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CORE Spring Meeting
25th April 2013
Lily Kak on behalf of the GNAP team
Lily Kak, USAID (on behalf of the GNAP team)Core Spring MeetingApril 26, 2013
What is the Global Newborn Action Plan?
• Global plan for country action linked to Every Woman Every Child, and to A Promise Renewed
• Global partnership with multiple organizations including:– Country governments– United Nations – NGOs– Universities and Professional organizations– Donors and foundations
2
Timeline• Global consultation (started in Johannesburg): April – October 2013• Launch of plan: November 2013:
Source: Lawn J,E. et al. 2012. Newborn survival: a multi-country analysis of a decade of change. Health Policy and Planning. 27(Suppl. 3): iii6-ii28. Data sources: UNICEF 2011 www.childinfo.org , UN MMR estimates 2012
Global progress for reducing maternal, newborn and child deaths has accelerated with the MDGs
Average rate reduction 1990-2010
Maternal mortality ratio 4.2%
Mortality for children 1- 59 months
2.5%
Neonatal mortality (<1 month) 1.8%
At least 30%
slower for
newborn
survival3
19902000
20102012
20142016
20182020
20222024
20262028
20302032
20340
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100U5M current trajectory: ARR 2.5%• MDG 4 achieved in 2035• 4 million deaths annually in 2035
U5M ARR 5.2% • 2 million deaths by 2035 • Every country reaches
20/1000 Many countries below 15/1000
MDG 4
6 m deaths in 2011
The trajectory of newborn deaths is flat compared to under-five trajectory and goal of 20/1000 by 2035
Source: UNICEF State of the World’s Children 2012; The UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation, Levels and Trends in Child Mortality: Report 2011, 2011; Team analysis from 2035 onward based on straight-line ARR reduction from UNICEF numbers 1990-2035
NMR current trajectory of ARR 2.2%
4
Mortality rate (per 1,000 live births)
9.6 mm deaths in 2000
19901992
19941996
19982000
20022004
20062008
20102012
20142016
20182020
20222024
20262028
20302032
20340
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Year
Neo
nata
l mor
talit
y ra
te (p
er 1
,000
live
bir
ths)
NMR target of 10 by 2035ARR: 3.2%
NMR target of 5 by 2035ARR: 6.0%
Current trajectoryNMR in 2035: 13
ARR: 2.2%
We need to bend the curve to end preventable neonatal deaths by 2035 What is plausible? NMR = 5 or 7 or 9 or 10?
-1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
EGYPT
IRAN
IRAQMOROC.
BOLIV.
BRAZIL
MEXICO
P.N.G.
CAMBODIA
INDONESIA
CHINA
DPRKLAOS
PHILIPPINES VIET NAM
AZERB.
KYRGYZ
TURK
UZBEKISTAN
BANGLADESH
BHUT.
INDIA
NEPAL
PAKISTAN
BOTSWANA
C.A.R.
DRC
ERITREA
ETHIOPIA
MADAG.
MALAWI
RWANDA
SENEGAL
SOMALIA
S. AFRICA
SWAZI.
TANZ.
ZIMBABWE
SubSaharan Africa
Southern Asia
MidEast/ North Africa
LAC
East Asia/ Pacific
Central & E.Europe/ Ind. States
Observed Annual Reduction in NMR (2011)Requ
ired
Annu
al R
educ
tion
in N
MR
to R
each
10
by 2
035
LIBERIA
*Bubble size = # newborn deaths 2011
Many countries need to dramatically accelerate progress to achieve 10 by 35, many others will not be challenged by it (you’re on track if you’re on or below the line)
Bending the curve: looking back, looking forward
Looking back: period of learning • 2005: Newborn Lancet series• January 2011: World Health Assembly Resolution• June 2012: Child Survival Call to Action/A
Promise Renewed• April 2013: Global Newborn Conference
Looking forward: poised for scale and impact• Nov 2013: Global Newborn Action Plan Launch• National rollout of newborn programs
8
3 reasons why the past does not have to be our future for newborn survival….
1. We know the causes
2. We have high impact interventions that integrate within health systems
3. We know it can be done as some low income countries are succeeding
Looking forward: poised for scale and impact
1
2
3
43%
We now know why newborns dieCHANGE 1
Source: Liu et al. 2012. Global, regional and national causes of child mortality in 2000-2010:. The Lancet. DOI:10.1016/SO140-60560-1.
3 million
9
Global causes of child deaths for 2010
717,200
713,000
1,077,800Preterm complications
Intrapartum events
Neonatal infection
Newborn deaths invisible in global estimates until 2005 – now visible
We can reduce the main causes of deathNewborn Survival Solutions – 3 by 2, Plus 1
Preterm birth1. Preterm labor management including antenatal corticosteroids*2. Care including Kangaroo mother care, essential newborn care
Birth complications (and intrapartum stillbirths)3. Prevention with obstetric care *4. Care - essential newborn care, resuscitation*
Neonatal infections5. Prevention, essential care, breastfeeding, Chlorhexidine *6. Case management of neonatal sepsis *
Keep healthy newborns healthy7. Essential newborn care
1
2
3
* Prioritized by the UN Commission on Life Saving Commodities for Women and Children
CHANGE
2
Over two-thirds of newborn deaths preventable – actionable now without intensive care
Plus 1
MDG 4 MDG 5 Neonatal mortality rateAnnual Rate of Reduction:
2000-2010
Rwanda Progressing 6.2%
Bangladesh 4.0%
Nepal 3.6%
Malawi Progressing 3.5%
Some countries are “bending the curve” for newborn survival
Source: Newborn survival decade of change analysis: Health Policy and Planning. 27(Suppl. 3) papers 3 to 7
CHANGE
3
GNAP emerging themes
1. Happy Birth Day! Focus on care around birth, saving women and stillbirths as well as newborns
2. Mother and baby belong together, and it is critical for midwives and caregivers to be empowered to care for baby as well as mother
3. Highly cost-effective interventions work for the 3 main causes of newborn death and can be scaled up - some countries have halved newborn deaths in 20 yrs
4. Quality of care matters and saves lives and reduces disability
5. Stronger health systems are crucial and saving newborn babies is the most sensitive marker of a health system that works
6. Families and communities are key to mobilise change for their newborns
Ending preventable newborn deaths: GNAP Strategic Approaches
1. Leadership and political commitment: country and global
2. Focus on high impact interventions
3. Move towards universal coverage of essential maternal and newborn care
4. Address the gap in quality of care
5. Create a supportive environment
6. Ensure mutual accountability
Challenge: What game-changing action can you take?
Three actions:1. Increase birth notification 2. Increase home-based postnatal care coverage3. Change social norms about newborn death
Pvt. company NGO
Partnership for Three Actions
#Newborn2013 #GlobalNewbornAction