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BASIC FUNDAMENTAL

Stock technical analysis

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Stock technical analysis

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Page 1: Stock technical analysis

BASIC FUNDAMENTAL

Page 2: Stock technical analysis

Surat berharga yang menunjukkan kepemilikan seorang investor di dalam suatu perusahaan

SAHAM

Page 3: Stock technical analysis

JENIS SAHAM

Saham Preferen

Saham Biasa

JENIS SAHAM

Page 4: Stock technical analysis

WAKTU PERDAGANGAN

Hari

Senin -Kamis

Jum’at

Sesi I Sesi II

9:30 – 12:00 WIB 13:30 – 16:00 WIB

9:30 – 11:30 WIB 14:00 – 16:00 WIB

* Khusus untuk pasar tunai hanya diperdagangkan pada sesi I

PRA PEMBUKAAN

Waktu Aktivitas

9:10:00 – 9:25:00 WIB

9:25:01 – 09:29.59 WIB

Anggota Bursa memasukkan penawaran jual atau permintaan beli

JATS melakukan proses pembentukan harga pra-pembukaan dan alokasi transaksi yang terjadi

Page 5: Stock technical analysis

Harga Step Value Maksimum Price Step

< Rp. 200

Rp. 200 - < Rp. 500

Rp. 500 - < Rp. 2.000

Rp. 2.000 - < Rp. 5.000

> Rp. 5.000

FRAKSI HARGA

Rp. 1

Rp. 5

Rp. 10

Rp. 25

Rp. 50

Rp. 10

Rp. 50

Rp. 100

Rp. 250

Rp. 500

Page 6: Stock technical analysis

35%

25%

20%> Rp. 5.000

> Rp. 200 – Rp. 5.000

> Rp. 50 – Rp. 200

AUTO REJECTION

* Untuk saham yang ditawarkan pada pasar perdana memiliki batas auto rejection sebesar 2 x dari range harga yang telah ditetapkan

Range Harga

Page 7: Stock technical analysis

REGULER NEGOSIASI TUNAI

TAWAR MENAWAR SECARA INDIVIDUAL

PENYELESAIAN TRANSAKSI BERDASARKAN KEDUA BELAH PIHAK

ODD LOT <500 LEMBAR

TAWAR MENAWAR SECARA BERKESINAMBUNGAN

PENYELESAIN TRANSAKSI T+3

DALAM SATUAN LOT = 100 LEMBAR

MELALUI JATS SECARA REMOTE TRADING

ANGGOTA BURSA GAGAL MEMENUHI KEWAJIBAN T+3

SUMBER : BEI

Page 8: Stock technical analysis

PSIKOLOGI MARKET

• How the Market work• Apakah ‘Price’ ?• Apakah ‘Market’ ?

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HOW THE MARKET WORKS

BID Harga OFFER2075 1852050 200

1003 2025585 2000320 1975

Beli saham ABCD:

• Rp 2025, 23 lot

• Rp 2000, 585 lot

• Rp 2025, 980 lot

• Rp 1975, 320 lot

Jual saham ABCD:

• Rp 2050, 200 lot

• Rp 2075, 185 lot

Jika Jual saham ABCD di Rp 2025 sebanyak 3 lot,maka Bid tinggal 1000 lot. Time and Price Priority

ABCD

Page 10: Stock technical analysis

HOW THE EXCHANGE WORKS

Page 11: Stock technical analysis

PRICE AND MARKET

BID Harga OFFER2075 1852050 200

1003 2025585 2000320 1975

BUYERSSELLERS

ABCD

Motivasi ?

Motivasi?

Fakta!

Buyers dan Sellers selalu dalam keadaan konfrontasi. Buyers ingin murah, sellers ingin mahal. Sesekali ada kompromi, saat buyers/sellers mengalah.

Page 12: Stock technical analysis

TECHNICAL ANALYSISBasic

Page 13: Stock technical analysis

Technical Analysis:

1. Market discount everything

2. Price moves by trend

3. History repeat itself

Market Phase:

1. Accumulation

2. Public participation

3. Distribution

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Jenis Chart

Line

chart

Bar Chart

Candlestick

Page 15: Stock technical analysis

Basic Term

Uptrend

Downtren

d

Sideways

HH

HL

LH

LL

Trend Line

Trend Line

Trend Line

Page 16: Stock technical analysis

Trading Horizon:

1. Short term (<1 month)

2. Medium (1-12 mts)

3. Long term (> 1year)

Chart Analysis:

1. Minutes chart (1m, 5m, 1hr)

2. Daily chart

3. Weekly chart

4. Monthly chart

Page 17: Stock technical analysis

More about

Trend

Major trend

Secondary trendMinor trend

Pull-back

Trend Line

Resistance

Support

Resistance

Support

Break-out

Page 18: Stock technical analysis

Whipsaws (2nd Day Rule)

False breakout (cut loss - tolerance)

1500 - Support

Resistance

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Revising

Trendline

Page 20: Stock technical analysis

HH

HL

Trend Line

Channel Line Channel Line

BUY

SELL

Short-sell margin

Normal margin

LH

LL

Trend Line

Channel Line

BUY

SELL Short-sell margin

Normal margin

Page 21: Stock technical analysis

TECHNICAL ANALYSISClassic Theory

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FAN PRINCIPLE

Page 23: Stock technical analysis

DOW THEORY

HH

HLLL1

LL2

LH1 LH2

SELLSupport

HH

HLLL1

LL2

Lower High tdk terbentuk

X -SELL

Support

Page 24: Stock technical analysis

TECHNICAL ANALYSISKey Components

Page 25: Stock technical analysis

GAPS

1. Common Gap

2. Break-away Gap

3. Run-away Gap

4. Exhaustion Gap

Page 26: Stock technical analysis

GAPS

1. Common Gap

2. Break-away Gap

Gap-

UpGap-

Down

Page 27: Stock technical analysis

GAPS

1. Run-away Gap

2. Exhaustion Gap

Page 28: Stock technical analysis

VOLUME

CHART TIME

COMPONENT

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Page 30: Stock technical analysis

TECHNICAL ANALYSISChart Pattern - Reversal Pattern - Continuation Pattern

Page 31: Stock technical analysis

Reversal Patterns- Head & Shoulder- Inverted head & shoulder- Triple tops/bottoms- double tops/bottoms- Horn top/bottom

Continuation Patterns- Triangle- Flag- Pennant- Wedge- Rectangle- Cup & handle

Page 32: Stock technical analysis

Reversal Patterns- Head & Shoulder- Inverted head & shoulder

Timeline 1-6 bln Reverse correlation thd volume

Page 33: Stock technical analysis

Reversal Patterns- Head & Shoulder- Inverted head & shoulder

Page 34: Stock technical analysis

The hound of Bakersville !!

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Reversal Patterns- Triple Tops/Bottoms

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Reversal Patterns- Double Tops/Bottoms

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Reversal Patterns- Double Tops/Bottoms

Page 38: Stock technical analysis

Reversal Patterns- HornTops/Bottoms

Similar to double tops/bottom, only in shorter time duration (1-3 weeks) Mgkn disertai gaps island reversal

Page 39: Stock technical analysis

Continuation Patterns- Triangle (Months)

Page 40: Stock technical analysis

Continuation Patterns- Triangle

Volume biasanya turun pada saat pembentukan triangle Breakout diikuti penguatan volume Volume yg terus meningkat bisa menjadi indikasi reversal

Page 41: Stock technical analysis

Continuation Patterns- Pennants (Weeks)

Page 42: Stock technical analysis

Continuation Patterns- Pennants (Weeks)

Volume biasanya turun pada saat pembentukan pennant Breakout diikuti penguatan volume Volume yg terus meningkat bisa menjadi indikasi reversal

Page 43: Stock technical analysis

Continuation Patterns- Flag (Weeks)

Page 44: Stock technical analysis

Continuation Patterns- Flag (Weeks)

Aturan sama dgn pennant

Page 45: Stock technical analysis

Continuation Patterns- Wedge (3-6 months)

Page 46: Stock technical analysis

Continuation Patterns- Wedge (2-6 months)

Ada kalanya wedge menjadi reversal pattern

Page 47: Stock technical analysis

Continuation Patterns- Rectangle (Months)

Fase konsolidasi Tdk ada petunjuk spesifik tentang volume Tunggu konfirmasi breakout

Page 48: Stock technical analysis

Continuation Patterns- Rectangle (Months)

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Continuation Patterns- Cup & Handle (Months)

Page 50: Stock technical analysis

TECHNICAL ANALYSISCandle Stick

Page 51: Stock technical analysis

Marubozu

Candle Stick- Doji & Marubozu

Page 52: Stock technical analysis

1 Candle- Bullish reversal- Bearish reversal

Candle Stick

2 Candle- Bullish reversal- Bearish reversal

3 Candle- Bullish reversal- Bearish reversal

Page 53: Stock technical analysis

1 Candle- Bullish reversal

1 Candle- Bearish reversal

dragonfly hammer

Grave stone Shooting star Bearish belt hold

Bullish belt hold

Page 54: Stock technical analysis

2 Candle- Bullish reversal

Bullish pregnant Bullish pregnantcross

Bullish homing pigeon

Matching lowBullish engulfing

Piercing line Tweezer bottom

Page 55: Stock technical analysis

2 Candle- Bearish reversal

Bearish pregnantBearish pregnantcross

Bearish homing pigeon

Matching highBearish engulfing

Dark cloud cover Tweezer top

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