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Presentation on runway safety and foreign object debris to the SWIFT Airport Operations conference in Montreal, September 2011. By Iain McCreary note: slides only, does not contain text of speech
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INSIGHT SRIAll Rights Reserved © 2011, Iain McCreary and Insight SRI 1
Runway Safety:The surprising dominance of FOD and bird strikes
Iain McCreary12 September 2011
SWIFT ConferenceMontreal, CANADA
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INSIGHT SRIAll Rights Reserved © 2011, Iain McCreary and Insight SRI 2
Why me?
available online www.runway-safety.comUS $1,200; PDF
INSIGHT SRI
The hierarchy of runway safety events (per million flight ops.)
All Rights Reserved © 2011, Iain McCreary and Insight SRI 3
RUNWAY INCIDENTSper million operations
No. ofincidentsoccurring
No. ofaccidentscausing actual
damage
Averagedirect cost
per damage accident
(US$)
Averagedirect cost-all events
(US$)
Direct cost
(US$)
Incursion 14 0.021,567,28
3 1,901 26,763
Excursion 0.7 0.7 907,678 907,678 610,593
Bird (on runway) 65 4.1 359,033 22,741 1,485,075
FOD (on runway) 207 164 10,300 8,144 1,684,985
TOTALS 287 168 - - 3,807,415
INSIGHT SRIAll Rights Reserved © 2011, Iain McCreary and Insight SRI 4
security camera footageMarch 2007
INSIGHT SRIAll Rights Reserved © 2011, Iain McCreary and Insight SRI 5
INSIGHT SRIAll Rights Reserved © 2011, Iain McCreary and Insight SRI 6
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INSIGHT SRIAll Rights Reserved © 2011, Iain McCreary and Insight SRI
Airline PerspectiveNot the cause, but the effect
7
INSIGHT SRIAll Rights Reserved © 2011, Iain McCreary and Insight SRI 8
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INSIGHT SRIAll Rights Reserved © 2011, Iain McCreary and Insight SRI 9
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INSIGHT SRI
Despite what their own numbers and reporting tell them, airlines have a hard time believing that FOD and bird strikes are worth as much as
a merger
All Rights Reserved © 2011, Iain McCreary and Insight SRI 10
INSIGHT SRIAll Rights Reserved © 2011, Iain McCreary and Insight SRI 11
The Airport PerspectiveVisual v. automated runway inspections
INSIGHT SRIAll Rights Reserved © 2011, Iain McCreary and Insight SRI 12
A typical runway inspectionFeb 2008, LAX 25R
Source: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dFFr50wWKOY
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The ‘rules of thumb’ for FOD...
All Rights Reserved © 2011, Iain McCreary and Insight SRI 13
Visual/manual FOD inspections at Large Airports
Rule : 1 pcs of FOD on the runway every 2 months
INSIGHT SRI
FOD collected at Atlanta, airport wide (2008-09)(this pattern is typical for most large airports)
All Rights Reserved © 2011, Iain McCreary and Insight SRI 14
INSIGHT SRI
FOD collected at Atlanta plus 3 other US airports, airport wide (this pattern is typical for most large airports)
All Rights Reserved © 2011, Iain McCreary and Insight SRI 15
INSIGHT SRIAll Rights Reserved © 2011, Iain McCreary and Insight SRI 16
FOD retrieval by time of day at ATL, runway only (2008-09)
Scheduled daily inspections Majority of FOD
collected
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YVR – Operational FOD finds for the North runway (n.b. This is a map! NOT a chart)
All Rights Reserved © 2011, Iain McCreary and Insight SRI 17
longitude
latit
ude
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The ‘rules of thumb’ for FOD...
All Rights Reserved © 2011, Iain McCreary and Insight SRI 18
Automated runway scanning at Large Airports
Rule : 1 pc of FOD every 2 days on the runway
Visual/manual FOD inspections at Large Airports
Rule : 1 pcs of FOD on the runway every 2 months
INSIGHT SRI
Even the best visual inspections are “three nines” (99.9%) ineffective
1. Airports relying on visual detection find 30x to 40x less FOD than airports using automated scanning (1/30 = 3.33%)
2. For airports relying on visual inspections, only 2% to 3% of the debris found is collected during the morning runway inspections (97% - 98% found OUTSIDE scheduled inspections)
3. Therefore, the best-in-class visual runway inspections seem to find less than 3%*3% = 0.1% of debris present during the operational day
CONCLUSION? The FAA approved runway inspection standard is 99.9% INEFFECTIVE!
ICAO 4 per day requirements only slightly better
All Rights Reserved © 2011, Iain McCreary and Insight SRI 19
INSIGHT SRIAll Rights Reserved © 2011, Iain McCreary and Insight SRI 20
INSIGHT SRI
Iain McCrearyManaging Director, Insight SRI
No 5602020 Pennsylvania Ave NWWashington DC, 2006 USA
+1 520 205 [email protected]
All Rights Reserved © 2011, Iain McCreary and Insight SRI
Runway Safety: FOD, Birds, and the Case for Automated Scanning
for sale onlinewww.runway-safety.com
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