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Asia Matters
Asia Ireland Food and Agritech Forum
14 July 2015Cork Institute of Technology, Cork
@asiamatters_biz #AsiaIrlFood @asiabizweek
In Food We Trust
14 July 2015Cork Institute of Technology, Cork
New Realities in Asian Markets for Ireland: The Success of Origin Green.
Aidan CotterChief Executive, BordBia (Irish Food Board)
Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture
Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture
“New Realities in Asian Markets for Ireland”… and the Role of Origin Green
Aidan Cotter Tuesday, 14th July 2015
Asia Ireland Food and Agritech Forum
Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
0
1000000000
2000000000
3000000000
4000000000
5000000000
6000000000
7000000000
8000000000
9000000000
10000000000
3 billion
7.3 billion
6 billion
5 billion
4 billion
9 billion
World Population 1950 - 2050
54% in cities
66% in cities
30% in citiesSource: UN World Population Prospects; the 2012 revision
What’s Driving Global Demand for Food……
8 billion
Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0% 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
China
India
OtherAsia
Japan
United States
EU
Others
Shares of Global Middle Class Consumption, 2000-2050
Source: OECD Working Paper
“3 billion consumers will join the middle classes
over the next 20 years”
changing lifestyles,shifting dietary habits”
India and China Make Waves in the Global Middle Class
Growing the success of Irish food & horticultureSource: UN World Population Statistics, 2012
More than three of every four people live in Asia or Africa%
Asia Africa Europe Latin America North America Oceania0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
59
18
9 95 1
2010 2015 2025
Africa+302m
Asia+364m
Latin America +61m North America +29mFrom 2015 to 2025 population will grow by 760m
Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture
Global population continues to grow older
World Asia Europe North America Africa0
10
20
30
15 15
2725
6
201020152025
% of population aged over 60
…in Europe, by 2025 more than 200 million people will be over 60 …
Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture
Source: OECD & FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015-2024
Emerging markets driving global demand
Beef Pigmeat Poultry Sheepmeat Butter Cheese WMP SMP Fish0
10
20
30
40
50
World Developing OECD
Global demand for livestock & fish products (% Ch 2024 vs. 2012-2014 average)
Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture
990 FAO Food Price Index1990 to date, 2002-2004 = 100)
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 201550.0
100.0
150.0
200.0
250.0
NominalPrice Index
Real Price Index
2008
2011
Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 20140
2
4
6
8
10
12
€7.2bn
€7.9bn
€8.9bn €9.1bn
€10.0bn€10.5bn
Source: CSO
Irish Food and Drink Exports 2010 - 2014
Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture
2010 2011 2012 2013 20140
2000000000
4000000000
6000000000
8000000000
10000000000
12000000000
3.4% 4.3% 5% 6% 8.6%
ROW
Asia
Asia’s Share of Irish Food and Drink Exports is growing
Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture
Total Irish Food and Drink Exports to Asia
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
€267m
€383m€453m
€605m
€902m
Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture
Export Growth by Region
2014 vs. 2013 (% Change)
Int. Markets Continental EU United Kingdom-10
-5
0
5
10
15
15
2
0
Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture
Growth in exports to International Markets: Asia Dominates
Rest of Asia China Nth. America Middle East Africa0
20
40
60
80
58
36
1811
9
Food and drink exports by region (% Change on 2013)
Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture
China€547m
S. Korea€47m
Malaysia€44m
Japan
€58m
Thai-land €40m
Philippines
€39m
Vietnam€38m
Sin-gapor
e€33m Other
€54
2014: Total: €902m
Irish food & drink exports to Asia: China Dominates
Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture
Dairy€530m
Prepared Foods€114m
Beef Offal€58m
Pigmeat
€108m
Seafood€49m
Beef€21m
Beverages€18m Other
€5m
Total: €902m
Irish food & drink exports to Asia: Dairy Dominates
Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture
Irish food & drink exports to China growing rapidly
No. 2 Dairy MarketNo. 2 Pork Market
No. 6 Overall
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 20140
100000000
200000000
300000000
400000000
500000000
600000000
Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture
Irish Dairy Exports to China growing rapidly
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 20140
50,000,000
100,000,000
150,000,000
200,000,000
250,000,000
300,000,000
350,000,000
400,000,000
OtherWheyButter & cheeseMilk PowdersIMF
€m
Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture
Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture
Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture
Chinese Consumer Trends:………………… Evolving
Food Choice
Food Safety
Taste
Country of Origin
HealthNatural Production
Convenience
Indulgence
Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture
Retail Environment in China: “Extremely Fragmented”
Traditional Supermarkets
Serve “mass” market low income
groups
Stocking local product, low
opportunity for premium imported
Growing MNC Hypermarkets
A platform with mixed success in China
(failure to localize
Serving mass market with local and imported
food products
Emerging Premium Supermarkets
Serving burgeoning upper middle class and high income +
expat
A key market for premium products such as imported
shellfish
Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture
Rise in use of mobile technology
Source: McKinsey Global Institute, March 2013
Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture
Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture
Market Entry Strategy in China
Having a Presence
on the ground!
Understand the market
Find the right
partner
Negotiate a win-win
deal Execute!
This does “not” happen overnight. It can take anywhere from 12-18 months to gain traction in the market! The most import step –
Choosing the RIGHT PARTNER
Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture
Exporting Food & Beverage Products to China
Look at Food Additives! Many legal
in the EU are banned in
China
Ex certain sugars in
confectionary
Look at Marketing Claims
Organic Labelling“Cost Restrictive”
Does your partner / Customer have an import licence
Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture
South KoreaSouth KoreaIndonesiaVietnam
Consumer insights through ethnography in dairy markets
Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture
Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture
Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture
Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture
A World Leader in Sustainability
Measuring what matters…
Accreditation, independent verification…
Performance based on science innovation and best practice…
Every farm and food manufacturing businesssigns up to the sustainability agenda…
Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture
Energy Emissions Water
Biodiversity Socio-economic data
Traceability Welfare
Environment Animal Health
Food Safety
Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture
Farm Quality & Sustainability Audits
45,000 Beef Farms 90% of Beef Exports, Audited & Carbon Footprinted
18,000 Dairy Farms100% Milk production, participants entering audit cycle
Pigmeat, Poultry, Eggs, Horticulture, GrainSustainability measures being implemented
90,000 carbon assessments on farms to date
Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture
Company Recruitment Pipeline
460 Companies Registered90% of exports
189 companies at workshop/ plan development phase
167 plans being processed
104 plans acceptedOver 75% of exports
Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture
Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture
Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture
THE WORLD WILDLIFE FUND
AND WE’VE SEENA FEW MAJOR WINS
IRELAND BECAME THE FIRST COUNTRY TO COMMIT TO THIRD-PARTYVERIFIED, 100% SUSTAINABLE FOOD EXPORTS BY 2016
Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture
Our Approach
ETHNOGRAPHY
2 researchers
48 home visits
36 store visits
300 hours in-field
14 brand clinics
Shanghai
Beijing
Chengdu
Consumer insights through ethnography in dairy markets
Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture
Emerging Urban Middle Class will become the future mainstreamers
Western lifestyles have influenced consumption patterns
Growing concern for their environmentSoul Searching – questioning money and materialismThe Urban Lifestyle is Challenging Chinese Desire For Balance
Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture
Core Consumer Insight
Chinese consumers believe that countries that produce the best food balance the needs of people today and tomorrow
Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture
Communicating Irish Dairy
Clean & Green is strongly
associated with NZ and the Netherlands
Science is strongly
associated with the US & Germany
No-one owns the cross
generational message of
sustainability
Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture
Origin Green resonates with
Chinese consumers…
…because this multi-dimensional brand message…
…is about a balanced
approach to food production…
…that is genuinely different to NZ and
other countries.
Communicating Irish Dairy
Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture
Components of S & P 500 Market Value
Intangible Assets Tangible Assets1975 1985 1995 2005 2010
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
83
68
3220 20
17
32
6880 80
Source: Ocean Tomo
Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture
Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture
“New Realities in Asian Markets for Ireland”… and the Role of Origin Green
Aidan Cotter Tuesday, 14th July 2015
Asia Ireland Food and Agritech Forum