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Is the Program Working? New spatially-discrete tools for rapid assessment and program evaluation of SRTS mode shift impacts Transportation Research Board Moving Active Transportation to Higher Ground: Opportunities for Accelerating the Assessment of Health Impacts April 13, 2015 Timothy G. Reardon Assistant Director of Data Services Metropolitan Area Planning Council 1

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Page 1: Reardon trb 4_13_2015

Is the Program Working?

New spatially-discrete tools for rapid assessment and program evaluation of SRTS mode shift impacts

Transportation Research Board Moving Active Transportation to Higher Ground: Opportunities for Accelerating the Assessment of Health Impacts

April 13, 2015

Timothy G. Reardon

Assistant Director of Data Services

Metropolitan Area Planning Council 1

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Co-author:

Wendy Landman

Financial Support:

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Finding the Walk-to-School “Target Market”

All students?

Living close to their school and

Safe walking routes are available and

Currently being driven to school

Where do we find these

Proximate Auto Commuters?

A different kind

of mode shift

How many kids?

How many miles?

How much

emissions?

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Defining School “Walksheds”

4

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School Walkability Index

5

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MySchoolCommute Survey Instrument

New, 6-question school

commute survey

English and eight most

common foreign

languages

Pilot survey in two

schools

On-line map interface

51% response rate

during initial 2011

deployment 6

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Survey Results on the Map

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20% 27% 22% 21%

15%

27%

33%

31% 26%

20%

47%

18%

8%

6%

22%

36%

49%

62%

-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

0.5 mile 1.0 mile 1.5 mile 2.0 mile 2+ miles

Walkshed

Morning Commute Mode MASafeRoutesSurvey.org surveys, July 2013 - March 2015

N=13,712

Other

School Bus

Walk/Bike

Auto - Dedicated

Auto - En Route

Mode Choice by Walkshed

8

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Walk Share vs. Proximity

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0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

- 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50

Est

ima

ted

Walk

/Bik

e S

hare

, A

ll S

tud

en

ts

Average Distance to School, all students (miles on road)

Average Distance to School and Walk Share, MASafeRoutesSurvey.org surveys, July 2013 - March 2015

38 “high response” schools (>150 surveys)

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School Commute “Profiles”

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

0.5 0.5-1.0 1.0 - 1.5 >1.5

Estim

ate

d T

rip

s(t

o a

nd f

rom

sch

ool)

Walkshed

Dispersed Enrollment, Low PotentialAggregate Results

School Bus

Walk

Auto

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

0.5 0.5-1.0 1.0 - 1.5 >1.5

Estim

ate

d T

rip

s(t

o a

nd f

rom

sch

ool)

Walkshed

High Proximity, Untapped PotentialAggregate Results

School Bus

Walk

Auto

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

0.5 0.5-1.0 1.0 - 1.5 >1.5

Estim

ate

d T

rip

s(t

o a

nd f

rom

sch

ool)

Walkshed

High Proximity, High Walk ShareAggregate Results

School Bus

Walk

Auto

Students in 1-mile walkshed:

more than 75%

Walk/bike mode share:

35% - 55%

Students in 1-mile walkshed:

more than 75%

Walk/bike mode share:

less than 25%

Students in 1-mile walkshed:

35% - 55%

Walk/bike mode share:

Less than 25%

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MASafeRoutesSurvey.org

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Online Survey Form

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Survey

management and

report generation

Bulk data entry interface Resources and materials

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Site Utilization

~14,000 surveys since July 2013

38 schools with >150 surveys

~16% online surveys

1,000 surveys in first 10 days of this month (4/2015)

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Automated Reports

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Report Elements

Walkshed

Annual Auto

Commute

GHG (kg)

Estimated

Enrollment

Estimated kg

per Student

0.5 mile 700,090 485 1,443

1.0 mile 331,377 103 3,217

1.5 mile 391,307 64 6,114

2.0 mile 75,242 9 8,360

2+ miles 181,712 22 8,260

Total 1,679,728 683 2,459

Response rate Overall mode choice

Student proximity GHG emissions

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Mode Choice by Walkshed

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School Comparison -- Mapped

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Dispersed Enrollment, Limited Potential

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Revere SRTS Program: 2011 - 2014

District-wide task force

Walking school buses led by school staff

New dropoff/pickup policies

Safety training program

Promotional activities

Incentives for student walkers (extra gym time)

Weekly walk to school day; designated park &

walk locations

Specific activities/programs varied by school

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Tracking Progress over Time

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May

2014 May

2011

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Garfield School Comparison Results

Indicator Observed Change: 2011 - 2014

0.5 mile walkshed

Walk/bike mode share

10 percentage point increase

(from 51% to 61%)

1.0 mile walkshed

Walk/bike mode share

8 percentage point increase

(from 31% to 39%)

Daily walking trips to/from

school 26% increase

Daily auto trips to/from school 5% decrease

GHG emissions per student 5.5% decrease

22 The program is working!

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Open Source and Transferable

Programming “Stack”

• Django

• Leaflet

• PostGIS & pgRouting

• R & LaTeX

Input files

• School locations & district designations

• Pedestrian network

• Enrollment by grade

https://github.com/MAPC/myschoolcommute

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Future Directions

Document data and publish via API

Cross-reference with school-level BMI metrics

Develop web infrastructure for school-level

comparison, multi-school aggregation, and

“add-on” questions

Automated network analysis to identify key

infrastructure links

Use data to refine mode choice model of

regional transportation plan

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Thank You!

Timothy Reardon

Assistant Director of Data Services

Metropolitan Area Planning Council, Boston

[email protected]

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