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Valuation of Startups - How VCs and Angels go about the process of valuing a business
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Valuation of Startups
How it happens
In the business world, the rearview mirror is always clearer than the
windshield~ Warren
Buffet
~ Unknown
A thing is worth what it can do for you, not what you choose to pay for it.
Where are you?
Source: Wikipedia
Types of InvestmentSource
Value of Investment
Time of Entry
FFFF / Angel
1 CR to 5 CR 0 - 24 Months
VC 2 CR to 200 CR 18 - 60 Months
PE > 50 CR 7 - 10 Years
IPO > 100 CR 5+ Years
Some MilestonesSource Age Revenue
Valuation
Investor
Venture Launched
0 - 6 Months 0 20 - 50 Lacs FFFF
Product Launch - Few
Paying Cusomers
6 - 12 MonthsEarly Revenue
Small1 - 2 CR
FFFF / Individual Angels
Stable Business - Regular
Customers Found
12 - 18 Months
15 - 30 Lacs 2 - 5 CRFFFF / Angels /
Seed Funds
Product-Market Fit - Consistent Customer Growth
18 - 24 Months
25 Lacs - 1 CR 4 - 10 CRAngels / Seed
Funds / Some VCs
Business Model Fit - Clear
Growth Path
24 - 36 Months
1 CR - 5 CR 10 CR - 50 CR Venture Funds
~ Unknown
“There is always a time when you do not know the value of something”
Convertible Debt Note
There seems to be no definite basis to value
Valuation Models• Discounted Cash Flow
• Forecasts several years of revenue and expenses
• Discount the resulting cash flow to present value with the expected rate of return
• Cost to Recreate
• Usually a make Vs buy decision
• Snapdeal - ebay
Valuation by Angels and Funds
• Typically the basis of valuation is the exit
• Every fund has a target and an exit value in mind, they look at see what they need to take to achieve this
• They also look at the future rounds of dilution which may be needed and factor that into the valuation that they demand
Example• Fund Deployment required - 10 Crores
• 5 Year Profit target of the company being invested in - 75 Crores
• 5 Year target valuation of Business based on projected Profit - 750 Crores
• Target for fund returns in 5 years - 10X or 100 Crore
• Dilution asked is 100/750 = 13.33% + margin for dilution
~ Ann Landers
Too many people today know the price of everything and the value of nothing.
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