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GUJARAT PRE POLL PARLIAMENTARY
SURVEY
PRESENTED TO:MR.ADITYA K V
GUJARAT
• The Gujarat Vidhan Sabha ( ગુ�જરા�ત વિ�ધા�ન સભા�) or the Gujarat Legislative Assembly is the unicameral legislature of the Indian state of Gujarat.
• It is situated in the capital Gandhinagar. The first was elected in 1962.Presently, 182 members of the Legislative Assembly are directly elected from the single-seat constituencies and one member is nominated.
• In 1962 the first Gujarat Legislative Assembly was elected with 154 seats.
• In 1966 the number was raised to 166. In 1971 the number was raised to 182.
• In 1976 the government imposed a moratorium on further changes until after the results of the 2001 census were tallied.
SURVEY
• Speaker of the assembly – Vajubhai Rudabhai
• Chief minister – Narendra Modi• Voting system – first-pass-the-post• Last election – 2007• Our survey (questionnaire) is done through
social media integration.• Pages visited on facebook– gujarati blogs,
modi nu gujrat, bharatiya janata party, ahmedabad etc.
• Total number of respondents - 157
QUESTIONNAIRE
• Survey form link: https://docs.google.com/forms/d/1rz74sxZfIrIonFiwc8TFtmnlYQPT-m0AHe--4F2yBH8/viewform
RESULTS & FINDINGS
GENDER
Male 117 75%
Female 40 25%
LEVEL OF EDUCATION REACHED
Literate-no formal education
16 10%
Primary 4 Middle School
3 2%
High School 17 11%
College-no degree
35 22%
College-degree & above
60 38%
Post graduate
29 18%
DEDUCTION
• H0 = preference to vote is not decided by level of education
• Ha = preference to vote is decided by level of education
• Calculated result = H0 accepted. ( through chi-square )
OCCUPATION
Govt. Employee
40 25%
Self Employed
39 24%
Business 44 28%
Housewife
11 7%
Student 14 9%
Pvt. company employee
12 8%
Other 0 0%
OCCUPATION
• H0 = preference is not decided by level of occupation.
• Ha = preference is decided by level of occupation.
• Calculated result = H0 accepted. (through chi-square)
CASTE
SC 11 7%
ST 9 6%
OBC 28 18%
Others 110 70%
DEDUCTION
• H0 = preference to vote is not decided by caste.
• Ha = preference to vote is decided by caste.
• Calculated result = Ha accepted. (through chi-square)
RELIGION
Hindu 97 61%
Muslim 20 13%
Christian 10 6%
Sikh 7 4%
Buddhist 2 1%
Jain 3 2%
Parsi 4 3%
Others 17 11
ARE YOU GOING TO VOTE NEXT YEAR?
Yes 144 91%
No 14 9%
(if no) WHY?
Not likely to be here
18 19%
Do not feel like voting
18 19%
Fear of violence etc.
11 12%
Others (Specify)
48 51%
HAVE YOU MADE UP YOUR MIND ABOUT WHO TO VOTE IN COMING
ELECTION?
Yes 142 89%
No 18 11%
LOKSABHA ELECTION 2009, WERE YOU ABLE TO VOTE?
Yes 125 79%
No 23 14%
Don't remember
11 7%
DEDUCTION
• H0 = preference to vote this year is not decided by vote casted last year.
• Ha = preference to vote this year is decided by vote casted last year.
• Calculated result = H0 accepted. (through P-test)
(IF NO) WHAT WAS THE MAIN REASON?
Not eligible 16 15%
Not included in voter’s list
7 7%
Out of station 8 8%
Not well 14 13%
Did not feel like voting
10 10%
Prevented by some people
6 6%
Somebody had already voted
3 3%
Fear of violence at polling station
3 3%
Any other (Specify)
37 36%
GENERAL CONDITION OF THE COUNTRY IMPROVED, REMAINED SAME
OR WORSENED?
Improved 115 73%
Remained the same
35 22%
Worsened 8 5%
WHICH MATTERS MORE? CANDIDATE OR PARTY?
Party 52 33%
Candidate 34 21%
Both 65 41%
Don't Know/Can’t say
8 5%
OPINION ABOUT PRESENT WORKING OF THE CONGRESS GOVT.
1 42 27%
2 51 32%
3 18 11%
4 33 21%
5 13 8%
WHO WOULD YOU LIKE TO BE THE NEXT PRIME MINISTER?
Narendra Modi
126 79%
L.K. Advani 6 4%
Sonia Gandhi 6 4%
Rahul Gandhi 12 8%
Manmohan Singh
5 3%
Mulayam Singh Yadav
3 2%
Rajnath Singh
1 1%
DEDUCTION
• H0 = preference is not decided by potential prime minister candidate.
• Ha = preference is decided by potential prime minister candidate.
• Calculated result = Ha accepted. (through chi-square)
WHICH PARTY WILL YOU VOTE FOR IN THE NEXT ELECTIONS?
BJP 139 87%
INC 11 7%
Shiv Sena
2 1%
Others(Specify)
7 4%
CONCLUSION
• As per the poll we conducted, Narendra Modi (BJP) is the most preferred candidate for the next Loksabha elections.
BY:AKSHAY RATURI (1002)
ASHISH CHOUKSEY (1004)CHITRANSH SHRIVASTAVA (1009)
NIHAL SINGH SUHAG (1017)GOKUL KUMAR (1012)
SOMSUBHRA CHATTERJEE (1024)