Upload
tele2
View
1.215
Download
3
Embed Size (px)
DESCRIPTION
Presentation Market Central Europe from Tele2s Capital Markets Day 2009
Citation preview
2009-09-171 Niklas Sonkin
CENTRAL EUROPE
MARKET AREA
CENTRAL EUROPE
Niklas Sonkin
Market Area Director
2009-09-173 Niklas Sonkin
INTRODUCTION
Market Area Central Europe � Represents 14 percent of total revenues Q2 2009
� EBITDA up 9 percent H1 08 vs H1 09
� Strong performance compared to competition
Short- to Medium-term focus & activities� The Baltic Manage economic turmoil and create a
platform for future growth
� Croatia Reach EBITDA break even during 2H 2010
THE BALTIC REGION
Building a platform for future growth
2009-09-175 Niklas Sonkin
THE BALTICS –
DEEP RECESSION
Source: SEB
2009-09-176 Niklas Sonkin
OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE
Lithuania Latvia Estonia
� Strong operational performance partly due to appreciating EUR
� 39 percent EBITDA marginin Lithuania Q2 2009
REVENUE
0
200
400
600
2008 Q1 2008 Q2 2008 Q3 2008 Q4 2009 Q1 2009 Q2
SEK million
EBITDA - CAPEX
-40
0
40
80
120
160
2008 Q1 2008 Q2 2008 Q3 2008 Q4 2009 Q1 2009 Q2
SEK million
EBITDA
0
40
80
120
160
200
2008 Q1 2008 Q2 2008 Q3 2008 Q4 2009 Q1 2009 Q2
SEK million
2009-09-177 Niklas Sonkin
� Provide the Best Deal
� Perceived price leadership
� Network coverage and quality
on a par with competition
PERFORMANCE vs PEERSEstimated Mobile Revenue market share
0,0%
15,0%
30,0%
45,0%
60,0%
Q32007 Q42007 Q12008 Q22008 Q32008 Q42008 Q12009 Q22009
LITHUANIA
Tele2 Omnitel Bite
0,0%
15,0%
30,0%
45,0%
60,0%
75,0%
Q32007 Q42007 Q12008 Q22008 Q32008 Q42008 Q12009 Q22009
LATVIA
Tele2 LMT Bite
0,0%
15,0%
30,0%
45,0%
60,0%
Q32007 Q42007 Q12008 Q22008 Q32008 Q42008 Q12009 Q22009
ESTONIA
Tele2 EMT Elisa
2009-09-178 Niklas Sonkin
TELE2 PERFORMANCE VS.
PEERS
LATVIA YTD 2009 Revenue, YoY YTD 2009 EBITDA, YoY
Tele2 (11%) (22%)
LMT (Telia) (17%) (21%)
Bité +48% +30%
Average (12%) (21%)
ESTONIA YTD 2009 Revenue, YoY YTD 2009 EBITDA, YoY
Tele2 (9%) (9%)
EMT (Telia) (16%) (18%)
Elisa (20%) (24%)
Average (15%) (17%)
LITHUANIA YTD 2009 Revenue. YoY YTD 2009 EBITDA, YoY
Tele2 0% +15%
Omnitel (Telia) (25%) (31%)
Bité (18%) (8%)
Average (17%) (14%)
Source: Tele2 Research
Memo: This is Tele2 YoY performance in local currency for mobile operations only. Comparable competition result (for mobile only) is our best estimate using their official reporting as primary source.
Estonia: Impact of changed accounting principles regarding recognition of handsets revenue/ebitda is excluded from 2008 result.
2009-09-179 Niklas Sonkin
CUSTOMER AND
PRICING STRATEGY� Tele2 will offer the best deal by
combining perceived price leadership with expected quality of service
� Focus on relevant quality improvement
� Expand 2G rollout to cover
gaps on roads and indoor
coverage
� Tight control of sales and distribution channels
2009-09-1710 Niklas Sonkin
MARKET SHARE IN THE B2B
SEGMENT
LATVIA 2008 2009E
Tele2 15% 19%
LMT (Telia) 83% 77%
Bité 2% 4%
ESTONIA 2008 2009E
Tele2 14% 16%
EMT (Telia) 57% 55%
Elisa 29% 29%
LITHUANIA 2008 2009E
Tele2 12% 14%
Omnitel (Telia) 49% 47%
Bité 39% 39%
Source:Tele2 Research
Memo: Estimated B2B revenue share
2009-09-1711 Niklas Sonkin
BUSINESS TO
BUSINESS STRATEGY� Concentrate on SME as a
core Tele2 segment
� Take part in all public tenders and increase share of state-owned companies
� Offer the best deal
� Use customer recommendations in marketing strategies
CROATIA
EBITDA break-even during 2H 2010
2009-09-1713 Niklas Sonkin
OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE
� Solid customer intake due to better customer perception
� Better scale leading todiminishing operational losses
REVENUE
0
80
160
240
320
400
2008 Q1 2008 Q2 2008 Q3 2008 Q4 2009 Q1 2009 Q2
EBITDA
-120
-80
-40
0
2008 Q1 2008 Q2 2008 Q3 2008 Q4 2009 Q1 2009 Q2
EBITDA - CAPEX
-240
-200
-160
-120
-80
-40
0
2008 Q1 2008 Q2 2008 Q3 2008 Q4 2009 Q1 2009 Q2
SEK million SEK million
SEK million
2009-09-1714 Niklas Sonkin
PERFORMANCE vs PEERSEstimated Mobile Revenue market share
� Tele2 is gaining market share but still lacks economies of scale
� Competitors are defending their positions and high prices
� Tele2’s focus is on doubling the market share and becoming EBITDA positive
0,0%
15,0%
30,0%
45,0%
60,0%
Q32007 Q42007 Q12008 Q22008 Q32008 Q42008 Q12009 Q22009Tele2 T-Mobile VIPnet
2009-09-1715 Niklas Sonkin
STRATEGY
� Tele2 to be positioned as clear price leader
� Tele2 Croatia lacks sufficient scale and needs to double its market share
� We have a proactive approach on regulatory decisions and take action on tariff changes if necessary
� Tele2 will utilize the current economical downturn to prompt customers to save on mobile telecommunications
2009-09-1716 Niklas Sonkin
CROATIA PERFORMANCE
HIGHLIGHTS
Operators
YTD 2009
Revenue,YoY
YTD 2009
EBITDA, YoY
Tele2 +55% +27%
T-Mobile 0% +7%
Vipnet (7%) (19%)
Average +1% (2%)
Changes in Vipnet and T-Mobile EBITDA YoY are driven by Tele2 National
roaming contracts, as Tele2 used Vipnet in 2008, but shifted to T-Mobile in 2009Memo: This is Tele2 YoY performance in local currency for mobile operations only.
Comparable competition result (for mobile only) is our best estimate using their official reporting as primary source.
2009-09-1717 Niklas Sonkin
CROATIA –
ROAD TO POSITIVE EBITDATo achieve positive EBITDA, Tele2 needs to:
� Further increase market share to get scale
� At least 20 percent revenue market share to align business with
group targets for the whole operation
� Further reduce National Roaming share of total traffic
� Increase Tele2 share of incoming tourist roaming revenue
2009-09-1718 Niklas Sonkin
STRATEGY TO INCREASE
MARKET SHARE� Improve quality perception
� Use the current economical downturn to stress the saving opportunity for the customers
� Improve sales experience in Tele2 shops & visibility in FMCG channel
� Increase focus on retention and prolonging customer lifetime
2009-09-1719 Niklas Sonkin
NETWORK DEPLOYMENT
Reduce NR share of traffic by continued network rollout
and by closing pockets for NR traffic
In 2009, we will close five pockets for NR traffic
� Osijek September
� Pula October
� Zadar November
� Split December
� Rijeka December
2009-09-1720 Niklas Sonkin
INCREASE SHARE OF ROAMING
� Further increase roaming agreements with world-wide operators mainly focusing on Europe. We now have 182 launched operators for inbound roaming
� Keep increasing preferred steering for voice/data
� Concentrate on data roaming which is growing rapidly
� Adapt network rollout schedule to roaming needs
2009-09-1721 Niklas Sonkin
OUTLOOK FOR CROATIA
”WE WILL REACH
EBITDA BREAK-
EVEN DURING 2H
2010”
2009-09-1722 Niklas Sonkin
Q&A
2009-09-1723 Niklas Sonkin
� Continue with traditional Tele2 practices:� Perceived price leadership
� Provide excepted quality
� Use current economical environment to further reduce costs:� Acquisition costs promoting sim-only tariff plans with no need
for subsidized handsets
� Renegotiate all major contracts for media, CapEx etc.
SUMMARY