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Can global soil organic carbon maps be used in policy decisions on practical agricultural management? derström & Kristin Piikki tional Center for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT) University of Agricultural Sciences (SLU)

Can global soil organic carbon maps be used in policy decisions on practical agricultural management?

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Page 1: Can global soil organic carbon maps be used in policy decisions on practical agricultural management?

Can global soil organic carbon maps be used in policy decisions on practical agricultural management?

Mats Söderström & Kristin PiikkiInternational Center for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT)Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences (SLU)

Page 2: Can global soil organic carbon maps be used in policy decisions on practical agricultural management?

Digital Soil Mapswith national, continental or global coverage

SoilGrids250m / ISRIC World Soil Information(Hengl et al. 2017, PLOS ONE 12(2): e0169748)

Page 3: Can global soil organic carbon maps be used in policy decisions on practical agricultural management?

1. How accurate is Rwandan SOC farm averages and Sector averages derived from SoilGrids 250-m maps?

2. Can we combine the SoilGrids 250-m raster with available local SOC samples to produce a downscaled, improved map?

Questions

A Sector unit (50 km2) was deemed appropriate for management advice

Page 4: Can global soil organic carbon maps be used in policy decisions on practical agricultural management?

RwandaComparing local data and SoilGrids250m maps

800+100 soil analyses from IFDC and CropNuts Lab

topsoil SOC according to SoilGrids 250-m raster

Söderström M, Piikki K, Cordingley J. 2016. South African J. of Plant & Soil

Page 5: Can global soil organic carbon maps be used in policy decisions on practical agricultural management?

RwandaComparing local data and SoilGrids250m maps

topsoil SOC according to SoilGrids 250-m raster

topsoil SOC according to interpolation of 800 soil samples

Söderström M, Piikki K, Cordingley J. 2016. South African J. of Plant & Soil

Page 6: Can global soil organic carbon maps be used in policy decisions on practical agricultural management?

RwandaValidation at soil sample locations ’Truth’: the 100 soil samples

SOC

Söderström M, Piikki K, Cordingley J. 2016. South African J. of Plant & Soil

SoilGrids

Page 7: Can global soil organic carbon maps be used in policy decisions on practical agricultural management?

RwandaValidation of Sector averages ’Truth’: Sector means of the 800 Rwandan soil samples

Söderström M, Piikki K, Cordingley J. 2016. South African J. of Plant & Soil

SoilGrids

Page 8: Can global soil organic carbon maps be used in policy decisions on practical agricultural management?

1. How accurate is Rwandan SOC farm averages and Sector averages derived from SoilGrids 250-m maps?

-Local validation was needed to judge.2. Can we combine the SoilGrids 250-m raster with available local soil samples to produce a downscaled, improved map?

-Yes.

Questions and answers

Page 9: Can global soil organic carbon maps be used in policy decisions on practical agricultural management?

YES(r: ***) YES

(r: **)

NO(r: ns)

NO(r: ns)

NO(r: ns)NO

(r: ns)

Is the map correlated to the samples?Test against 50 soil observations / area

105,000 km2

25,000 km2

8,600 km2

400 km2

2 km2

5 km2

Page 10: Can global soil organic carbon maps be used in policy decisions on practical agricultural management?

NO(Bias: ***)

NO(Bias: ***)

NO(Bias: ***)NO

(Bias: ***)

Is the map at the right level?Test against 50 soil observations / area

105,000 km2

25,000 km2

8,600 km2

400 km2

2 km2

5 km2

NO(Bias: ***)

NO(Bias: ***)

Page 11: Can global soil organic carbon maps be used in policy decisions on practical agricultural management?

YES(DMAE: *) YES

(DMAE: ***)

Is the map improved by downscaling?Test against 50 soil observations / area

105,000 km2

25,000 km2

8,600 km2

400 km2

2 km2

5 km2

YES(DMAE: ***)

YES(DMAE: ***)

YES(DMAE: **)

YES(DMAE: ***)

Page 12: Can global soil organic carbon maps be used in policy decisions on practical agricultural management?

Summary• The DSM community must help users assess whether the

maps are appropriate for their intended use.

• As a user – do not take for granted that a global soil map can be used without local validation

• It may be possible to improve it through local adaptation using local soil observations.

• We recommend further studies on approaches for interactive validation and local improvement of digital soil maps.

Page 13: Can global soil organic carbon maps be used in policy decisions on practical agricultural management?

Summary• The DSM community must help users assess whether the

maps are appropriate for their intended use.

• As a user – do not take for granted that a global soil map can be used without local validation

• It may be possible to improve it through local adaptation using local soil observations.

• We recommend further studies on approaches for interactive validation and local improvement of digital soil maps.

Thanks to: International Fertilization Development Center (IFDC), One Acre Fund (OAF), Swedish Board of Agriculture and CropNuts Lab for letting us use their soil data. Funding was received by Formas and the Swedish International Development Cooperation Agency, Sida (contract no. 220-2013-1975).

Mats Söderström [email protected]

Page 14: Can global soil organic carbon maps be used in policy decisions on practical agricultural management?

Validation - maybe you get the answer you ask for?

Validation set independence

RMSEPM

AE

E

R 2RPD

This says little about the map accuracy between the clusters…

Validation support

The map may describeregional variation well..

…but it may be of little use at an individual farm

Validation extent

The error at point support may be large

But the farm averages may still be quite good

Is it the method that is validated – or is it the map?

© K. Piikki, 2015

This does!