What role will climate change play in the B.C. election?

February 3rd, 2017

A look at the current carbon pollution trajectory

Jeremy Moorhouse – Senior Analyst, Clean Energy Canada

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Collaboration

Commissioned

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Point 1: Carbon pollution will increase

Emissions from buildings, transport, industry, utilities, LNG and natural gas. Forestry reductions are unknown and not included

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Point 1: Carbon pollution will increase

Emissions from buildings, transport, industry, utilities, LNG and natural gas. Forestry reductions are unknown and not included

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Results – Carbon Pollution

2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 20500.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0 Reference case

CLP & federal carbon price

BC 2020 target

-30% from 2005, based on federal

target

BC 2050 target

CLP & federal carbon price with forestry

abatement

Annu

al e

miss

ions

in M

t CO2

e

53 MT GAP41 MT GAP

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Point 2: Growth in carbon pollution will mostly come from natural gas and LNG

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Point 3: Fossil fuels remain the dominant source of energy in 2030

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Point 4: You can grow your economy and reduce carbon pollution – in fact it’s essential

http://cleanenergycanada.org/work/a-clean-economy-and-jobs-plan-for-british-columbia/

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The challenge for a new government in May• Carbon pollution is forecast to grow• Proposed LNG and associated natural gas

production are the main sources of growth• Fossil fuels remain the dominant source of energy

in B.C. out to 2030• B.C. can grow its economy and reduce carbon

pollution

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Resources

• Modelling the Impact of the Climate Leadership Plan & Federal Carbon Price on British Columbia’s Greenhouse Gas Emissions

• A clean economy and jobs plan for British Columbia