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July 10, 2012 "Mount Shasta and Lassen Region Farm & Food Economy" by Ken Meter
Citation preview
Ken MeterCrossroadsResource Center(Minneapolis)
The role of local food in economic recoveryin the Shasta/Lassen region
California Center for Cooperative DevelopmentGrowing Local CoalitionRedding and Anderson, CaliforniaJuly 10, 2012Dan & Malinda Martin — Lazy 69 Farm
Photo: Edible Shasta-Butte
“Finding Food in Farm Country” Studies
plus Maui & Hawai’i
83 regions (incl. 10 states) in 30 states & one province
Build:Health WealthConnectionCapacity
Vision for local food economies
“Local” foods may be the best path toward economic recovery in U.S.
Photo: DSC
“Local” is a shorthand....
Goal: to buildCommunity-Based Food Systems
Photo: DSC
Athens, Ohio
Casa Nueva
Business Clusters
Crumb’s Bakery
Athens Farmers’ Market
ACENet
Food processing businesses
Kroger Athens
Farms
Dix/Hall Farm — Pomeroy, Ohio
Warren Taylor — Pomeroy, Ohio
Snowville Creamery
Dix/Hall farm
Hamm farm
Jeni’s Splendid Ice Creams
22 Whole Foods
Kroger Athens 13 Independent Stores in Ohio
Equipment suppliers
Packaging material suppliers
Truckers
Utilities
Local labor
Snowville at Paw Paw Fest
Jeni’s Splendid Ice Creams
“Our growth is based on Snowville’s growth....We are always in communication with each other.”
– Jeni Britton Bauer
Business Clusters
Snowville at Paw Paw Fest
Jeni’s Splendid Ice Creams
Milk:Snowville Creamery
Employees buy local
StrawberriesRaspberriesBlueberries
PeachesPears
ApricotsSweet Corn
BasilHoney
etc:
from various Ohio farms
Local Employees
electricity, fuel, water
green energy
nanofiltered skim milk
Process own flavors in season
Next steps
New collaboration:
• Snowville Creamerybrings produce & milk to Columbus
• Columbus Food Bankstores these foods at warehouse
• The Greener Grocersells these foods in retail store
Next steps
This is viewed as a step towarddelivering fresh food to low-income consumers
Finding Food in the Shasta/Lassen
RegionCounties:LassenModocShastaSiskiyou Tehama Trinity
Map: Southern California Equestrian Network
The Shasta/Lassen Region
• 344,116 residents
• Receive $11 billion of income each year
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 -
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
Personal income in Shasta Region, 2001 - 2010
Manufacturing
Retail
Professional / scientific
Health care & social assistance
Government
Finance & Insurance
Interest, dividend, rent
Transfer payments
$ b
illions (
2010)
Less t
han $
1..
.
$10,0
00 t
o $
...
$15,0
00 t
o $
...
$20,0
00 t
o $
...
$25,0
00 t
o $
...
$30,0
00 t
o $
...
$35,0
00 t
o $
...
$40,0
00 t
o $
...
$45,0
00 t
o $
...
$50,0
00 t
o $
...
$60,0
00 t
o $
...
$75,0
00 t
o $
...
$100,0
00 t
o .
..
$125,0
00 t
o .
..
$150,0
00 t
o .
..
$200,0
00 o
r ..
.
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
Household income in Shasta Region, 2006-2010
household
s
100,000 people(29%) below
185% of poverty
Source: Federal Census
The Shasta/Lassen RegionFood & Farm Economy
• 5,159 farms
• 6% of California’s farms
Source: USDA Agriculture Census 2007 Photo: Edible Shasta—Butte
The Shasta/Lassen RegionFood & Farm Economy
• 63% of farms sell less than $10,000
• 11% sell more than $100,000
Source: USDA Agriculture Census 2007
The Shasta/Lassen RegionFood & FarmEconomy
54% of farmsare less than50 acres
Photo: Edible Shasta—Butte
The Shasta/Lassen RegionFood & Farm Economy
** incomplete data
Cattle & Calves $105Fruits, nuts & berries** 104Forage (hay, etc.)** 58Ornamentals** 49Vegetables** 32Milk 14Wheat** 11
Photo: Edible Shasta—Butte
the Shasta/Lassen RegionFood & Farm Economy
• 156 vegetable farms
• over $32 million sales
Source: USDA Agriculture Census 2007
The Shasta/Lassen RegionFood & Farm Economy
• 1,002 farms sold over $104 million of fruit
Source: USDA Agriculture Census 2007 Photo: Edible Shasta—Butte
Source: Census of Agriculture 2007
$2.2 million in sales
34% rise in farms9% rise in sales
2002 - 2007
614 farms sell direct to consumers
Photo: Edible Shasta—Butte
the Shasta/Lassen RegionFood & Farm Economy
• 97 farms sell organic products
• $13 million in sales
Photo: Edible Shasta—Butte
Photo: Edible Shasta—Butte
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
-0.1
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
Farm Production Balance in Shasta/Lassen Region, 1969-2010
Cash Receipts
Production expenses
Balance
$ b
illions (
curr
ent)
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
-0.1
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
Farm Production Balance in Shasta/Lassen Region, 1969-2010
Cash receipts
Production expenses
Balance
$ b
illions (
2010 d
ollars
)
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
-0.1
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
Farm Production Balance in Shasta/Lassen Region, 1969-2010
Cash receipts
Production expenses
Balance
$ b
illions (
2010 d
ollars
)
$500 million gain since 1989 Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis
$5 million less than 1969
• Farmers produce $495 million of products per year
The Shasta/Lassen RegionFood & Farm Economy
And…
Gain $22 million from production
• Spend $473 million to raise them
Averages for (1989-2010)
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis
The Shasta/Lassen RegionFood & Farm Economy
• Farm families earn $35 million of other farm-related income
• And receive $13 million in federal supports each year
Plus…
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
-0.10
-0.05
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
Shasta/Lassen Regionfarm income by type, 1969-2010
Government Payments
Other Farm-Related Income
Farm Production Balance
$ b
illions (
2010 d
ollars
)
Photo: Edible Shasta—Butte
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
Crop and livestock sales in Shasta/Lassen Region, 1969-2010
Livestock
Crops
$ b
illions (
2010 d
ollars
)
33% of all farms reported net losses in 2007
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
0.00
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.10
0.12
0.14
Farm production expenses in Shasta/Lassen Region, 1969-2010
Feed purchased
Livestock purchased
Seed purchased
Fertlizer and Lime
Petroleum products
Hired farm labor
$ b
illions (
2010 d
ollars
)
$235 million of these farm inputs are sourced outside the region
Source: Ken Meter using data from Agriculture Census 2007
Using local inputs would reduce these losses
Compost at Pleasantview Farm (Circleville)
Also a region of food consumers...
Finding Food in Farm Country
• Consumers buy $912 million of food each year
As farmers struggle...
• $800 million from outside region
Source: Ken Meter using Bureau of Labor Statistics
Finding Food in the Shasta/Lassen Region
Markets for food eaten at home
millionsMeats, poultry, fish, and eggs $ 116Fruits & vegetables 98Cereals and bakery products 68Dairy products 57“Other,” incl. sweets, fats, & oils 193
Source: Census & BLS
All told, the Shasta/Lassen Region
• Gains $22 million in production
• Loses $235 million buying inputs
• Loses $800 million buying food
Potential wealth lost each year
Finding Food in Farm Country
• $1 billion each year!
• more than double the value of all food products raised in
region
Total loss is:
The good news is...Photo: Edible Shasta—Butte
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
-0.1
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
Farm Production Balance in Shasta/Lassen Region, 1969-2010
Cash receipts
Production expenses
Balance
$ b
illions (
2010 d
ollars
)
consumer market
Source: BEA and BLS
Current farm income compared to the Shasta/Lassen Region consumer market
The Shasta/Lassen Region
…farms would earn $89 million of new farm income
If region’s consumers bought $5 of their food directly from local farms each week...
The Shasta/Lassen Region is not alone...
Photos: Edible Shasta—Butte
Data from each county in the Shasta/Lassen
Region
Bureau of Economic Analysis
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Farm Production Balance in Lassen County, California, 1969-2010
Cash receipts
Production expenses
Balance
$ m
illions (
2010 d
ollars
)
Bureau of Economic Analysis
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
-50
0
50
100
150
200
Farm Production Balance in Modoc County, California, 1969-2010
Cash receipts
Production expenses
Balance
$ m
illions (
2010 d
ollars
)
Bureau of Economic Analysis
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
Farm Production Balance in Shasta County, California, 1969-2010
Cash receipts
Production expenses
Balance
$ m
illions (
2010 d
ollars
)
Bureau of Economic Analysis
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
0
50
100
150
200
250
Farm Production Balance in Siskiyou County, California, 1969-2010
Cash receipts
Production expenses
Balance
$ m
illions (
2010 d
ollars
)
Bureau of Economic Analysis
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Farm Production Balance in Tehama County, California, 1969-2010
Cash receipts
Production expenses
Balance
$ m
illions (
2010 d
ollars
)
Bureau of Economic Analysis
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
Farm Production Balance in Trinity County, California, 1969-2010
Cash receipts
Production expenses
Balance
$ m
illions (
2010 d
ollars
)
State of California
Source: USDA Agriculture Census 2007
Dairy19%
Ornamentals12%
Grapes10%
Almonds9%
Cattle & Calves7%
Strawberries6%
Lettuce5%
Tomatoes4%
Pistachios4%
Walnuts3%
Rice3%
Other18%
Top Farm Products in California, 2010
Economic Research Service (2010)
Top Farm Products in California
Bureau of Economic Analysis
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Farm Production Balance in California, 1969-2010
Cash receipts
Production expenses
Balance
$ b
illions (
2010 d
ollars
)
U.S. data
U.S. Data
USDA / Economic Research Service
Farm production balance for U.S. farms, 1929 -2011
-50
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
4001
92
9
19
32
19
35
19
38
19
41
19
44
19
47
19
50
19
53
19
56
19
59
19
62
19
65
19
68
19
71
19
74
19
77
19
80
19
83
19
86
19
89
19
92
19
95
19
98
20
01
20
04
20
07
20
10
$ b
illi
on
s (c
urr
en
t d
oll
ars
)
Cash receipts
Production expenses
Farm Production Balance
Farm Production Balance for U.S. farms, 1929 - 2011
-50
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
5001929
1932
1935
1938
1941
1944
1947
1950
1953
1956
1959
1962
1965
1968
1971
1974
1977
1980
1983
1986
1989
1992
1995
1998
2001
2004
2007
2010
$ b
illions (
2011 d
ollars
)
Cash receipts
Production expenses
Farm Production Balance
U.S. Data
USDA / Economic Research Service
Value of food reserved by U.S. farmers for home consumption, 1949 - 2009
0
5
10
15
20
251949
1951
1953
1955
1957
1959
1961
1963
1965
1967
1969
1971
1973
1975
1977
1979
1981
1983
1985
1987
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
$ b
illion
s (
2011)
U.S. Data
USDA / Economic Research Service
USDA / Economic Research Service
Sugar and Corn Sweetener Use in U.S., 1966 - 2008
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
1601966
1968
1970
1972
1974
1976
1978
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
pounds p
er
pers
on
Sugar
HFCS
Glucose
Dextrose
All sweeteners
U.S. Youth Who are OverweightPercent by Age
13%
10.7%
4.1%
14.0%
10.7%
4.6%
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1963-70 1971-74 1976-80 1988-94 1999
Percent
Ages 6-11 Ages 12-17
>95th percentile for BMI by age and sex, based on NHANES I reference data
Source: Troiano RP, Flegal KM. Pediatrics 1998;101(3):497-504. NHANES 1999, National Center for Health Statistics. Chart by Melinda Hemmelgarn
Consumption out of balance
• 50% of U.S. public school students qualify for free / reduced lunch
• 10% of households are “food insecure”
Mural: The Food ProjectSource: USDA
3,000 deaths from foodborne illness each year
Medical costs: $152 billion
Health suffers
Medical costs of obesity are $174 billion per year —
Source: CDC/Walters, Harvard Public Health/Colditz
Growing Power, Milwaukee
Direct Food Sales
Census of Agriculture
Organic Sales
Organic Valley
Organic Valley sales, 1988 - 2011
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
8001988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
$ m
illions
$716 million sales
Black Hawk region, Iowa
UNI Local Food Project
1998 3 institutions
buy $111,000 of local foods
2009 26 buy $2,600,000
Local Food Expenditures by the participating institutions in the
Black Hawk County Area, Iowa 1998-2009
Northern Iowa Food & Farm Partnership
Jobs, Fruit & Veggies, and Black Hawk County region
If Black Hawk region residents purchased locally grown fruits and vegetables just 3 months out of the year:
• 475 new jobs• $6.3 million in labor income added to local economy
David Swenson, ISU Economist
Will Allen, Growing Power, Milwaukee
Growing Power, Milwaukee
Greensgrow Gardens, Philadelphia
Greensgrow Gardens, Philadelphia
Greensgrow Gardens, Philadelphia
Greensgrow Gardens, Philadelphia
Pete Scherf — Michigan City, Indiana
Viroqua, Wisconsin
Viroqua, Wisconsin
• Economic Development Association buys building
• 100,000 square feet
• Regional food processing center
Viroqua Business Cluster
ProduceDistributor
1
TBDProcessors
Bakery & Public Space
ProduceDistributor 2
Nonprofits
Viroqua Business Cluster
ProduceDistributor
1
TBDProcessors
Bakery & Public Space
ProduceDistributor 2
Hospital
Nonprofits
Root cellar
Schools
Organic Valley
Amishfarmer
s
Food co-op
Viroqua, Wisconsin
Invest in communities
rather than cash for commodities
U.S. Federal Policy
Build:Health WealthConnectionCapacity
Vision for local food economies