – 2 stages First – look at the total pay of CEOs of listed US

companies in the period 2008-2011 Estimate “normal” or “expected” levels of

remuneration by modelling the following relationship:

CEO Payt = f(Firm Sizet-1, Stock Performancet, t-1, Operating Performancet, t-1, Market to Bookt, CEO Tenuret, Gender, Age, Industry Sector)

Calculate % Deviation in actual pay from “normal” pay

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Warwick Business School

Our analysis – two stages Second – use information about the deviation in

pay from “expected” pay in a model of corporate reputation, drawing upon Fortune WMAC rankings

Estimate how firm reputation is shaped by known influences and unexpected pay:

Reputationt = f(Firm Sizet-1, Stock Performancet-1, Operating Performancet-1, Industry Sector, “excess CEO pay”t-1)

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Findings Firms that consistently “overpay” their CEOs

attract HIGHER REPUTATIONAL ASSSESMENTS, other things being equal

Firms that consistently “underpay” their CEOs attract LOWER REPUTATIONAL ASSSESMENTS, other things being equal

Underpaying has a larger impact – roughly twice the size of the effect of overpaying – overpaying improves your ranking by ≈ 8-10 places, underpaying loses you ≈ 13-15 places

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Findings The positive impact of overpaying on reputation is

reduced when firms have better financial performance

The negative impact of underpaying on reputation is reduced when firms have better financial performance

Firm size does not moderate the relationship between pay patterns and reputation

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Findings The negative impact of underpaying on

reputation is greater when CEO remuneration is composed of a higher % of base salary

The positive impact of overpaying on reputation is reduced when firms have a higher CEO/Rank and File Pay multiple

The negative impact of underpaying on reputation is further compounded when firms have a higher CEO/Rank and File Pay multiple

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Warwick Business School

So what? Executive pay is a significiant reputational issue –

but not perhaps in the anticipated fashion – the bigger risk in pay is associated with underpaying

What does this tell us about how pay is being interpreted by reputational assessors?

High pay seems to send positive signals to assessors – perhaps about firms’ confidence in their future financial performance – when strong alternative signals about performance are present, the signalling value of pay weakens

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Warwick Business School

So what? Our measure of reputation – the Fortune index –

is known to be biased towards a “financial” focus One thing our findings show is that negative

popular and political sentiment regarding executive pay is not shared by the financial community

Perceived inequality is also a reputational issue – where the CEO/Rank and file multiple is higher, reputations are at risk

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Summary/Conclusions Pay practices shape firms’ reputations to a

significant extent – the level, composition, and perceived fairness of pay all matter for how firms are evaluated

Underpaying a CEO generates substantial reputational harm, while overpaying generates a reputational halo, especially if performance metrics are weak

Further work will explore other potential moderators – governance, for example.

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Warwick Business School