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Richard Farr and Niels Lohse International Conference on Remanufacturing ICoR 2011, 27–29 July 2011 University of Strathclyde, Glasgow capacify.wordpress.com Use of Enterprise Simulation to Assess the Impacts of Remanufacturing Operations

Simulating the Impacts of Remanufacturing

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Page 1: Simulating the Impacts of Remanufacturing

Richard Farr and Niels Lohse

International Conference on RemanufacturingICoR 2011, 27–29 July 2011

University of Strathclyde, Glasgow

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Use of Enterprise Simulation to Assess the Impacts of Remanufacturing Operations

Page 2: Simulating the Impacts of Remanufacturing

Content

The remanufacturing conundrumWhy simulate?Model construction and operationSelected resultsOngoing workConclusions and questions

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Page 3: Simulating the Impacts of Remanufacturing

The remanufacturing conundrum

“Stochastic product returns, imbalances in return and demand rates, and the unknown condition of returned products”

– Guide (2000)

how?

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Page 4: Simulating the Impacts of Remanufacturing

Wikner & Tang (2008), “A structural framework for closed-loop supply chains”

Closed loop?

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Page 5: Simulating the Impacts of Remanufacturing

Closed loop?

Can a product such as a toner cartridge be made to serve again and again?

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Page 6: Simulating the Impacts of Remanufacturing

The remanufacturing conundrum

Many people would agree that remanufacturing seems like the right thing to do... but do we really know what to expect?

Impact upon primary manufacturing operationsCapacity requirementsLogistic consequencesCosts as well as savingsSources of risk

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Page 7: Simulating the Impacts of Remanufacturing

Why simulate?

Improve our understanding of the operations within a system.Don’t disrupt the operations of a business while going through this learning process.Reduce risk, since we can experiment with a system before we build the real thing......and before we build thousands of products!Attempt to optimise whole system settings.

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Page 8: Simulating the Impacts of Remanufacturing

Model architecture

Make and ship

Use

End of Life

Install

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Page 9: Simulating the Impacts of Remanufacturing

Model Construction

Rockwell Automation’s discrete event simulation software ‘Arena’

Visual model uses variables held in an Excel spreadsheet, detailing the demand pattern, usage pattern, return rates, etc.

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Page 10: Simulating the Impacts of Remanufacturing

Model Construction

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Page 11: Simulating the Impacts of Remanufacturing

Cyclicuse phase

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Page 12: Simulating the Impacts of Remanufacturing

Application of the model

1. Casing2. Shaft3. Windings, brushes4. Packaging

A simplified product: electric motor with four ‘composite components’: sets of items that behave or are handled in the same way

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Page 13: Simulating the Impacts of Remanufacturing

Application of the model

Composite components are represented parametrically within the model

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Page 14: Simulating the Impacts of Remanufacturing

Static Simulation

Mathematical analysis might tell you approximately how many components you can expect to get back, but it won’t tell you anything about the timing of such flows.(Still useful for model validation)

Lost

Returned

Cannibalize

Refurbish

Remarket

Remanufacture

Recycle

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Page 15: Simulating the Impacts of Remanufacturing

Static Simulation

The timing of flows is significant because sufficient capacity must be in place to perform remanufacturing – and sufficient demand must exist for the product to be sold again.

Lost

Returned

Cannibalize

Refurbish

Timely

Untimely

Remarket

Remanufacture

Recyclecapacify.wordpress.com

Page 16: Simulating the Impacts of Remanufacturing

Model characteristics

Allows exploration of multiple variables: Quality of new componentsLife expectancy of products…

Accident rate, and vulnerabilitiesWear rates, and longevityContract / business modelCustomer behaviour

Condition of returned productsLikelihood of return

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Page 17: Simulating the Impacts of Remanufacturing

Model characteristics

All possibilities (‘decide modules’) within the model are expressed parametrically.If you can edit a spreadsheet, you can ‘drive’ this simulation.

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Page 18: Simulating the Impacts of Remanufacturing

Basic Scenario

Quantity

Month

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Page 19: Simulating the Impacts of Remanufacturing

Shorter product redesign cycle

Quantity

Month

Reduce volume demand period to two years

No time for significant remanufacturing activity

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Page 20: Simulating the Impacts of Remanufacturing

Increased accident rate

Make and ship

Use

Dispose / EOL

Install

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Page 21: Simulating the Impacts of Remanufacturing

Less durable product

Quantity

Month

Increased risk of accidental damage to 5% per month

More remanufacturing, starting earlier

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Page 22: Simulating the Impacts of Remanufacturing

Product retirements

Quantity

Month

Retirements beginning at 24 months (then 5% per month)

Earlier returns

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Page 23: Simulating the Impacts of Remanufacturing

More product retirements

Quantity

Month

Retirements beginning at 12 months (then 12% per month)

Slump

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Page 24: Simulating the Impacts of Remanufacturing

Expanded model with component reuse

Component 3 is reused in a second product type

Page 25: Simulating the Impacts of Remanufacturing

Extended reuse of components

Qu anti ty

Month

Component 3 reused in a second product type

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Page 26: Simulating the Impacts of Remanufacturing

Is it necessarily a good thing to be doing lots of remanufacturing?

Product not robust enough?Product not being provided under the right kind of contract?Customers not continuing to use the product for as long as we might hope?

Need to understand the whole system, not just the level of remanufacturing.

Contentiousissues

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Page 27: Simulating the Impacts of Remanufacturing

Does the original manufacturing system work well when demand is variable, as a result of recirculated material?Are you able to store all the material that comes back?Will you end up paying to dispose of unwanted EOL products that you get back?Is your remanufacturing division going to be in direct competition with another part of the company?

Remanufacturing problems

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Page 28: Simulating the Impacts of Remanufacturing

Investigate the overall utility delivered to society.Associate environmental impact (carbon footprint, or eco-points) with each outcome.This requires that we examine the need for utility – not the monthly demand for the product.Contractual arrangements should match the needs of the market, not just the needs of the remanufacturer.

Ongoing work

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Page 29: Simulating the Impacts of Remanufacturing

Utility viewpoint – maximising the total benefit derived from the resources that are expended.

Ongoing work

Month

Products supplied

Total products in service

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Page 30: Simulating the Impacts of Remanufacturing

Remanufacturing can introduce tremendous complexity.It’s relatively easy to do a little, but hard to do a lot. (A bit like renewable energy in this regard.)There will be some nasty surprises for the ill-prepared.

Conclusions

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Page 31: Simulating the Impacts of Remanufacturing

Further reading

Further information from me can be found on Capacify, the Sustainable Supply Chain blog

http://capacify.wordpress.com

@Capacified

Page 32: Simulating the Impacts of Remanufacturing

References:

Guide, V.D.R. (2000) Production planning and control for remanufacturing: industry practice and research needs, Journal of Operations Management, Vol. 18, No. 4, June 2000, pp. 467–483

Wikner, J. & Tang, O. (2008), A structural framework for closed-loop supply chains, International Journal of Logistics Management, Vol. 19, No. 3, pp. 344–366

Acknowledgement:

Thanks to Brother Industries UK staff in Ruabon, Wales, for sharing so much of their knowledge about remanufacturing practices.

The paper that accompanied this presentation was:

Farr, R and Lohse N (2011) Use of Enterprise Simulation to Assess the Impacts of Remanufacturing Operations, in the Proceedings of the International Conference on Remanufacturing, ICoR 2011, 27–29 July 2011, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, UK

Available from: http://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/3255/

Endnotes

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