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Into the Tsumani:Trends and Futures for Technology and Higher
Education
NITLE meets PACOMP-
March 2013
nitle.org
Communities of practice
Research
Joint projects
Outreach
Network platform: events f2f/online
Partnerships Translation
Four futuring themes
Emergent and emergent
Caveat: wild cards and Black Swans
Extraordinary political or economic event
Technology breakthrough (ex: AI, unrest)
Next 20 years? Screening Interacting Sharing Flowing Accessing Generating
-Kevin Kelly
Pattern recognition:Deductions from scanning
Delphi
Assemble experts
Probe for opinions
Rank and distill ideas
Reiterate
Horizon trends, 2013
Time-to-Adoption Horizon: One Year or Less Massively Open Online Courses
Tablet Computing
Horizon trends, 2013
Time-to-Adoption Horizon: Two to Three Years Big Data and Learning Analytics
Game-Based Learning
Under discussion Digital humanities Digital literacy Publishing crisis Open vs closed
Monthly environmental scan report
Developed + tested through social media
December-January campus survey
Other venues
FT reports, April-December 2012
Trendline categories
1. Economics and college finances2. Communities and populations3. Teaching and learning and tech4. Technology ecosystem5. The future of liberal education6. MOOCs7. Scholarship
1. Economics and college finances
Continued cost/value crisis
The higher education bubble concept
Academic union critiques of online learning
Changes in internships
Crowdsourcing in academia
2. Communities and populations
Student and parent anxieties about debt and employment
Demographic changes in student body: race, size
Possible intergenerational tensions among faculty
Adjunctification rising Restructuring library staff Data analytics
3. Teaching and learning and tech
Uses of social media
Uses of Web video
Changes in the LMS world
Blended learning
Learning analytics
Changes in library role
Digital humanities (in classroom)
The rise of the Maker movement
4. Technology ecosystem
3d printing
Ebooks social media
The Web plateau?
digital video
cloud computing
Apple vs Google
tablets succeeding laptops
augmented reality
automation and artificial intelligence
the growing mobile world
5. The future of liberal education
Financial stresses International campuses
and competition Liberal education and/vs
vocational training Liberal arts institutions’
role in K-12 The MOOC challenge
6. MOOCs
Credit for MOOCs STEM vs humanities Sustainability xMOOC vs cMOOC Liberal arts campuses entering
Scholarship
Open content Possible divide growing
between research and teaching
Changes to the scholarly publication ecosystem
Rise of the digital humanities (as scholarly work)
The library role
Your turn: NON tech trends
Your turn: now, tech trends
To the Web!
NITLE Future Trends page: http://www.nitle.org/future_trends.php
Bryan on 1970s tech: [email protected]
Bryan on Twitter: https://twitter.com/bryanalexander