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Messages from the Ganges Basin Development Challenge (GBDC) Unlocking the Produc>on Poten>al of the Polders of the Coastal Zone of Bangladesh through Water Management Investment and Reform GBDC Community

Messages from the Ganges Basin Development Challenge

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Presented by TP Tuong, consultant for International Rice Research Institute Revitalizing the Ganges Coastal Zone Conference 21-23 October 2014, Dhaka, Bangladesh http://waterandfood.org/ganges-conference/

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Page 1: Messages from the Ganges Basin Development Challenge

Messages  from  the  Ganges  Basin  Development  Challenge  (GBDC)    

Unlocking  the  Produc>on  Poten>al  of  the  Polders  of  the  Coastal  Zone  of  

Bangladesh  through  Water  Management  Investment  and  Reform    

GBDC  Community    

Page 2: Messages from the Ganges Basin Development Challenge

•  Based  on  findings  of  all  the  Gs  +  discussions,  consulta>ons.  

About  the  messages  

•  Aims  – Reconfirm,  re-­‐emphasize  the  poten>als  of  the  coastal  zone  

– Offer  new  points  of  views  about  the  polders  – Advocate  for  the  changes  in  resource  use,  resource  management  policies,  ins>tu>onal  coordina>on  and  governance  mechanism  

•  Products  of  the  GBDC  community  as  a  whole  

Page 3: Messages from the Ganges Basin Development Challenge

Polder-­‐3  Satkhira  

HIGHLY  SALINE  

Polder-­‐30  Khulna  

MODERATELY  SALINE  

Focal  study  areas  in  Bangladesh  for  cropping  systems  &  HH  survey  Polder-­‐43/2F  Patuakhali  

VERY  SLIGHTLY  SALINE  

3  

Page 4: Messages from the Ganges Basin Development Challenge

•  Message  1:  Water  resources:  rich  but  under-­‐uLlized  •  Message  2:  Huge  producLon  potenLals  •  Message  3:  New  paradigm  for  water  management  infrastructure  investment  

•  Message  4:  Three  Ler  strategy  for  infrastructure  maintenance  

•  Message  5:Transparent  and  accountable  IWRM  governance  

•  Message  6:  Enhance  transboundary  co-­‐operaLon  to  cope  with  sea  level  rise  

•  Message  7:  Invest  in  spaLal  data  infrastructure  and  modern  tools  in  planning,  policy  analysis,  technology  targeLng    

Content  

Page 5: Messages from the Ganges Basin Development Challenge

•  Percep&on:  Water  resources  in  the  coastal  zone  are  a  constraint  to  agricultural  produc&on.    Therefore,  underused  

Message  1.    Water  resources  in  the  coastal  zone  are  rich,  but  under  uLlized.    

•  Reality:  They  are  rich  and  have  huge  poten&al  to  support  agricultural  and  aquacultural  produc&on    

Page 6: Messages from the Ganges Basin Development Challenge

Rabi  (Boro)            Kharif-­‐2  (T.  Aman)                        Kharif-­‐1  (Aus)    

2  PPT  

Salinity  and  Available  flow  in  Payra  River  

Low  salinity  Zone  (Barisal)  :  there  is  fresh  water  for  irriga>on  year  round  –  now  and  near  future  

Page 7: Messages from the Ganges Basin Development Challenge

Rabi  (Boro)            Kharif-­‐2(T.  Aman)  

2  PPT  

Salinity  and  Available  flow  in  Kazibacha  River  

Medium  salinity  zone:  enough  fresh  water  for  dry  season  irrigaLon  for  part  of  the  area      

Storage  water  can  irrigate  25%  of  area  during  February  -­‐  April  

Page 8: Messages from the Ganges Basin Development Challenge

2  PPT  

Rabi  (Shrimp)          Kharif-­‐2  (T.  Aman)                    Kharif-­‐1(Shrimp)  

Salinity  in  Ichamo>  River  

High  salinity  zone:  brackish  water  supports  high-­‐income  aquaculture.    It  is  a  resource,  not  a  constraint  

Page 9: Messages from the Ganges Basin Development Challenge

Advances  in  development  of  new  rice,  upland  crop  varie&es  and  aquaculture  species  

high  rice/upland  crop  yields  in  areas/seasons  not  previously  possible    

     

Message  2:    There  is  huge  potenLal  for  greatly  increasing  producLvity  through  cropping  system  

intensificaLon  and  diversificaLon    

Tremendous  opportunity  for  cropping  system  intensifica&on  &  diversifica&on  across  all  salinity  regimes  of  the  coastal  zone    

More  profitable,  less  risky  aquaculture  systems  

   Advances  in  cropping  system  research,  crop,  fish,  water  mgt      

Page 10: Messages from the Ganges Basin Development Challenge

Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun

       Mungbean                                  (0.5-­‐1.0  t/ha)  

         TradiLonal/HYV  Rice              (2-­‐4  t/ha)                                  

ExisLng  cropping  paaern:  LOW  SALINE  area  

         TradiLonal/HYV  Rice  (2-­‐4  t/ha)                                  

         Aus  Rice          (2-­‐4  t/ha)  

         Aus  Rice  

Rice:  4-­‐8  t/ha/yr          Mungbean:  <1  t/ha  

Page 11: Messages from the Ganges Basin Development Challenge

Boro  (140-­‐145  d)  15  Apr    10  Aug  

25  Jul  25  Nov  

15  Nov    15  Apr  

         T.  Aman  (130-­‐140  d)                            Aus  (100-­‐105  d)  

M   J   J   A   S   O   N   D   J   F   M   A   M  

11  

Cropping  system  intensificaLon  for  low  salinity  areas  1.  Aus-­‐aman-­‐boro  (16-­‐18  t/ha)  

HYV  Short  dura>on  Salt  tolerant    

HYV  Medium  dura>on  Submergence  tolerant  Water  stagna>on  tolerant  

HYV  Medium  dura>on  “Early”  sowing    

Successfully  implemented  on-­‐farm  for  3  years,  9th  crop  –  polder  43/2F  

Page 12: Messages from the Ganges Basin Development Challenge

15  Apr  

 10  Aug  

25  July  

25  Nov    30  Apr  Rabi  (130-­‐140  d)  

15  Dec            T.  Aman  (130-­‐140  d)          

Aus  (100-­‐105  d)  

A   M   J   J   A   S   O   N   D   J   F   M   A  

Cropping  system  intensificaLon  for  low  salinity  areas  2.  Aus-­‐aman-­‐rabi  (~10  t/ha  rice  +  8  t/ha  maize  OR  3  t/ha  sunflower  etc)  

HYV  Short  dura>on  Salt  tolerant  

HYV  Medium  dura>on  Submergence  tolerant  Water  stagna>on  tolerant  

HYV  Maize  Sunflower,    Water  melon  Chilli  etc.  

Successfully  implemented  on-­‐farm  for  3  years  –  9th  crop  –  polder    43/2F  

Page 13: Messages from the Ganges Basin Development Challenge

Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun

       Sesame/Mungbean                    (0.5-­‐1.0  t/ha)  

         TradiLonal/HYV  Rice              (2-­‐4  t/ha)                                  

         TradiLonal  Rice  (2-­‐3  t/ha)  

ExisLng  cropping  paaern:  MEDIUM  SALINE  area  

Rice:  2-­‐4  t/ha                  Rabi:  <1  t/ha  

Page 14: Messages from the Ganges Basin Development Challenge

Boro  (140-­‐145  d)    01  July  

15  Nov  

10  Nov  10  Apr            T.  Aman  (130-­‐140  d)  

       

M   J   J   A   S   O   N   D   J   F   M   A   M  

14  

Cropping  system  intensificaLon  for  medium  salinity/water  short  areas  1.  Aman-­‐boro  (~9  t/ha)  

HYV  Medium  dura>on  Submergence  tolerant  Water  stagna>on  tolerant  

HYV  “Early”  sowing  Shorter  duraLon  Salinity  tolerant  

Successfully  implemented  on-­‐farm,  5  years  10th  crop  –  polder  30  

Page 15: Messages from the Ganges Basin Development Challenge

01  July  15  Nov  

 30Mar  Rabi  (110-­‐140  d)  

15  Dec            T.  Aman  (130-­‐140  d)          

A   M   J   J   A   S   O   N   D   J   F   M   A  

15  

Cropping  system  intensificaLon  for  medium  salinity  areas  2.  Aman-­‐rabi  (~5  t/ha  rice  +  7  t/ha  maize,  2-­‐3  t/ha  sunflower  etc)  

HYV  Medium  dura>on  Submergence  tolerant  Water  stagna>on  tolerant  

Maize  Sesame  Sunflower  

Page 16: Messages from the Ganges Basin Development Challenge

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan

         TradiLonal/HYV  Rice                (2-­‐4  t/ha)                                  

         Aquaculture                  (250-­‐300  kg/ha)  

         Aquaculture                                                                                                                                (250-­‐300  kg/ha  shrimp  +  1.0-­‐1.5  t/ha  fish)  

ExisLng  cropping  paaern:  HIGH  SALINE  area  

Shrimp:  250-­‐300  kg/ha            Rice:  2-­‐4  t/ha        Fish:  1.0-­‐1.5  t/ha  

Page 17: Messages from the Ganges Basin Development Challenge

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Gher preparation Rice nursery

Shrimp+Fish

 

Rice+Fish+Prawn  

Cropping  system  intensificaLon  for  high  salinity  areas  Shrimp+fish  –  Rice+fish  

HYV  Salt  tolerant  Water  stagna>on  tolerant  Submergence  tolerant  3  in  1  

Virus  free  shrimp  seed  Filtered  water  Feeding  Water  depth  >0.5  m  Trench  (deep  water  refuge  around  perimeter  

Drainage/  leaching  

ProducLon  (kg/ha)  Shrimp  300-­‐500    Fish  2,000-­‐3,000  

Page 18: Messages from the Ganges Basin Development Challenge

Outputs Target area for extrapolation domains

Highly saline - Polder 3 Rice/shrimp & Aquaculture

Moderately saline - Polder 30 – Usually one crop per

year

Very slightly saline - Polder 43/2f

Up to two crops per year

We’ve  tested  innovaLve  cropping  systems  for  slightly,  moderately  and  highly  saline  areas  in  three  polders.    

Page 19: Messages from the Ganges Basin Development Challenge

?  ?  

?  ?  

?  

?  ?  ?  

?  ?  

?  

?  ?  

?  ?  

?  

Where  else  can  these  highly  producLve  cropping  systems  be  successful?  Where  are  the  best  bets  for  increasing  producLvity?  How  many  people,  how  much  area?  

Page 20: Messages from the Ganges Basin Development Challenge

Results  Improved  systems…  

Not  Suitable  Not  Suitable  Marginally  suitable  Suitable  Most  suitable  

Over  500,000  ha  is  suitable  for  Aman  HYV  –Boro  HYV    in  Barisal  Division  alone,  yielding  up  to  9  t/ha.    This  is  an  area  which  is  currently  

dominated  by  a  single  crop  per  season.  

Aman  HYV  –  Boro  HYV  suitability  map  for  polders  in  Barisal  division  

Page 21: Messages from the Ganges Basin Development Challenge

ExtrapolaLon  Domains  :  Aus  (HYV)-­‐Aman  (HYV)-­‐Rabi  cropping  system    

Not  Suitable  Marginal  Suitable  

Over  500,000  ha  is  suitable  for  Aus  HYV  -­‐  Aman  HYV  -­‐  Rabi  in  Barisal  Division  alone,  yielding  up  to    

10  t/ha  rice  plus  9  t/ha  maize  OR  3  t/ha  sunflower  

Aus  HYV  –  Aman  HYV  -­‐  Rabi  suitability  map  for  polders  in  Barisal  division  

Not  Suitable  Marginally  suitable  Suitable  Most  suitable  

Page 22: Messages from the Ganges Basin Development Challenge

22  

Huge potential

How to unlock??

Page 23: Messages from the Ganges Basin Development Challenge

•  Polders:  High  posi>ve  impact  •  Design  based  on  1960s  concept,  to  support  a  single  crop  of  tradi>onal  aman  rice    -­‐  tall,  late  maturing,  low  yielding.  

•  It  did  not  take  into  account,  prevents  taking  advantage  of,  the  advances  of  new  varie>es,  cropping  intensifica>on  

 

Message  3:  Invest  in  water  management  infrastructure    with  (a)  fundamental  changes  the  roles  of  the  polders    

 

•  The  roles  of  the  polders  must  change  and  include  “enabling  cropping  intensified  and  diversified          produc&on  systems”  

 

Message  3:  Invest  in  water  management  infrastructure    with  (a)  fundamental  changes  in  thinking  about  the  polders    

and  their  roles  

Page 24: Messages from the Ganges Basin Development Challenge

•  Polder  must  be  able  to  •  Intake  fresh  river  water  for  irriga>on  •  Store  fresh  water  when  surrounding  river  water  becomes  saline    

•  Drain  strategically  (message  3b)  •  Control/Intake  of  brackish  water  •  Convey  water  to/from  the  fields  

 

Message  3:  Invest  in  water  management  infrastructure    with  (a)  fundamental  changes  in  thinking  about  the  polders    

and  their  roles  (Cont.)  

•  Redefine  polders.    Polder  is  NOT  simply  the  embankment  and  peripheral  sluices.  It  is  an  integrated  water  management  unit,  with  due  aGen&on  given  to  infrastructure  within  the  polder  

•  Repair,  rehabilitate?    

Page 25: Messages from the Ganges Basin Development Challenge

•  Polder  must  be  able  to  •  Intake  fresh  river  water  for  irriga>on  •  Store  fresh  water  when  surrounding  river  water  becomes  saline    

•  Drain  strategically  (message  3b)  •  Control/Intake  of  brackish  water  •  Convey  water  to/from  the  fields  

 

Message  3:  Invest  in  water  management  infrastructure    with  (a)  fundamental  changes  in  thinking  about  the  polders    

and  their  roles  (Cont.)  

•  Redefine  polders.    Polder  is  NOT  simply  the  embankment  and  peripheral  sluices.  It  is  an  integrated  water  management  unit,  with  due  aGen&on  given  to  infrastructure  within  the  polder  

 •  Repair,  rehabilitate        renovate    

Page 26: Messages from the Ganges Basin Development Challenge

Message  3:  Invest  in  water  management  infrastructure  (conLnued)  

26  

 (b)  Improve  drainage  as  the  key  intervenLon  and  the  entry  point  for  cropping  intensificaLon  and  

diversificaLon    

 (c)  Create  sub-­‐hydrological  units  within  the  polders    

Page 27: Messages from the Ganges Basin Development Challenge

Message  4:  Invest  in  infrastructures  maintenance,  the  Achilles  heel  of  the  coastal  zone…    

•  Poor  condiLon  of  gates,  khals  and  some  embankments  due  to  poor  maintenance  

•  Water  Management  OrganizaLons  were  created  for  solving  ‘deferred  maintenance’    

 Why  communiLes  don’t  maintain?  

•  Finance  problems  •  Incen>ve  problems  

•  Public  goods  dilemma  •  If  communi>es  don’t  fix  it  in  >me,  government  or  donor  will  in  a  few  years  

BUT  

New  project,  infrastructure  rehabilitaLon  

Neglect,  deterioraLon  

Deferred  maintenance  

Page 28: Messages from the Ganges Basin Development Challenge

Message  4  :  …  but  deferred  maintenance  can  be  solved    through  a  three  Ler  strategy.  

a.  COMMUNITY  LEVEL:    increasing  ownership  and  contribu&ons  

b.  LOCAL  GOVERNMENT  LEVEL:  Effec*ve  use  of  LGI’s  social  safety-­‐nets  funds  in  maintenance  of  infrastructure    

C.  GOVERNMENT  AND  DONOR  LEVEL:  Trust  Fund  for  maintenance    

Page 29: Messages from the Ganges Basin Development Challenge

Message  5:  A  transparent  and  accountable  water  governance  framework  is  needed  for  the  polders.  

a.  Formalize  and  enhance  the  role  of  LGI  in  water  governance    

b.  Follow  an  integrated  water  resource  management  framework  

Page 30: Messages from the Ganges Basin Development Challenge

Transboundary  Flow  Message  6:  :  Enhance  transboundary  co-­‐operaLon  to  cope  with  CC  &  sea  level  rise  

 

Page 31: Messages from the Ganges Basin Development Challenge

May2012,  Base  condiLon  with  maximum  Transboundary  flow  under  Ganges  Treaty  

Effect  of  Transboundary  Flow  :South-­‐west  Zone  of  Bangladesh  

Page 32: Messages from the Ganges Basin Development Challenge

May2012,  Base  condiLon  with  minimum  Transboundary  flow  under  Ganges  Treaty  

Effect  of  Transboundary  Flow  :South-­‐west  Zone  of  Bangladesh  

Page 33: Messages from the Ganges Basin Development Challenge

May,  2030  climate  change  (A1B)  with  minimum  Transboundary  flow  under  Ganges  Treaty  

Effect  of  Climate  Change  and  Transboundary  Flow:  South-­‐west  Zone  of  BD  

Page 34: Messages from the Ganges Basin Development Challenge

Message  7.    Invest  in  spaLal  data  infrastructure  and  modern  tools  in  planning,  policy  analysis,  technology  

targeLng  and  consensus  building.  

7a.  Models  and  databases  must  be  able  to  integrate  socioeconomic  and  biophysical  data  and  have  access  to  mulLdisciplinary,  mulL-­‐insLtuLonal  datasets.    

-­‐   Many  datasets  in  Bangladesh  have  been  generated  by  projects.      What  happens  to  those  data  when  the  project  stops?  

Page 35: Messages from the Ganges Basin Development Challenge

7b.    A  SpaLal  Data  Infrastructure  (SDI)  should  be  in  place.    

-­‐    Encourages  BGD  ins>tutes  to  openly  share  GIS  data.    -­‐    Include  a  sustainable  and  transparent  data  sharing  mechanism,  based  on  mutual  trust  and  understanding.    -­‐  Greatly  enhance  the  ability  of  all  concerned  to  respond  to  policy  makers  needs.    

Message  7.    Invest  in  spaLal  data  infastructures  and  modern  tools  in  planning,  policy  analysis,  technology  

targeLng  and  consensus  building.  

Page 36: Messages from the Ganges Basin Development Challenge

The  adopLon  of  improved  species/varieLes,  and  cropping  system  intensificaLon  and  diversificaLon  across  the  coastal  zone  offers  the  potenLal  for  Bangladesh  to  make  a  quantum  leap  in  meeLng  future  food  security  requirements.  

Take  home  message    

Unlocking  the  potenLal  requires  effecLve  investment  in  water  management,  but  with  •  fundamental  changes  in  thinking-­‐about  the  roles  of  the  polders  and  their  water  management  infrastructure,    

•  and  major  reforms  in  insLtuLonal  coordinaLon  and  water  governance  mechanisms.    

Page 37: Messages from the Ganges Basin Development Challenge

Take Home Message

Page 38: Messages from the Ganges Basin Development Challenge

Thank you