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Small businesses are expecting positive first quarter results, according to our SurePayroll Small Business Scorecard. Nine in 10 expect first quarter results to be the same or better than last year, an encouraging sign for the year to come. It’s also an indication that they are looking past headwinds from health care, international turmoil, the proposed minimum wage changes and debate on overtime laws.
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As the first economic indicator created by a payroll company, the SurePayroll Scorecard has provided a monthly look at national hiring and paycheck trends since October 2004. SurePayroll's Scorecard compiles data from small businesses nationwide, and exclusively reflects the trends affecting the nation's "micro businesses" — those with 1-10 employees. The average business reflected has 6 employees. The SurePayroll Small Business Scorecard - Main Street Matters infographic also includes data for SurePayroll's top 35 MSAs.
Contact Lori Bolas 847-676-8420 ext. 7248 [email protected]
Copyright © 2014 SurePayroll. A Paychex Company. All rights reserved.
Main Street MattersSMALL BUSINESS SCORECARD®
MAR
-13
APR-
13
MAY
-13
JUN-
13
JUL-
13
AUG-
13
SEPT
-13
OCT-
13
NOV-
13
DEC-
13
JAN-
14
FEB-
14
MAR
-14
6.8%
6.7%
6.6%
6.5%
6.4%
6.3%
6.2%
6.1%
6.0%
5.9%
5.8%
5.7%
5.6%
5.5%
6.49%
6.74%
6.75%
Use of 1099s is generated from actual payroll data – paychecks issued to contractors and employees – from small businesses nationwide.
MONTH-OVER-MONTH
CHANGESIN SMALL BUSINESS HIRING & PAYCHECKS
YEAR-OVER-YEAR
CHANGESIN SMALL BUSINESS HIRING & PAYCHECKS
ATLANTA
BOSTON
CHICAGO
CLEVELAND
COLUMBUS
DALLAS
DENVER
DETROIT
HOUSTON
LAS VEGAS
LOS ANGELES
MIAMI
MINNEAPOLIS
NASHVILLE
NEW YORK
NORFOLK
ORLANDO
PHILADELPHIA
PHOENIX
RALEIGH-DURHAM
RICHMOND
SAN DIEGO
SAN FRANCISCO
SEATTLE
TAMPA
WASHINGTON DC
0.4%
-0.3%
-0.3%
-0.4%
0.5%
-0.4%
0.9%
0.5%
-0.6%
0.5%
0.2%
0.4%
-0.6%
0.5%
-0.1%
-0.3%
-0.4%
0.2%
0.2%
0.7%
-0.1%
0.0%
-0.2%
0.0%
0.6%
-0.2%
-0.5%
-1.3%
-0.4%
-1.0%
-0.4%
-0.4%
-0.7%
0.8%
0.1%
-0.7%
-0.3%
-0.8%
-0.5%
-0.9%
-0.4%
0.0%
0.4%
-0.6%
-0.4%
-0.6%
0.2%
-0.7%
-0.7%
-0.1%
-0.6%
-0.2%
HiringIndex
PayPer Check
ATLANTA
BOSTON
CHICAGO
CLEVELAND
COLUMBUS
DALLAS
DENVER
DETROIT
HOUSTON
LAS VEGAS
LOS ANGELES
MIAMI
MINNEAPOLIS
NASHVILLE
NEW YORK
NORFOLK
ORLANDO
PHILADELPHIA
PHOENIX
RALEIGH-DURHAM
RICHMOND
SAN DIEGO
SAN FRANCISCO
SEATTLE
TAMPA
WASHINGTON DC
4.5%
-8.8%
-2.0%
0.4%
-2.0%
0.9%
-1.3%
1.0%
-2.2%
-4.9%
-1.7%
9.5%
-3.2%
0.6%
-3.6%
2.2%
-3.9%
-5.5%
1.2%
9.6%
-0.8%
-1.2%
-1.8%
-7.2%
1.1%
-0.7%
-1.8%
-4.1%
0.5%
-3.1%
0.5%
9.1%
-8.9%
10.2%
1.7%
-3.1%
-2.0%
-6.0%
-2.2%
1.6%
-0.8%
-5.7%
-0.2%
2.2%
-1.7%
-5.0%
-8.8%
-6.1%
0.6%
-2.8%
1.1%
-4.0%
HiringIndex
PayPer Check
Despite concerns over health care and growth, small business owners are seeing positives ahead. Three times as many think business will be better this year than last after the first quarter. A third see a more stable economy as reason to raise their expectations for 2014. While the absolute hiring numbers are not on the rise yet, small business owners often react based on their instincts and confidence in the future.
More on the Small Business Landscape 87%
of small business owners surveyed expect the first quarter results to be the same or better than last year’s.
Optimism OutlookTHE SMALL BUSINESS
Sept 2013 Dec 2013June 2013 Mar 2014
70%59%
73% 69%
REGIONAL HIRING MAP REGIONAL HIRING MAP
HiringIndex
PayPer Check
HiringIndex
PayPer Check
NATIONWIDE
MIDWEST
NORTHEAST
SOUTH
WEST
-0.6%
-1.5%
-2.9%
2.2%
-1.6%
-1.1%
0.5%
-2.8%
-0.4%
-1.4%
NATIONWIDE
MIDWEST
NORTHEAST
SOUTH
WEST
-0.1%
-0.2%
-0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
-0.3%
-0.3%
-0.4%
-0.1%
-0.5%
MONTH-OVER-MONTH
CHANGESIN SMALL BUSINESS HIRING & PAYCHECKS
YEAR-OVER-YEAR
CHANGESIN SMALL BUSINESS HIRING & PAYCHECKS
MARCH 2014
NATIONAL HIRING AND SALARY INDICES
METRO-BASED HIRING AND SALARY INDICES
REGIONAL HIRING AND SALARY INDICES
Main Street Matters
SUREPAYROLL SMALL BUSINESS SCORECARD®
NATIONAL AND REGIONAL DATA
NATIONWIDE % OF 1099s
METRO AREA