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PLANNING FOR BREXIT: ISSUES YOUR CHARITY NEEDS TO CONSIDER GOING FORWARD

CHAIRBRENDAN COSTELLOE SENIOR EXTERNAL RELATIONS OFFICER (EU), NCVO

SPEAKERSDUNCAN SHRUBSOLEDIRECTOR OF POLICY, PARTNERSHIPS AND COMMUNICATIONS, LLOYDS BANK FOUNDATION

JEMMA LEVENEDEPUTY DIRECTOR, HOPE NOT HATE

PETER REEVEHEAD OF HR, MND ASSOCIATION AND HEAD OF CHARITIES HR NETWORK

Brexit – the HR implications

Exercises in politics and fortune telling!

Peter Reeve

Head of HR MND Association / Chair Charities HR Network

Brexit - HR implications

Currently we have clarity as to the nature of the

Brexit arrangements

Look at two areas:

1. Workforce Implications leading up to Brexit

2. Predictions and Implications

The run up to Brexit

• The non-UK workforce

– According to CIPD figures 27% on EU nationals in the

UK were considering leaving

– Applications from EU qualified nurses fallen 70%

– 17% fall in seasonal workers coming to the UK

EU nationals in the UK are worried and others are not

coming in the first place

How reliant is your organisation on EU labour and where

else it might come from?

The run up to Brexit

• Salary inflation and real incomes

– CPI is currently at 3.5%+

– Interest rates are back up to 0.5%

2018 is likely to see real earnings fall

- What increases in costs can you afford?

- How to support people who fall into hardship?

Brexit - Politics and employment law

The government has said that Brexit will not see

a wholescale degradation of workers rights

• They don’t have the seats to pass significant changes

• But where were the UK reluctant adopters – EWTD,

agency workers rules – watch this space

What capability/capacity does your organisation have to

monitor and respond to changes significant and sudden

changes in employment law?

Brexit - uncertainty and change

Your organisation has a number of employees

who are genuinely worried about the/their future

Employers have to play a much greater role in

managing social issues – retirement, vocational

education etc

What communication and engagement capacity

do you have to honestly and openly support and

engage your people?

Community Cohesion post-Brexit

HOPE not hate Charitable Trust

@hopenothate

http://charity.hopenothate.org.uk/

@jemma_levene

England increasingly tolerant and open

39% occupy two most liberal tribes in society

But 23% of population = active enmity or latent hostile

Attitudes towards immigration are softening, caused by

changing demographics and the belief among sceptics that

Brexit will partly solve the ‘problem’. Over 90% of Britons

believe immigration is essential, but economic need should

determine the level of future immigration.

The British public are not confident about multiculturalism

and most people fear that British values are in decline. The two

liberal tribes distance themselves from the majority of British

public in this respect

Brexit

Only 6% of people are very confident Theresa May will secure a good deal for Britain in EU negotiations.

Brexit divides British society into two distinct groups. Little prospect that a deal can be secured without angering and further alienating one or both groups. Very little appetite for reversing Referendum result.

Cautious optimism remains about economy, but people are reporting less disposable income than a year ago; increasing opposition to austerity. Expectations for future economic well-being are divided along Brexit lines, with Remain voters fearful and Leave voters more optimistic.

Attitudes to the Grenfell Tower disaster shows deep divide in the country

Londoners, Labour voters and BAME draw a wider lesson about Britain’s unequal society where the poor lose out

Those outside London, Conservatives and Nigel Farage supporters view it as an isolated unfortunate accident.

http://nationalconversation.uk/resources/

Aims:

to get people talking about difficult issues

to engage with anxious middle ground in

polarised immigration debate, specifically about regaining trust after Brexit

The big challenges ahead

• Britain increasingly divided. Looking at tough period of economic downturn after Brexit, which could trigger resentment and an increased hatred toward others

• The ‘difficult conversations’ we need to have. We need to engage with concerns around integration and security

• How to fight active hostility? A constant hostile section of society could easily be triggered to negative actions by increased economic insecurity and sense of betrayal through Brexit processes