Upload
india-water-portal
View
41
Download
2
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
The Economics of Ecosystem and Biodiversity (TEEB)
A brief synthesis
Lalit KumarAssociate Professor
Department of Business Economics, Delhi University
A forest of questions…Why TEEB
• Is it actually ethical to reduce biodiversity, which is about life, to mere economics ?
• And why should the complex web of life, diverse and location-specific in character, lend itself to global economic analysis and modelling ?
• And isn’t the scientific understanding of ecosystem dynamics, and of the link between biodiversity and ecosystem resilience, too weak to support a study of economic implications ?
• Is it appropriate to isolate ecosystem and biodiversity benefits and value them individually (as in a TEV approach), and assume the whole does not exceed the sum of its parts ?
• We are still struggling to find the “value of nature”.
• Nature is the source of much value to us every day, and yet it mostly bypasses markets, escapes pricing and defies valuation.
• This lack of valuation is, we are discovering, an underlying cause for the observed degradation of ecosystems and the loss of biodiversity.
The Problem and its Root Causes
• The history of post-War economic growth has been one of unsustainable development : unsustainable for the planet’s ecosystems, for its species diversity, and indeed for the human race.
• By some recent yardsticks of sustainability, our global ecological footprint has doubled over the last 40 years, and now stands at 30% higher than the earth’s biological capacity to produce for our needs.
• The ongoing degradation of ecosystems and loss of biodiversity, especially observable in the post-war era, is a well-documented reality.
• Several reports, culminating in the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, (2003 and 2005), have presented the evidence of a 60% loss in ecosystem services in the last 40 years (MA, 2005)
Direct Drivers
Indirect Drivers
EcosystemServices
Human Well-being
Life on Earth: Biodiversity
MA Conceptual Framework
Causes of Biodiversity loss• Thus the root causes of biodiversity loss lie in the nature of
the human relationship with Nature. We have not widely understood that our survival depends on co-existence, on living in harmony with Nature.
• Our dominant economic model promotes and rewards more versus better consumption, private versus public wealth creation, man-made capital versus natural capital.
• This is the “triple-whammy” of self-reinforcing biases which leads us to promote an economic model in which we tend to extract without fear of limits, consume without awareness of consequences, and produce without responsibility for third-party costs, the so-called ‘externalities’ of business.
What to do…corrections
To include natural and human capital formation and destruction in the accounts of society;To expand the reach of markets in order to enable payments for ecosystem services ; To tax what we take (resources) and not what we make (profits from goods and services); and so on. These are all big changes, each of which would address the “root causes” of biodiversity loss and ecosystem degradation.
Economics for a Changing Society
• But of course, there are no markets for the largely public goods and services that flow from ecosystems and biodiversity, and no prices. The traditional term for this is “market failure”.
• There is deep-seated, widespread and inherent market-centric mindset (and our almost unequivocal association of price with value).
• TEEB attempts to demonstrate significant value flowing from nature to human society in terms of welfare benefits, employment, and solutions to poverty.
TEEB Approach
• Shadow prices can and should be calculated and presented, in the proper context of different biomes and differing socio-economic conditions, for a wide range of ecosystem services.
• TEEB’s view is that we should acknowledge the weaknesses of valuation methodology in calculating such shadow prices and not shy away from stating best available estimates of value using the most appropriate of reviewed methodologies, strictly to help decision- makers to take better informed choices.
• This is because the alternative is in fact ethically worse : to permit the continued absence of prices to seep even further into human consciousness and behaviour as a “zero” price and thus no value.
“you cannot manage what you do not measure”
Accounts for a Changing Society • Society wishes to manage its development sustainably, mitigate
climate risks, reduce ecological scarcity, and arrest the extinction of species.
• However, to be able to achieve any of that, society needs appropriate measures of the underlying variables : the sustainability of economic development, the quantum of greenhouse gases, the extent and quality of our ecological commons, and the richness and viability of species.
• Other than the total GHG levels and annual GHG emissions, none of these underlying quantities has a widely accepted standard measure.
Biodiversity, Ecosystems, and their Services
Change inEconomic
Value
InternationalPolicies
Changein
Land use,Climate,
Pollution,Water use
OECDBaselinescenario
ChangeIn
EcosystemServices
Changein
Biodiversity
Changein
Ecosystemfunctions
Change inEconomic
Value
InternationalPolicies
Changein
Land use,Climate,
Pollution,Water use
OECDBaselinescenario
ChangeIn
EcosystemServices
Changein
Biodiversity
Changein
Ecosystemfunctions
Change inEconomic
Value
InternationalPolicies
Changein
Land use,Climate,
Pollution,Water use
OECDBaselinescenario
ChangeIn
EcosystemServices
Changein
Biodiversity
Changein
Ecosystemfunctions
TEEB approach
TEEB valuation – (1) Recognize value: a feature of all human
societies and communities
(2) Demonstrate value: in economic terms, to support decision making
(3) Capture value: introduce mechanisms that incorporate the values of eco-systems into decision making.
A story of 50 year old TREE
Provides oxygen worth USD 7,700 (INR 350,000) Facilitates recycling of water worth USD 10,000 (INR
450,000) Conserves soil worth USD 8,333 (INR 375,000) Controls pollution worth USD 17,700 (INR 750,000) Provide shelter for animals and birds worth USD 8,333 (INR
375000)
Cut the TREE and you will get USD 1,111 (INR 50,000) only!!
Few basic questions for Valuation
What are the key ecosystem goods and services (EGS) provided by natural resources?
How does EGS support livelihoods? What is the consumptive and non-consumptive values of EGS
for rural/ urban/ national GDP? How do the provisioning of EGS impact and gets impacted by
market dynamics? What are the distributional aspects of EGS? Who benefits
most? How much? Why? What would be the economic cost for restoration of EGS and
its avoided destruction?
Valuation map
Challenges– Uncertainty. – Resilience– Non linear changes– Scaling-up value estimates. – The possibilities for adjusting transferred values for differences
in ecosystem context – Aggregation of bundled ecosystem values and double counting; – Transfer of non-use values that are highly specific to social
context; – Transferring and aggregating values for non-marginal changes
in ecosystem service provision.
Biomes:
• 1 Marine/open ocean• 2 Coastal systems (Estuaries, Shelf sea, Sea grass beds etc)• 3 Wetlands (Mangroves, Floodplains, Peat-wetlands, Tidal marsh• 4 Fresh water bodies (Lakes, rivers)• 5 Forests (Tropical, Temperate and Boreal)• 6 Woodland / Shrubland• 7 Grassland / Rangeland• 8 Desert• 9 Tundra / Taiga• 10 Cold desert (Ice/Rock/Polar)• 11 Cultivated• 12 Urban
Valuation Methods and value type• 1 Direct market pricing Direct• 2 Factor Income Direct• 3 Avoided Cost Indirect• 4 Replacement cost Indirect• 5 Mitigation and restoration Cost Indirect• 6 Travel Cost Indirect• 7 Hedonic Pricing Indirect• 8 Contingent Valuation CVM• 9 Group Valuation CVM• 10 PES Indirect• 11 Benefit transfer Direct• 12 Total Economic Value Total
Ecosystem services considered
2023-05-02 20
A. SupportingA1. Primary productionA2. Nutrient CyclingA3. Water Cycling
C. ProvisioningC1. Food provisionC2. Water provisionC3. Energy provisionC4. Fiber productionC5. Biochemical provision
B. RegulatingB1. Climate regulationB2. Disease regulationB3. Water regulationB 4. Protection from HazardB 5. Pollination
D. Cultural servicesD 1. SpiritualD2. Recreation
Values of Nature
05/02/2023 22
Physical costsHuman preferences
SOCIAL AND POLITICAL SCIENCESMARKET THEORY /CHREMATISTICS
DIRCT USE
INDIRECT USE
OPTION OR CUASI-OPTION
USE VALUE
NON-USE VALUE
LEGACYEXISTENCE
Market analysis.
Cost methods
Market analysis. Cost methods.
Hedonic pricing.Contingent valuation.
Contingent election
Replacement and avoided cost methods
Contingent valuation
Contingent election
VALU
ATIO
N /
VALU
ATIO
N /
ACC
OU
NTI
NG
SU
BJE
CTAC
CO
UN
TIN
G S
UB
JECT
MET
HODS
/ TO
OLS
/ M
ETHO
DS /
TOO
LS /
MO
DEL
SM
OD
ELS
Group and deliberative
valuation
Joint analysis
CO
NC
EPTU
AL
CO
NC
EPTU
AL
APPR
OAC
HAP
PRO
ACH
Socio-cultural
valuationEconomic valuation
NON ECONOMIC
VALUES
SOCIAL VALUE
Human preferences
SOCIAL AND POLITICAL SCIENCESMARKET THEORY /CHREMATISTICS
DIRCT USE
INDIRECT USE
OPTION OR CUASI-OPTION
USE VALUE
NON-USE VALUE
LEGACYEXISTENCE
Market analysis.
Cost methods
Market analysis. Cost methods.
Hedonic pricing.Contingent valuation.
Contingent election
Replacement and avoided cost methods
Contingent valuation
Contingent election
VALU
ATIO
N /
VALU
ATIO
N /
ACC
OU
NTI
NG
SU
BJE
CTAC
CO
UN
TIN
G S
UB
JECT
MET
HODS
/ TO
OLS
/ M
ETHO
DS /
TOO
LS /
MO
DEL
SM
OD
ELS
Group and deliberative
valuation
Joint analysis
CO
NC
EPTU
AL
CO
NC
EPTU
AL
APPR
OAC
HAP
PRO
ACH
Socio-cultural
valuationEconomic valuation
NON ECONOMIC
VALUES
SOCIAL VALUE
INDUSTRIAL ECOLOGY/ TERMODYNAMICS
MATERIALS /SURFACE /
LAND COVER
ENERGY /EXERGY /EMERGY
Embodied Energy Analysis
Exergy analysisEmergy analysis
PHYSICAL COST
Physical accounts
Material flow analysis
Input-Output aEcological footprint
Land-cover flow
INDUSTRIAL ECOLOGY/ TERMODYNAMICS
MATERIALS /SURFACE /
LAND COVER
ENERGY /EXERGY /EMERGY
Embodied Energy Analysis
Exergy analysisEmergy analysis
PHYSICAL COST
Physical accounts
Material flow analysis
Input-Output aEcological footprint
Land-cover flow
Total Economic Value
Direct use Indirectuse
Recreation, spriritua/cultural
well-being, reserach education
Crops, livestock,
fisheries , wild foods,
aquaculture
Pest control, pollination, water
regulation and purification, soil
fertility
Actualvalue
Altruist value
Bequest value
Philantropic value
Altruism to biodiversity
Existence value
Satisfaction of knowing that a species or ecosystem
exists
Satisfaction of knowing that
future generationswill have acces tonature’s benefits
Satisfaction of knowing thatother
people have acces to nature’s benefits
Non-use values
Future use of known benefits
Option value
Consumptive
Use values
Output value
Minimum provisioning of healthy functioning
ecosystems
Infrastructure valueRights that
species have to exist
Intrinsic value
Value
Instrumental value
Non consumptive
Source: Gómez-Baggethun, deGroot, et al. in progress
TEEB final average value per biome (Rs/ha/year), 2016
ESService Marine Coastal Wetlands Fresh water Forests Woodlands Grasslands Cultivated Average1 Food 658550 233892 54282 4962 7681 203342 2915 97974 1579502 Water 0 101710 451101 247248 10541 0 20614 12017 1405383 Raw materials 24027 558 42979 93 11500 38962 1485 4390 150604 Genetic 1471253 0 829 0 14025 0 1 0 3715275 Medical 0 0 6648 0 4859 0 0 0 57546 Ornamental 18984 0 722 0 0 898 0 0 68687 Air quality 0 0 16638 0 16541 35764 7395 12247 147648 Climate 25335 0 112293 4252 59487 15758 31687 55937 462939 Extreme events 1814370 1811332 410224 0 2831 0 0 0 1009689
10 Water flows 0 0 38510 0 96333 0 0 0 4534311 Waste 3037 0 373272 121393 3999 18889 9121 15959 7795312 Erosion 13641817 0 19331 0 25061 3971 3422 0 273872113 Soil fertility 3159 1394500 30729 93 36568 0 18025 20266 21476314 Pollination 0 0 1236 0 11004 0 0 1581 460715 BioControl 259 3929 1137 0 925 0 0 0 156216 Life cycles 0 7760 9325 0 910 35957 0 0 1348817 Genetic Diversity 325273 5946 39808 23016 21535 39 3360 52254 5890418 Aesthetic 267285 0 0 0 0 268771 0 0 26802819 Recreation 1902045 992184 90845 46753 45152 0 271 3804 43715220 Inspiration 1 0 42824 0 4 0 0 0 1427621 Spiritual 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 022 Cognitive 155058 2951 0 0 0 0 0 0 79004
Total 20310453 4554761 1742735 447808 368957 622352 98295 276429 0
TEEB final average value per biome ($/ha/year), 2007 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 11 ESService Marine Coastal Wetlands Fresh water Forests Woodlands Grasslands Cultivated Average
1Food 9,147 3,248 754 69 107 2,824 40 1,361 2,1942Water 1,413 6,265 3,434 146 286 167 1,952
3Raw materials 334 8 597 1 160 541 21 61 209
4Genetic 20,434 12 195 0 5,1605Medical 92 67 80
6Ornamental 264 10 12 95
7Air quality 231 0 230 497 103 170 2058Climate 352 1,560 59 826 219 440 777 643
9Extreme events 25,200 25,157 5,698 39 14,023
10Water flows 535 1,338 63011Waste 42 5,184 1,686 56 262 127 222 1,08312Erosion 189,470 268 348 55 48 38,038
13Soil fertility 44 19,368 427 1 508 250 281 2,983
14Pollination 17 153 22 64
15BioControl 4 55 16 13 22
16Life cycles 108 130 13 499 187
17Genetic Diversity 4,518 83 553 320 299 1 47 726 818
18Aesthetic 3,712 3,733 3,723
19Recreation 26,417 13,780 1,262 649 627 4 53 6,072
20Inspiration 0 595 0 19821Spiritual 22Cognitive 2,154 41 1,097
Total 282,090 63,261 24,205 6,220 5,124 8,644 1,365 3,839
GDP of the POOR
While the value of forest services such as fresh water, soil nutrients, and non-timber forest products was only around 7% of national GDP, it amounted to some 57% of the livelihood incomes of India’s rural poor
Ecosystem Losses and Poverty “GDP of the Poor” is the most seriously hit by ecosystem losses
Indonesia India Brazil
99 million 352 million 20 millionEcosystem services dependence
Ecosystem services as a Percentage of classical GDP
Ecosystem services as a percentage of “GDP of the Poor”
Ecosystem services Source: Gundimeda and Sukhdev, D1 TEEB
The Economics of Ecosystems and Biodiversity
The Economics of Ecosystem Services (TEEB): some numbers
1. Conserving forests avoids greenhouse gas emissions worth US$ 3.7 trillion.
2. Global fisheries underperform by US$ 50 billion annually.3. The importance of coral reef ecosystem services: Coral reefs are home to an estimated 1-3 million species,
including more than a quarter of all marine fish species. Some 30 million people in coastal and island communities
are totally reliant on reef-based resources as their primary means of food production, income and livelihood (Gomez et al. 1994, Wilkinson 2004).
Contd......4. Green products and services represent a new market opportunity:
Global sales of organic food and drink have been increasing by over US$ 5 billion a year, reaching US $46 billion in 2007.
5. Ecotourism is the fastest-growing area of the tourism industry with an estimated increase of global spending of 20% annually.
6. Bee keeping generates US$ 213 million annually in Switzerland. The total economic value of insect pollination worldwide is estimated at €153 billion, representing 9.5% of world agricultural output in 2005.
7. Tree planting enhances urban life quality in Canberra, Australia: These benefits are expected to amount to some US$ 20-67 million over the period 2008-2012, in terms of the value generated or savings realized for the city.
Shrimp Farm
private profits less
subsidies Net of public costs of restoration after 5 yrs
private profits
Mangroves
0
10,000
US$/ha
private profits
5,000
PRIVATE PROFITS PUBLIC LOSSES
If public wealth is included, the “trade-off” choice changes completely…..
$584ha
$1220ha
$9632ha
$584ha
-ve $11,172ha
$12,392ha
Sour
ce: B
arbi
er 2
007
After adding public benefits from
mangroves
The Economics of Ecosystems and Biodiversity
• Thanks