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My almost viral lightning talk about the Bullshit Asymmetry Principle. Explained by science. Presented at XP2014 in Rome and at ALE2014 in Krakow
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You’ll never win against…
B.A.P.
“I gave you 2 more persons... You’ll deliver
earlier!”
“I gave you 2 more persons... You’ll deliver earlier!”
- Linear outcome (false) - Linear proportion between cost
and delivered value (false) - Linear starting costs (false)
“We couldn’t hire a senior, so we hired two
juniors”
“We couldn’t hire a senior, so we hired two juniors”
- Linear outcome (false) - Linear proportion between cost
and delivered value (false) - Linear starting costs (false)
“Proceed with the other activities in the
meanwhile”
“Proceed with the other activities in the meanwhile”
-Null context switch cost (false) - Suspended activities remain idle
(false) -Doing is always better than not
doing (false)
B.A.P.
Bullshit Asymmetry
Principle
The amount of energy necessary to refute
bullshit is an order of magnitude bigger than to produce it
The science behind
http://www.wpclipart.com/medical/anatomy/brain/four_lobes_of_the_cerebral_cortex.png.html
This is how we are
System 1Quick pattern matchingparallel processing, unaware modeLow energy consumption
System 2
High energy consumptionNo parallelism
Complex elaboration that need attention and concentration
Some battles cannot be won
Information asymmetry position asymmetry
time availability
Avoid them
Don’t put key people in the position to bullshit you
Create context
Environment, fail-safe condition, confidence…
Accept it
Somebody is always going to be wrong on the internet
Thanks
@ziobrando