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•Daily Operations Briefing Monday, November 18, 2013

8:30 a.m. EST

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Significant Activity: Nov 17 – 18 Significant Events: Severe Weather Outbreak

Tropical Activity:

• Atlantic – Area 1 (Invest 98L) (High - 90%)

• Eastern Pacific – Tropical cyclone activity not expected next 48 hours

• Central Pacific – No tropical cyclones expected through Tuesday night

• Western Pacific – No activity threatening U.S. territories

Significant Weather:

• Showers and thunderstorms – Gulf Coast to Northeast

• Moderate to heavy rain – Pacific Northwest and northern CA

• Heavy snow – Pacific Northwest, Northern Rockies and upper Great Lakes

• Elevated Fire Weather Areas: Central Plains; Red Flag Warnings – None

• Space Weather: Past 24 hours: none; next 24 hours Minor/R1 radio blackouts likely

Earthquake Activity: M7.8 – Scotia Sea (near South Sandwich Islands)

Declaration Activity: Major Disaster Declaration request – Nebraska

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Severe Weather Outbreak – Nov 17-18 Summary:

• Severe thunderstorms moved eastward across the Middle

Mississippi Valley, Lower Great Lakes, and Ohio Valley

• Producing:

• Straight-line winds up to 85 mph

• Golf-ball sized hail

• Tornadic activity (including at least one tornado preliminarily

rated as EF-4) to parts of IL, IN, MI and OH

Impacts

• Shelters:

• IL: 8 with 17 occupants

• IN: 2 with 5 occupants

• OH: 1 with no occupants (as of 7:00 am EST)

• 6 confirmed fatalities and 37 unconfirmed injuries in IL

• Power outages region wide: 650,895 (Peak 753,342) (DOE 5:00am

EST)

Source: Region V

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Severe Weather Outbreak – Nov 17-18

FEMA Region II

• RRCC not activated; RWC remains at Watch/Steady State

• NY SEOC activated to Level III

FEMA Region III

• RRCC not activated; RWC activated to Enhanced Watch

• Regional IMAT on Alert

• VA EOC activated to Level III

• All other SEOCs remain at Normal Ops/Monitoring

EMA Region IV

• RRCC not activated; RWC remains at Watch/Steady State

• All SEOCs at Normal Ops

FEMA Region V

• RRCC activated to Level II (with ESFs 3, 15 & DCO)

• IMAT deployed to IL; FEMA LNOs deployed to IL, OH and IN

• IN EOC activated to Level I; IL and OH EOCs activated to Level I

• All other SEOCs remain at Normal Ops Source: Region V

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Severe Weather Outbreak – Nov 17-18

Source: Region V

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Updates at 1:00 am/pm and 7:00 am/pm EDT

Atlantic – Tropical Outlook

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Atlantic – Area 1 (Invest 98L)

As of 7:00 a.m. EST

• Well defined non-tropical low pressure system located

740 miles ESE of Bermuda

• Moving N to NW at 10 mph

• Producing gale force winds

• Environmental conditions becoming more conducive for

subtropical or tropical storm to form later today or Tues

• Probability of tropical cyclone development:

• Next 48 hours: High chance (90%)

• Next 5 days: High chance (90%)

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http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_epac.shtml

This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and

11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be

issued as conditions warrant.

Eastern Pacific – Tropical Outlook

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http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/cphc/

This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and

11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be

issued as conditions warrant.

Central Pacific – Tropical Outlook

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http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/noaa/noaad1.pdf

National Weather Forecast

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Active Watches/Warnings

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/largemap.php

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http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day1-3.shtml

Precipitation Forecast – 3 Day

Day 1

Day 2

Day 3

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http://water.weather.gov/ahps/forecasts.php?current_color=flood&current_type=all&fcst_t

ype=fcst&conus_map=d_map

River Forecast – 7 Day

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Convective Outlooks Days 1 – 3

Day 2

Day 3

Day 1

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Critical Fire Weather Areas Days 1 – 8

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/

Day 1 Day 2

Day 3-8

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NOAA Scales Activity (Range: 1/minor to 5/extreme)

Past

24 Hours Current

Next

24 Hours

Space Weather Activity: None None Minor

• Geomagnetic Storms None None None

• Solar Radiation Storms None None None

• Radio Blackouts None None R1

Space Weather

Sunspot Activity

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/drap/global.html http://spaceweather.com/

HF Communication Impact

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Earthquake Activity – International

M 7.8 – Scotia Sea

• Occurred at 4:05 am EST on November 17, 2013

• 741 miles SSE from Stanley, Falkland Island

• 800 miles SE from southern tip of Argentina

• Depth of 6.2 miles

• USGS issued a green PAGER alert indicating:

• Low likelihood of casualties and damage

• No population exposed to earthquake shaking

• No reports of injury or damage

• No tsunami generated

Stanley, Falkland Islands

Argentina

741 miles

800 miles

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Declaration Requests in Process Requests

APPROVED (since last report)

Requests DENIED

(since last report)

1 Date Requested 0 0

NE – DR Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Winter Storms, and Flooding November 13, 2013

Disaster Requests & Declarations

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Major Disaster Declaration Request - NE

November 13, 2013

• Major Disaster Declaration request for State of Nebraska

• For severe storms, tornadoes, winter storms and flooding that

occurred October 2- 6, 2013

• Requesting:

• Public Assistance for nine counties and the Omaha Tribe

• Hazard Mitigation statewide = Omaha Tribe

= Requested counties

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Joint Preliminary Damage Assessments

Region State /

Location Event IA/PA

Number of Counties Start – End

Requested Complete

IX CA Rim Fire

PDA Follow-up PA 1 1 11/12-11/14

X AK

Kenai Peninsula Southern Borough

Flooding

October 27-28, 2013

PA 1 0 11/19-11/21

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Open Field Offices as of November 18, 2013

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Total Deployed Detailed Not

Available Available Cadre Status

40 25 1 2 12

OFDC Cadre Member Status

Total Available Type 1 Type 2 Type 3 Type 4

12* 1 6 2 3

As of: 11/15/2013

* All Type 1 FCOs are available unless deployed to a Level 1 event

Total Deployed Assigned Available Status

9 6 4 2

Federal Coordinating Officer

Federal Disaster Recovery Coordinator

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MCOV Fleet / Deployment Status

Fully Mission Capable 55 Partially Mission Capable 0 Non-Mission Capable 0 Total Not Deployed 50

MCOV FLEET STATUS MCOV DISASTER SUPPORT DEPLOYMENTS

Location Units

Assigned Available

FMC Deployed

Committed PMC Unavailable DR-State OPCON

En

Route Unit Prep

Open

Request Notes:

MERS Maynard 3 3 0 0 0 DR-4145-CO 5 0 0

MERS Frederick 8 8 0 0 0 0 0 0

MERS Thomasville 14 13 1 0 0 0 0 0

DC Ft Worth 20 16 4 0 0 0 0 0

MERS Denver 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0

MERS Bothell 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 0

Sacramento 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 0

TOTAL 55 50 5 0 0 TOTAL 5 0 0 0

Units in route for turn-in included in above totals.

2 0 0

Data as of: 11/17/13 @ 1500

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IA Registration Statistics

IA Registrations and IHP Amounts as of November 17, 2013 @ 1500

DR/EM # - State Registrations Approved

Applicants Total HA Approved

Total ONA

Approved Total IHP Approved

4145 - CO 27,379 16,035 $49,577,693 $4,127,989 $53,705,682

Totals 27,379 16,035 $49,577,693 $4,127,989 $53,705,682

48 hour change +60 +36 +$147,653 +$26,295 +$173,949

NPSC Call Data for November 16, 2013

Total Calls Answered (Help Line + Registration Intake) 523

Average time to answer call 11 seconds

Maximum / Minimum time to answer a call 16 seconds / 9 seconds

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Housing Inspection Statistics

Inspection Data as of November 17, 2013 @ 1500

DR #-State Inspectors Inspections

Assigned

Inspections

Completed Inspection % Complete

Turnaround Time

(Days)

4145 - CO 15 24,883 24,652 99.07% 2.3

TOTAL 15 24,883 24,652 99.07% 2.3

48 hour change -1 +114 +94 -0.08% 0.0

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IMAT Status National Teams

Team Status Team Status Team Status

Blue/White East CO West On Alert

Regional Teams Team Status Team Status Team Status

Region I Region V IL Region VIII SD

Region II Region VI-1 Region IX-1

Region III PA Region VI-2 NM Region IX-2

Region IV-1 Region VII KS Region X

Region IV-2 NC Incident Management Assistance Team

= Assigned/Deployed

= Not Mission Capable

= Available/Mission Capable

= Available/Partially Mission Capable

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Urban Search & Rescue INCIDENT SUPPORT TEAMS (Red-White-Blue) – Monthly On Call Rotation

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC

WEST CENTRAL EAST

Team Status Team Status Team Status

CA-TF1 Available AZ-TF1 Available FL-TF1 Available

CA-TF2 Available CO-TF1 Available FL-TF2 Available

CA-TF3 Available IN-TF1 On Alert MA-TF1 Available

CA-TF4 Available MO-TF1 Available MD-TF1 Available

CA-TF5 Available NE-TF1 Available NY-TF1 Available

CA-TF6 Available NM-TF1 Conditional PA-TF1 Available

CA-TF7 Available NV-TF1 Conditional VA-TF1 Available

CA-TF8 Available TN-TF1 Available VA-TF2 Available

WA-TF1 Available TX-TF1 Available OH-TF1 Available

UT-TF1 Available

= Assigned/Deployed = Out-of-Service

= Available/Mission Capable = Available/Partially Mission Capable

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RRCC / Regional Watch Center Status

= Not Mission Capable = Available/Partially Mission Capable = Available/Mission Capable

Region RRCC Regional Watch Center

I Not Activated Maynard MOC (24/7)

II Not Activated 24/7

III Not Activated Enhanced Watch

IV Not Activated 24/7

V Level II 24/7

VI Not Activated Denton MOC (24/7)

VII Not Activated 24/7

VIII Not Activated Denver MOC (24/7)

IX Not Activated 24/7

X Not Activated Bothell MOC (24/7)

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National Team Status

Team/Status Current Location Remarks

National Watch Center Washington, DC Enhanced Watch (24/7)

NRCC Washington, DC Not Activated

HLT Miami, FL Activated

DEST Washington, DC Not Activated

Mission Capable Partially Mission Capable Not Mission Capable

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