16
!"#$%" '()* +,%-.) /01"(2%*(#-3 4#5 6.5(27"*75) %-8 97*5(*(#- :%5; <= >#3).5%-* '(5)2*#5 ?(@% :3%-.( ?)-(#5 >)3)%52, A)""#@ B-C(5#-0)-* %-8 D5#872*(#- E)2,-#"#.F '(C(3(#-

Global Diet Change Implications for Agriculture and Nutrition

Tags:

Embed Size (px)

DESCRIPTION

Presentation by Mark Rosegrant, Director, Environment and Production Technology Division at the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), delivered at the 2020 Conference on "Leveraging agriculture for improving nutrition and health," Feb 11, 2011

Citation preview

Page 1: Global Diet Change Implications for Agriculture and Nutrition

!"#$%"&'()*&+,%-.)&/01"(2%*(#-3&4#5&6.5(27"*75)&%-8&97*5(*(#-

:%5;&<=&>#3).5%-*'(5)2*#5

?(@% :3%-.(?)-(#5&>)3)%52,&A)""#@

B-C(5#-0)-*&%-8&D5#872*(#-&E)2,-#"#.F&'(C(3(#-

Page 2: Global Diet Change Implications for Agriculture and Nutrition

@@@=(415(=#5.

!"#$%&'%()*##()!"+&%,-)./&"%0,+/1)2&0"&+'3)

G

HG

IGG

IHG

JGG

JHG

<,)%* :%(K) >(2)

4565 4575)/#)88 4575)88

90,%()#/).*!:.).;!<8=)2&%/0"+#,

>#'%,-))4565)?)655@)88)?)&A+B0'%)&C0/1%

Page 3: Global Diet Change Implications for Agriculture and Nutrition

@@@=(415(=#5.

>#/DE##()8#BF%'+'#",)+/)!"#(G&'+#/

H%B0/()E#")I+#EG%A, 0/()I+#%/%"13

JB+,,+#/,)B+'+10'+#/)0/()&0"I#/),%KG%,'"0'+#/)

8#/,%"L0'+#/)0/()I+#(+L%",+'3

!""#

$%&'(

)*'(+,

-%*#

Page 4: Global Diet Change Implications for Agriculture and Nutrition

@@@=(415(=#5.

<1"+&GA'G"0A)M"#N'C)0/()*##()2%&G"+'3

./001,2#(34'(5

!"#$%&'()*%+,'

-%&'.(%+/("%+/(0)%.)#&1

2)#'+)'(%+/(&')*+3"3,1(43"#)1

5+6'0&$'+&(#+(%,.#)7"&7.%"(.'0'%.)*

83"#)1(%+/(,36'.+%+)'(.'93.$

6'7%*#2#(34'(58347"%&#3+:

;(<#""#3+(4'34"'(#+(=>?>

5+)3$'(,.3@&*:(A9.#)%B(*"& C70&(A0#%(%+/(

D%&#+(A$'.#)%

E.<%+#F%&#3+:(#+(899: ?>G(7.<%+(#+(89;9 HIG(7.<%+

Page 5: Global Diet Change Implications for Agriculture and Nutrition

@@@=(415(=#5.

;0$#")8#/,%KG%/&%,

8C0/1%)+/)(+%',)'#)&#/L%/+%/&%)E##(,O)E0,')E##(,

./&"%0,%()&#/,GBF'+#/)#E)E"G+',)0/()L%1%'0IA%,

P+1C%")E##()%/%"13O)B#"%),G10"O)E0',)0/()#+A,

:0F+()1"#N'C)+/)B%0')&#/,GBF'+#/)0/()

(%B0/()E#")1"0+/,)E#")E%%())

P0AE)#E)1"#N'C)+/)1"0+/)(%B0/()N+AA)I%)E#")A+L%,'#&Q

./'%/,%)F"%,,G"%)#/)A0/()0/()N0'%"

Page 6: Global Diet Change Implications for Agriculture and Nutrition

@@@=(415(=#5.

H+%'0"3)0/()*##()23,'%B)<FF"#0&C%,)'#).BF"#L+/1)>G'"+'+#/

>)872(-.&1#3*&,%5C)3*&"#33)365R)E#")1"0+/,@)47R)E#")F%"+,C0IA%,

J&#/#B+&)"%&#L%"0I+A+'3)A+B+'%(

<%3*(-.&")33&4##845R)N0,'01%)+/)C#G,%C#A(,

+#-370(-.&4(3,&45#0&373*%(-%$")&3*#2;3

>)872(-.&2#-3701*(#-&#4&0)%*&%-8&8%(5F&15#872*3

Page 7: Global Diet Change Implications for Agriculture and Nutrition

@@@=(415(=#5.

S%3)TG%,'+#/

8%,'(H

U#GA()"%(G&'+#/) +/)B%0')&#/,GBF'+#/) +/)"+&C%")&#G/'"+%,)

+BF"#L%)E##(),%&G"+'3)+/)(%L%A#F+/1)&#G/'"+%,V

Page 8: Global Diet Change Implications for Agriculture and Nutrition

@@@=(415(=#5.

H+%'0"3)8C0/1%).,)>#')J0,3

+6:D6/!9?<(L#&0&3O)%(G&0'+#/0AO)0/()FGIA+&)"%A0'+#/,)&0BF0+1/,

D>L:LEB&ML<N:B6E&:B9O?80E%'%"+0,O),&C##A,O)C#,F+'0A,O)0/()

#'C%")FGIA+&D,%&'#")+/,'+'G'+#/,

DLM/+/B?=0W0'+#/)0/(),GI,+(3)F#A+&+%,)'#)+/&"%0,%)'C%)&#,')#E)B%0')

&#BF0"%()'#)#'C%")E##()F"#(G&',)

Page 9: Global Diet Change Implications for Agriculture and Nutrition

@@@=(415(=#5. ?#752)P&/:D6+E&0#8)"&15#Q)2*(#-3

!%")80F+'0);%0')8#/,GBF'+#/

X%,,)B%0')+/)"+&C)&#G/'"+%,)?)B#"%)+/)(%L%A#F+/1) &#G/'"+%,

5

65

45

Y5

Z5

75

[5

\5

]5

^5

655 4555 45Y5)I0,%A+/% 45Y5)P.8_8C+/0`9"0a+A)bA#N)B%0'c

8C+/0 9"0a+A P+1CD+/&#B%)

&#G/'"+%,

2GID20C0"0/)

<E"+&0

H%L%A#F+/1)

B+/G,)8C+/0)d)

9"0a+A

R("#.5%0

&1)5&2%1

(*%&S1)5&F)%5T

Page 10: Global Diet Change Implications for Agriculture and Nutrition

@@@=(415(=#5.

*%%()H%B0/()E#")8#0",%)M"0+/,

X%,,)B%0')?)X#N%")E%%(D1"0+/)(%B0/()

?#752)P&/:D6+E&0#8)"&15#Q)2*(#-3

5

455

Z55

[55

]55

6O555

6O455

6OZ55

8C+/0 9"0a+A H%L%A#F+/1)

B+/G,)8C+/0)d)

9"0a+A

P+1C)./&#B% U#"A(

:(""(#-3&#4&0

)*5(2&*#-3

4555 45Y5)I0,%A+/% 45Y5)P.8_8C+/0`9"0a+A)bA#N)B%0'c

Page 11: Global Diet Change Implications for Agriculture and Nutrition

@@@=(415(=#5.

U#"A()!"+&%,)#E)M"0+/,:%(G&%()E%%()1"0+/)(%B0/()?)X#N%"))1"0+/)F"+&%,)

?#752)P&/:D6+E&0#8)"&15#Q)2*(#-3

5

75

655

675

455

475

Y55

:+&% UC%0' ;0+a%

4555

45Y5)I0,%A+/%

O?U&1)5&0)*5(2&*#-

Page 12: Global Diet Change Implications for Agriculture and Nutrition

@@@=(415(=#5.

!%")80F+'0)*##()M"0+/)8#/,GBF'+#/)

?#752)P&/:D6+E&0#8)"&15#Q)2*(#-3

X#N%")1"0+/)F"+&%,)+/&"%0,%,)(%B0/(

G

JG

VG

WG

XG

IGG

IJG

IVG

IWG

IXG

P+1CD+/&#B%)&#G/'"+%, 2GID20C0"0/)<E"+&0 H%L%A#F+/1)B+/G,)8C+/0)d)

9"0a+A

R("#.5%0

&1)5&2%1(*%

&S1)

5&F)%5T

JGGG JGYG&$%3)"(-) JGYG&Z/+[+,(-%\]5%K("&S"#@&0)%*T

Page 13: Global Diet Change Implications for Agriculture and Nutrition

@@@=(415(=#5.

!%")80F+'0)80A#"+%)<L0+A0I+A+'3)

?#752)P&/:D6+E&0#8)"&15#Q)2*(#-3

X#N%")F"+&%,)+/&"%0,%)&0A#"+%)0&&%,,

4O555

4O455

4OZ55

4O[55

4O]55

YO555

YO455

YOZ55

YO[55

8C+/0 9"0a+A H%L%A#F+/1)

B+/G,)8C+/0)d)

9"0a+A

P+1C)+/&#B%

R2%"&1)5&2%1

(*%&S1)5&8%FT

4555 45Y5)I0,%A+/% 45Y5)P.8_8C+/0`9"0a+A)bA#N)B%0'c

Page 14: Global Diet Change Implications for Agriculture and Nutrition

@@@=(415(=#5.

8C+A();0A/G'"+'+#/

2B0AA)+BF"#L%B%/'

?#752)P&/:D6+E&0#8)"&15#Q)2*(#-3

5

45

Z5

[5

]5

655

645

6Z5

6[5

<AA)2GID20C0"0/)<E"+&0 <AA)<,+0 H%L%A#F+/1)&#G/'"+%,

:(""(#-3&#4&2,("85)-&%.)8

&GNH

4555 45Y5)I0,%A+/% 45Y5)P.8_8C+/0`9"0a+A)bA#N)B%0'c

Page 15: Global Diet Change Implications for Agriculture and Nutrition

@@@=(415(=#5.

X#N%");%0')!"#(G&'+#/)20L%,)X0"1%)<"%0,)#E)!0,'G"%)0/()8"#FA0/(

?#752)P&/:D6+E&0#8)"&15#Q)2*(#-3

G

HG

IGG

IHG

JGG

JHG

+,(-% ]5%K(" ')C)"#1(-.&0(-73&+,(-%&^&

]5%K("

Z(.,&(-2#0) <#5"8

65)%&3%C)8&&S0

(""(#-3&#4&,

)2*%5)3T

Z/+&#-"F Z/+&[&+,(-%&]5%K("

Page 16: Global Diet Change Implications for Agriculture and Nutrition

@@@=(415(=#5.

8#/&AG,+#/,

Z%"C(-.&#4&0)%*&2#-3701*(#-&(-&5(2,)5&2#7-*5()3&,%3,B0AA)/G'"+'+#/)I%/%E+',)+/)(%L%A#F+/1)&#G/'"+%,

I+1)A0/(),0L+/1)+BF0&',

'()*%5F&2,%-.)&(3&%&73)47"&*##"&4#5&(015#C)8&4##8&3)275(*F&%-8&-7*5(*(#-

]7*&*5%-34#50%*(C)&15#.5)33&5)_7(5)3&072,&$5#%8)5&(-C)3*0)-*&(-&%.5(27"*75%"&%-8&575%"&8)C)"#10)-*