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You’ll never win against… B.A.P.

Bullshit Asymmetry Principle lightning talk

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My almost viral lightning talk about the Bullshit Asymmetry Principle. Explained by science. Presented at XP2014 in Rome and at ALE2014 in Krakow

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Page 1: Bullshit Asymmetry Principle lightning talk

You’ll never win against…

B.A.P.

Page 2: Bullshit Asymmetry Principle lightning talk

“I gave you 2 more persons... You’ll deliver

earlier!”

Page 3: Bullshit Asymmetry Principle lightning talk

“I gave you 2 more persons... You’ll deliver earlier!”

- Linear outcome (false) - Linear proportion between cost

and delivered value (false) - Linear starting costs (false)

Page 4: Bullshit Asymmetry Principle lightning talk

“We couldn’t hire a senior, so we hired two

juniors”

Page 5: Bullshit Asymmetry Principle lightning talk

“We couldn’t hire a senior, so we hired two juniors”

- Linear outcome (false) - Linear proportion between cost

and delivered value (false) - Linear starting costs (false)

Page 6: Bullshit Asymmetry Principle lightning talk

“Proceed with the other activities in the

meanwhile”

Page 7: Bullshit Asymmetry Principle lightning talk

“Proceed with the other activities in the meanwhile”

-Null context switch cost (false) - Suspended activities remain idle

(false) -Doing is always better than not

doing (false)

Page 8: Bullshit Asymmetry Principle lightning talk

B.A.P.

Page 9: Bullshit Asymmetry Principle lightning talk

Bullshit Asymmetry

Principle

Page 10: Bullshit Asymmetry Principle lightning talk

The amount of energy necessary to refute

bullshit is an order of magnitude bigger than to produce it

Page 11: Bullshit Asymmetry Principle lightning talk

The science behind

http://www.wpclipart.com/medical/anatomy/brain/four_lobes_of_the_cerebral_cortex.png.html

Page 12: Bullshit Asymmetry Principle lightning talk

This is how we are

Page 13: Bullshit Asymmetry Principle lightning talk

System 1Quick pattern matchingparallel processing, unaware modeLow energy consumption

System 2

High energy consumptionNo parallelism

Complex elaboration that need attention and concentration

Page 14: Bullshit Asymmetry Principle lightning talk

Some battles cannot be won

Page 15: Bullshit Asymmetry Principle lightning talk

Information asymmetry position asymmetry

time availability

Page 16: Bullshit Asymmetry Principle lightning talk

Avoid them

Don’t put key people in the position to bullshit you

Page 17: Bullshit Asymmetry Principle lightning talk

Create context

Environment, fail-safe condition, confidence…

Page 18: Bullshit Asymmetry Principle lightning talk

Accept it

Somebody is always going to be wrong on the internet

Page 19: Bullshit Asymmetry Principle lightning talk

Thanks

@ziobrando