Ipsos MORI Issues Index September 2016

September 2016ECONOMIST/IPSOS MORI ISSUES INDEX

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020 7347 3000

2

Issues Facing Britain: September

Base: 980 British adults 18+, 2nd and 22nd September 2016

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

40%

39%

35%

25%

19%

16%

16%

15%

13%

11%

NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare

Immigration/immigrants

European Union/Europe

Economy

Education/Schools

Unemployment

Poverty/inequality

Housing

Crime/law and order/ASB

Defence/foreignaffairs/terrorism

+9

+5

-5

+4

+5

+1

+1

-7

-1

-8

%

Change since August:

Position

Top mentions %

-1

+1

+2

+4

-3

+1

-4

-1

+1

3

Issues Facing Britain: SeptemberWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


40%

39%

35%

25%

19%

16%

16%

15%

13%

11%

10%

20%

23%

9%

2%

4%

4%

4%

3%

3%



European Union/EU

Economy

Education/Schools

Unemployment

Poverty/Inequality

Housing

Crime/Law and Order/ASB

Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism

Top mentions %

MOST/OTHER

IMPORTANT ISSUES

MOST IMPORTANT

ISSUE

Base: 980 British adults 18+, 2nd-22nd September 2016

4

Issues Facing Britain: Long Term Trends

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home



0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

NHS UNEMPLOYMENTCRIME/LAW &

ORDER ECONOMY IMMIGRATION*

*Up until September 2014 the code was race relations/immigration/immigrants

HOUSING

5

Vote for Brexit; Cameron

resignsCameron becomes PM

Issues Facing Britain:

Immigration / Immigrants


NB Until Sept 2014 the code was race relations/immigration/immigrants


0

10

20

30

40

50

60

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

Border controls relaxed for “A8” EU

Countries (Poland, etc.)


Border controls

relaxed for

Romanians and

Bulgarians

Highest concern

ever recorded (56%)

6


resigns Cameron becomes PM


NHS / Hospitals / HealthcareWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

Report says waiting lists have

doubled under Labour

Lowest score since

December 1985 (12%)

Highest score since April 2006

(47%)

Source: Ipsos MORI Issues IndexBase: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home

7




Common Market / Europe / Euro / EUWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

10

20

30

40

50

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

Treaty of Accession: 10 new

EU Member States

France and Holland reject

ratification of EU constitution

Lowest score

recorded (1%)

UKIP come first in European

Parliament elections


Highest score since April 1997

(40%)

8




Economy / Economic situationWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

Global recession

and Russian

Financial crisis

Highest score since 1992;

Most important issue for

the first time

Sub-prime mortgage

crisis in the US

End of

recession

announced


Lowest score

since March 2008

(22%)

Northern Rock

nationalised

9




Unemployment / Factory closure / Lack of industryWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

0

10

20

30

40

50

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

Unemployment falls below 1 million for first time in 25 years

Minimum wage

introduced

Unemployment in Britain rises to 5.5%

Lowest ever score(5%)

Youth unemployment reaches 1 million

Lowest score since October 2008

(14%)

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

10




Crime / Law & Order / Violence / Vandalism / ASB




0

10

20

30

40

50

60

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

May day riots Riots in

England

9/11Lowest score since

March 1991 (8%)

11




Education / SchoolsWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

10

20

30

40

50

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

Introduction of means-tested tuition

fees. Education most important issue.

First City Academies

introduced

Lowest score since

Dec 1985 (9%)

Labour’s second term - pledge to

improve failing secondary schools

April 2011 – Pupil

Premium introduced


12




Defence / Foreign Affairs / International terrorismWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

9/11 London

Bombs

Invasion of Iraq –

protests across Europe

Failed terror

attacks in London

and Glasgow

UK withdraws

from Iraq

War in

Kosovo

Parliamentary vote

against action in Syria

NATO bombing

in Libya

Rise

of IS


Paris attacks and

Parliamentary vote for

action against IS in Syria

13




Poverty/inequalityWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

5

10

15

20

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

Sept 1999:

Alastair Darling – “one child in

three” living in poverty

July 2014:

highest score

recorded (18%)

January 2005:

Make Poverty History campaign

launched on New Year’s Day


14




Inflation/PricesWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

5

10

15

20

25

30

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

Lowest score since Sep 2007 (4%)

Inflation rate hits 16 year peak

Inflation rises to 3.4%


15




HousingWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

5

10

15

20

25

30

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

“A8” Countries

join the EU

Highest score since

October 1974 (22%)


16




Pensions/Social Security/BenefitsWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

5

10

15

20

25

30

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

Equitable Life sells

its non-profit

pension annuities

Blair and Harriet Harman propose

‘affluence testing’ to exclude the well-

off from state benefits

Gordon Brown unveils

pension credits Pensions commission report –

“more than 12 million working

people are not saving enough for

their retirement”

Lowest ever

score (3%)


17




Pollution / EnvironmentWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

5

10

15

20

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

Wettest Autumn since

records began –

widespread flooding

across the UK

EC proposes carbon emission

cuts of 20% by 2020

Winter flooding

and storms


18




Low pay/minimum wage/fair wagesWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

5

10

15

20

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016


Highest recorded

score (15%)

19

Top issues – concern by party support

Base: 232 Conservative and 291 Labour supporters aged 18+, 2nd - 22nd September 2016



44%

49%

45%

29%

14%

8%

9%

11%

10%

15%

41%

31%

34%

26%

25%

20%

25%

21%

11%

9%



European Union/Europe

Economy

Education/Schools

Unemployment

Poverty/Inequality

Housing

Crime/Law and order/ASB

Defence/foreignaffairs/terrorism

Top mentions %

CONSERVATIVE

SUPPORTERS

LABOUR

SUPPORTERS

20

Age and social grade – different top issues amongst

ABC1sWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Top three issues by age and social grade

Source: Ipsos MORI Issues IndexBase: 980 British adults 18+, 2nd – 22nd September 2016

52%

49%

45%

EU

NHS

Immigration

50%

46%

32%

EU

NHS

Economy

38%

32%

30%

NHS

EU

Economy

55%

41%

27%

Immigration

NHS

EU

40%

33%

25%

Immigration

NHS

EU

34%

29%

28%

Immigration

NHS

Unemployment

18

-34

35

-54

55

+

ABC1 C2DE

Social grade

Ag

e b

rac

ke

t

21

Concern about EU/Europe by subgroups

Base: 980 British adults 18+, 2nd -22nd September 2016

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? EU/Europe

Ipsos MORI Issues Index

18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

Concern about the EU by age group:

38%

32%

34%

32%

Concern by region:

35%

26%

48%45%

34%

53%

38%

25%21%

Overall Urban Rural CON LAB AB C1 C2 DE

Social GradeLocale Party support

Concern about the EU by key demographic groups:

26%

21% 27%41% 39% 40%40%

News & Politics

Ipsos MORI Issues Index September 2016