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CSIS Slides 14 OCT 2014 v2

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Slides from Chief of Naval Operations (CNO) Adm. Jonathan Greenert's presentation at the Center for Strategic and International Studies on 14 October 2014.

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Page 1: CSIS Slides 14 OCT 2014 v2

CSIS / USNI MARITIME SECURITY DIALOGUE SLIDES

14 OCT 2014

CHIEF OF NAVAL OPERATIONS (CNO)

Adm. Jonathan Greenert

Page 2: CSIS Slides 14 OCT 2014 v2

Bases

Places

Crossroads

East Coast - Suez Canal 15East Coast - Strait of Hormuz 24East Coast - Strait of Malacca 31West Coast - Yokosuka 14West Coast - Strait of Hormuz 32West Coast - Strait of Malacca 23

Transit Times (in days)

~4 ships

~53 ships(41 non rotational)

~35 ships(22 non rotational)

~10 ships(3 non rotational)

~2 ships

Total : 289 ShipsDeployed: 104 Ships

50,000 personnel Ships deployed (Avg Last 90 Days)

2 Oct 14

~185 ships

Page 3: CSIS Slides 14 OCT 2014 v2

0

100

200

300

400

Navy’s Fleet SizeSupply vs Demand

3

108 Ships, FY94

24% of Battle Force108 Ships today

37% of Battle Force

289 Ships

Impacts:• Longer deployments

• Less surge capacity

• Reduced service life

• Shorter turn around

Despite Battle Force size, global demand remains high

454 Ships

Fleet Size

Combatant Commander Need:

~450 ship Navy

Globally Deployed Ships

SHIPS

Page 4: CSIS Slides 14 OCT 2014 v2

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

0

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

WWII Peak: 3.4M Sailors

Fleet SizeWWII Peak: 6,768 Ships

1917: 289-ship Navy

2014: 289-ship Navy

Unit quality increased over time, but “quantity has a quality of its own”

Personnel

Navy Historical Trends

During Operations ENDURING & IRAQI FREEDOM:• Navy personnel decreased by 67,000 (~17%)

• Battle Force size decreased by 23 ships (~7%)

Page 5: CSIS Slides 14 OCT 2014 v2

Location of Crude Oil Carriers on Any Given Day

Energy powers world economies. Unimpeded flow is critical to

ensuring our collective prosperity and security

Ships >5500 DWT © 2014 IHS

Page 6: CSIS Slides 14 OCT 2014 v2

Seaborne Trade Growth

Seaborne trade on a steady rise through history.

Projected to more than double again by 2030.

Air

13%

Land

12%Sea

75%

Vo

lum

e:

Metr

ic T

on

s (

milli

on

s)

2013 Trade Split by Value

© 2014 IHS

© 2014 IHS