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Ending Pandemics: Big Ideas, Big Data and You!
Mark Smolinski, MD, MPHSkoll Global Threats Fund
Big Data and Public HealthOctober 24, 2013
Epidemic curve
Routine disease reporting
TIME
CASES
Epidemic curve
Routine disease reporting
Astute clinician reports
TIME
CASES
Epidemic curve
Routine disease reporting
Astute clinician reports
Sentinel networks
TIME
CASES
Epidemic curve
Routine disease reporting
Astute clinician reports
Sentinel networks
Digital disease detection
TIME
CASES
Epidemic curve
Routine disease reporting
Astute clinician reports
Sentinel networks
Digital disease detection
Participatory epidemiology and future innovations
TIME
CASES
Epidemic curve
Routine disease reporting
Astute clinician reports
Sentinel networks
Digital disease detection
Participatory epidemiologyand future innovations
TIME
CASES
Even earlier: disease surveillance in animals
Early detection is working
19961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009
150 DAYS50 DAYS 100 DAYS167 Days
23 Days
Chan et al. 2010. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
Early detection is working
19961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009
150 DAYS50 DAYS 100 DAYS
GOARN
GPHIN & ProMed
New International Health Regulations
Approved
New International Health Regulations
Implemented
Chan et al. 2010. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
Flu Trends
Flu Trends
Flu Trends
Flu Trends
Flu Trends
Flu Trends
Flu Trends
19961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009
150 DAYS50 DAYS 100 DAYS
20102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023
Chan et al. 2010. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
1996199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023
Early detection is working
New ideas, policies and technologies
Quicker Detection=Smaller Epidemics
19961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009
150 DAYS50 DAYS 100 DAYS
20102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023
Chan et al. 2010. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
1996199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023
New ideas, policies and technology
New ideas, policies and technologies
Quicker Detection=Smaller Epidemics
A Better and Faster Signal?
A Better and Faster Signal?
25
AND PERSONNAL PROGRESS
VACCINE INFORMATION
The first year of participatory surveillance
Hotspots for pandemic threats
Expanded Symptoms
Expanded Geographies
Taking Participatory Surveillance to where it is most needed now.
pushing the boundaries of surveillanceEnding Pandemics in Our Lifetime
Training the next generation of field epidemilogists…
faster detection across the globeEnding Pandemics in Our Lifetime
