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Anticipating a world in which pharmaceutical companies outsource all R & D
SGC Oxford SGC Toronto SGC Stockholm
Early-stage drug discovery research:
Skating to where the puck will be
NON CONFIDENTIAL
1. Global of funding for health and drug discovery research will not increase
2. On average, over past 30 years, fewer drugs with novel mechanisms are being approved per dollar
3. Pharma is retrenching from research; merging, “right-sizing”, seeking locations where costs are lower
4. Pharma exiting completely from more challenging areas of drug discovery (i.e. neurosciences)
5. Morgan Stanley report advises pharma to go the whole hawg: “get out of R+D altogether”
Situation
1. Research and development outside pharma walls
2. $20B R+D spent more globally – more competitive.
3. Academia will feel pressure to become more “industry-like”
4. More biotech’s will emerge
5. Knowledge will become increasingly balkanized
6. At the end of the day, this will only re-shuffle. If only 1-5 occur, cost of drug discovery and cost of healthcare will not decrease, and society’s unmet needs will remain unmet.
How drug discovery will evolve
What change is required to deliver new medicines more effectively/cheaper
1. Better and broader understanding of biology - Reagents and tools to facilitate research - Deeper understanding of patient heterogeneity
2. Assays that better reflect behaviour of drug candidates in humans - Disease-relevant assays with clinical material
3. Less duplication in drug development – Partnerships to determine efficacy of “pioneer” targets
4. More community involvement – Mechanisms to allow all scientists to participate in drug
discovery – More patients involvement/understanding
How to effect this change?
1. Focus on science, not on IP generation
2. Take advantage of the passion to make a difference
3. Involve clinicians more closely in drug discovery
4. Fund the effort through open access public-private partnerships - from discovery to clinical proof-of-concept
5. Make data available from beginning to end to empower and involve scientists
Two possible ways forward for Ontario and Canada
1. Try to compete within the existing drug discovery ecosystem - Same strategy as always - Not so sure that we have proven we can compete
2. Be part of changing drug discovery ecosystem - Get “first mover” opportunity - Play to the strengths of Canadians and Canadian science
(effective, efficient, collaborative) - Does not stop us from competing in existing system
What is required to deliver new medicines more effectively/cheaper
1. Better and broader understanding of biology - Reagents and tools to facilitate research - Deeper understanding of patient heterogeneity
2. Assays that better reflect behaviour of drug candidates in humans - Disease-relevant assays with clinical material
3. Less duplication in drug development – Partnerships to determine efficacy of “pioneer” targets
4. More community involvement – Mechanisms to allow all scientists to participate in drug
discovery – More patients involvement/understanding
Why public-private partnerships?
Better and broader understanding of biology will not quickly come within existing academic structure
Target discovery 10 years after the genome Protein kinase citation patterns (the “Harlow-Knapp Effect”)
Patents
Driver mutations
HUMAN PROTEIN KINASES (ordered by most citations 1950-2002)
CIT
ATIO
NS
(nor
mal
ized
)
Citations/kinase as a function of time
1950-2002 2003-2008
2009
* * *
Is the H-K Effect a carry-over from pre-genome science?
Academic research is highly redundant
NUCLEAR HORMONE RECEPTOR
CIT
ATIO
NS
Citation patterns for nuclear hormone receptors
(1950-2010)
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000 ER
a A
R
PR
PPA
Ra
PPA
Rg
GR
R
AR
a VD
R
MR
TR
b PX
R
ERb
LXR
a LX
Rb
PPA
Rd
FXR
C
AR
SF
1 N
GFI
Ba
RA
Rb
RA
Rg
NG
FIB
b TR
a H
NF4
a D
AX
RO
Ra
SHP
CO
UP2
ER
Ra
CO
UP1
R
OR
g LR
H1
Rev
-erb
a ER
Rg
NG
FIB
g G
CN
F R
XRg
Rev
-erb
b TR
2 R
XRa
ERR
b PN
R
TR4
RXR
b TL
X R
OR
b C
OU
P3
CIT
ATIO
NS
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
ERa
AR
PP
AR
a PP
AR
g PR
G
R
RA
Ra
VDR
M
R
PXR
LX
Ra
LXR
b PP
AR
d FX
R
TRb
CA
R
RO
Rg
NG
FIB
a ER
b N
GFI
Bb
HN
F4a
RO
Ra
SHP
ERR
a SF
1 D
AX
Rev
-erb
a R
AR
b C
OU
P2
RA
Rg
TRa
ERR
g LR
H1
CO
UP1
N
GFI
Bg
Rev
-erb
b R
XRa
RXR
b R
XRg
PNR
ER
Rb
RO
Rb
GC
NF
TLX
TR2
TR4
CO
UP3
H
NF4
g
NUCLEAR HORMONE RECEPTOR
NR citations in 2009 adhere to the H-K Effect
CIT
ATIO
NS
(nor
mal
ized
) However, the relative order has changed
NUCLEAR HORMONE RECEPTOR
1990-1994 2009
* * * * *
* *
CIT
ATIO
NS
Chemical probe available
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
ERa
AR
PP
AR
a PP
AR
g PR
G
R
RA
Ra
VDR
M
R
PXR
LX
Ra
LXR
b PP
AR
d FX
R
TRb
CA
R
RO
Rg
NG
FIB
a ER
b N
GFI
Bb
HN
F4a
RO
Ra
SHP
ERR
a SF
1 D
AX
Rev
-erb
a R
AR
b C
OU
P2
RA
Rg
TRa
ERR
g LR
H1
CO
UP1
N
GFI
Bg
Rev
-erb
b R
XRa
RXR
b R
XRg
PNR
ER
Rb
RO
Rb
GC
NF
TLX
TR2
TR4
CO
UP3
H
NF4
g
NUCLEAR HORMONE RECEPTOR
Tools are the key to overcome the Knapp Effect
Few, if any quality chemical probes
available
Inter-linked partnerships to drive drug discovery 1. Better and broader understanding of biology
- Reagents and tools to facilitate research (SGC) - Deeper understanding of patient heterogeneity (ICGP)
2. Assays that better reflect behaviour in humans - Disease-relevant assays with clinical material (Network of
Disease Institutes)
3. Less duplication in drug development – Partnerships to determine efficacy of untested targets
(Open access clinical PoC)
4. More community involvement – Mechanisms to allow all scientists to participate in drug
discovery (BioHub; Sage Bionetworks) – More patients involvement/understanding (Open access
clinical PoC)
Reagent partnerships 1. Better and broader understanding of biology
- Reagents and tools to facilitate research (SGC) - Deeper understanding of patient heterogeneity (ICGP)
2. Assays that better reflect behaviour in humans - Disease-relevant assays with clinical material (Network of
Disease Institutes)
3. Less duplication in drug development – Partnerships to determine efficacy of untested targets
(Open access clinical PoC)
4. More community involvement – Mechanisms to allow all scientists to participate in drug
discovery (BioHub; Sage Bionetworks) – More patients involvement/understanding (Open access
clinical PoC)
• Established 2003
• Based in Univ. of Toronto, Karolinska Institutet and Univ. of Oxford
• 200 scientists
• Funded by - Private: GSK, Merck, Novartis, (Pfizer) - Govt: Canada, Sweden - Charities: Wellcome Trust, Wallenberg Foundation
SGC: A model for reagent generation
SGC: the model works • 1000 human protein structures – all available without
restriction – ~30% of novel human proteins in PDB per annum
• 2000 human proteins in purified form (milligram quantities)
• >100 structures of proteins from parasitic protozoa – Chemical validation for drug targets in toxoplasmosis (Nature, 2010)
and sleeping sickness (Nature, 2010)
• 500 cDNA clones distributed freely every year (academia, biotech, pharma)
• ~2 publications per week (11 in past two years in Science, Cell, Nature journals)
Highlights of modus operandi • SGC model allows opportunity to work with the very best
– 200+ collaborations
• SGC model drives fast data dissemination – On average, each SGC structure enters public domain
18-24 months in advance of academic norms
• SGC model promotes collaboration – Average of >3 non-SGC authors for each paper
• SGC model focuses on milestones – 1000 structure target (2004-2011); 1,100 achieved to date
• No IP is a fundamental tenet of the model
Impact of “no IP”
• Collaborate quickly with any scientist, lab or institution
• Work closely with multiple organisations, on same project
• Generate data quickly
• Place data in public domain quickly
Applying the SGC model to uncover new targets for drug discovery
Epigenetics – going the way of protein kinases?
Number of Citations
Fam
ily m
embe
r
Industry Public Domain
Public/Private Partnership
Chemical Probes
Screening Chemistry Structure Bioavailability
Target Validation
No IP No restrictions Publication
Drug Discovery
(re)Screening Chemistry Lead optimization Pharmacology DMPK Toxicology Chemical development Clinical development
Pre-Competitive Chemistry
Creative commons Proprietary
Jan 09
Well. Trust (£4.1M) NCGC (20HTSs)
GSK (8FTEs)
Ontario ($5.0M)
OICR (2FTEs)
UNC (3FTEs)
April 09 June 09 June 10
Pfizer (8FTEs)
Pharma (8FTEs)
Epigenetics Chemical Probes Consortium Accessing expertise, assays and resource quickly
Sweden ($3.0M)
15 acad. labs
….more than $50M of resource
Open access chemical probe shows Brd4 is a potential oncology target
Selectivity Potency (ITC)
(+)JQ1 but not stereoisomer (-)JQ1 binds to BET BRD with Kd’s between 40 to 100 nM.
Co-crystal Structure
FRAP Assay
A Network of Disease Institutes 1. Better and broader understanding of biology
- Reagents and tools to facilitate research (SGC) - Deeper understanding of patient heterogeneity (ICGP)
2. Assays that better reflect behaviour in humans - Disease-relevant assays with clinical material (Network of
Disease Institutes)
3. Less duplication in drug development – Partnerships to determine efficacy of untested targets
(Open access clinical PoC)
4. More community involvement – Mechanisms to allow all scientists to participate in drug
discovery (BioHub; Sage Bionetworks) – More patients involvement/understanding (Open access
clinical PoC)
Better prediction of drug efficacy Problem
Animal and cell-based models of disease poorly predict the efficacy of drug candidates (small molecule or biologic); most diseases are poorly understood
Solution Create a network of science-based Disease-Focused Institutes to tackle the diseases of greatest societal importance
Outcome 1. New targets for therapeutic intervention 2. Disease relevant assays 3. Biomarkers for disease progression and treatment
A Model for Disease Focused Institutes
1. Each Institute focused on specific disease [e.g. pancreatic cancer(s)]
2. Science funded stably by public and private sectors 3. Human is the disease model; must link to clinicians 4. All data generated, assays, ideas within the four walls are
open access 5. Industry scientists welcome to work at the Institute and have
complete access to science 6. Set up quantitative objectives; impact measured against
milestones as well as customary academic assessment criteria
7. The science must be genome or system-based, not biased by current thinking
Generating more targets with clinical PoC 1. Better and broader understanding of biology
- Reagents and tools to facilitate research (SGC) - Deeper understanding of patient heterogeneity (ICGP)
2. Assays that better reflect behaviour in humans - Disease-relevant assays with clinical material (Network of
Disease Institutes)
3. Less duplication in drug development – Partnerships to determine efficacy of untested targets
(Open access clinical PoC)
4. More community involvement – Mechanisms to allow all scientists to participate in drug
discovery (BioHub; Sage Bionetworks) – More patients involvement/understanding (Open access
clinical PoC)
Reducing waste in clinical development Problem
Most novel targets are pursued by multiple companies without disclosure of the data. With a 90% failure rate in clinical trials, this wastes resource, hampers learning and subjects patients to compounds destined to fail (and likely to cause harm).
Solution Pursue large numbers of “never before been drugged” targets to clinical PoC within an open access consortium
Outcome 1. Clinically-validated targets at reduced cost 2. Reduced patient harm 3. More knowledge about role of target in human biology
A model for open access clinical PoC Consortia
1. Funded by public and private sectors 2. Science, not market, driven 3. Governed by funders; all stakeholders part of
equation (funders, patients, regulators) 4. Set up quantitative objectives; impact measured
against milestones as well as customary academic assessment criteria
5. All data open access
Empowering scientists to get involved 1. Better and broader understanding of biology
- Reagents and tools to facilitate research (SGC) - Deeper understanding of patient heterogeneity (ICGP)
2. Assays that better reflect behaviour in humans - Disease-relevant assays with clinical material (Network of
Disease Institutes)
3. Less duplication in drug development – Partnerships to determine efficacy of untested targets
(Open access clinical PoC)
4. More community involvement – Mechanisms to allow all scientists to participate in drug
discovery (BioHub; Sage Bionetworks) – More patients involvement/understanding (Open access
clinical PoC)
Social networks to reduce waste in research Problem
$20B of funding spent on laboratory equipment/reagents. Much funding wasted on poor products. >$1B alone wasted on poor quality antibodies
Solution Create mechanism for scientists to contribute to the global knowledge
Outcome 1. Better experiments, faster 2. Reduced cost of research
BioHub 1. Toronto-based company 2. Initial focus on providing mechanism to provide
feedback on efficacy of commercial antibodies 3. No charge for academics to comment or view
comments (like Trip Advisor) 4. The idea is only as good as the willingness of
scientists to participate
Market size: ~$20B up for grabs
Potential opportunities for research and business
1. Academic partnerships that deliver new targets 2. High value clinical trials 3. Contract research organizations with leading edge science 4. Biotech companies with compounds and technologies
Potential impact
1. More industry funding for University and Hospital-based research 2. A business community built on high value service 3. A clinical trial network that works on innovative targets 4. Better business climate for biotech due to enhanced links with
industry
Opportunities for Ontario in the new drug discovery ecosystem
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
FUNDING PARTNERS Canadian Institutes for Health Research, Canadian Foundation for Innovation, Genome Canada through the Ontario Genomics Institute, GlaxoSmithKline, Knut and Alice Wallenberg Foundation, Merck & Co., Inc., Novartis Research Foundation, Ontario Innovation Trust, Ontario Ministry for Research and Innovation, Swedish Agency for Innovation Systems, Swedish Foundation for Strategic Research, and Wellcome Trust. www.thesgc.org
SGC Aled Edwards Chas Bountra Cheryl Arrowsmith Johan Weigelt Udo Oppermann Stan Ng Alice Grabbe Michelle Daniel Atul Gadhave Stefan Knapp Panagis Fillipakopoulos Sarah Picaud Tracy Keates Ildiko Felletar Brian Marsden Minghua Wang
SGC cont. Frank von Delft Tom Heightman Martin Philpott Oleg Fedorov Frank Niesen Tony Tumber Jing Yang
GSK Tim Willson Ryan Trump
Oxford Chemistry Chris Schofield Nathan Rose Akane Kawamura Oliver King Lars Hillringhaus Esther Woon
Oxford Biochemistry Rob Klose Shirley Li
NCGC Anton Simeonov Dave Maloney Ajit Jadhav Amy Quinn
….and many others
UNC Stephen Frye Bill Janzen Tim Wigle
Cambridge Chris Abell Alessio Ciulli
ICR Julian Blagg Rob van Montfort Rosemary Burke
Harvard Jay Bradner Jun Qi