Ipsos MORI Issues Index September 2017

September 2017ECONOMIST/IPSOS MORI ISSUES INDEX

Contacts: [email protected]

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020 7347 3000

2

Issues Facing Britain – September

Base: 999 British adults 18+, 1 – 13 September 2017

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

46%

40%

26%

20%

18%

16%

16%

15%

12%

12%

Common Market/Brexit/EU/Europe

NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare

Immigration/immigrants

Education

Economy

Housing

Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism

Poverty/Inequality

Crime/Law and Order/ASB

Ageing population/Social care

+2

-8

-3

0

-4

0

+1

0

0

-1

%

Change since Aug:

Position

Top mentions %

+1

+1

-1

3

Issues Facing Britain – SeptemberWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


46%

40%

26%

20%

18%

16%

16%

15%

12%

12%

31%

12%

10%

4%

6%

2%

5%

3%

3%

2%




Education/Schools

Economy

Housing


Poverty/Inequality


Ageing population/social care

Top mentions %

MOST/OTHER

IMPORTANT ISSUES

MOST IMPORTANT

ISSUE


4

Issues Facing Britain: Long Term Trends

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home



0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

May2017

NHS UNEMPLOYMENTCRIME/LAW &

ORDER ECONOMY IMMIGRATION EU/BREXIT

5

Issues Facing Britain: Ten Year Trends




0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Sep2007

Sep2008

Sep2009

Sep2010

Sep2011

Sep2012

Sep2013

Sep2014

Sep2015

Sep2016

Sep2017

NHS EU/BREXIT IMMIGRATION ECONOMY HOUSING UNEMPLOYMENT

6


0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

May-10 Nov-10 May-11 Nov-11 May-12 Nov-12 May-13 Nov-13 May-14 Nov-14 May-15 Nov-15 May-16 Nov-16 May-17

Single biggest issue: Trend 2010 - 2017What do you see as the most important issue facing Britain today?


NHS EU/BREXIT IMMIGRATION ECONOMY

DEFENCE/

TERRORISM UNEMPLOYMENT

7

Cameron becomes PM GE 2017Vote for Brexit;

May becomes PM

Issues Facing Britain:

NHS / Hospitals / HealthcareWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

May2017

Report says waiting lists have

doubled under Labour

Lowest score since

December 1985 (12%)

Highest score since April 2002

(61%)

Source: Ipsos MORI Issues IndexBase: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home

8

GE 2017Vote for Brexit;

May becomes PMCameron becomes PM


Common Market / Europe / Euro / EU / BrexitWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

10

20

30

40

50

60

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

May2017

Treaty of Accession: ten new

EU Member States

France and Holland reject

ratification of EU constitution

Lowest score

recorded (1%)


51%: Highest recorded score

9


May becomes PM

Cameron becomes PM


Immigration / Immigrants


NB Until Sept 2014 the code was race relations/immigration/immigrants


0

10

20

30

40

50

60

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

May2017

Border controls relaxed for “A8” EU

Countries (Poland, etc.)


EU Border controls

relaxed for Romanians

and Bulgarians

Highest concern

ever recorded (56%)

10




Economy / Economic situationWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

May2017

Global recession

and Russian

Financial crisis

Highest score since 1992;

Most important issue for

the first time

Sub-prime mortgage

crisis in the US


Northern Rock

nationalised

Lowest score since

February 2008 (18%)

11


May becomes PM

Cameron becomes PM


Unemployment / Factory closure / Lack of industryWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

0

10

20

30

40

50

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

May2017

Unemployment falls below 1 million for first time in 25 years

Minimum wage

introduced

Unemployment in Britain rises to 5.5%

Lowest ever score(5%)

Youth unemployment reaches 1 million

Lowest score since September

2008 (11%)

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

12




Education / SchoolsWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

10

20

30

40

50

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

May2017

Introduction of university tuition fees;

Education most important issue.

First City Academies

introduced

Lowest score since

Dec 1985 (9%)

Labour’s second term - pledge to

improve failing secondary schools

Highest score since

September 2006 (27%)


13




Crime / Law & Order / Violence / Vandalism / ASB




0

10

20

30

40

50

60

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

May2017

May day riots Riots across

England

Lowest score since

March 1991 (8%)

14




Defence / Foreign Affairs / International terrorismWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

May2017

9/11 “7/7” London

Bombing

Invasion of Iraq

UK withdraws

from Iraq

War in

Kosovo

Parliamentary vote

against action in Syria

NATO bombing

in Libya

Rise

of IS


Paris attacks and

Parliamentary vote for

action against IS in Syria

London

Bridge

attack

15




Poverty/inequalityWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

5

10

15

20

25

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

May2017

Sept 1999:

Alastair Darling – “one child in

three” living in poverty

December 2016:

highest score

recorded (20%)

January 2005:

Make Poverty History campaign

launched on New Year’s Day


16




Inflation/PricesWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

5

10

15

20

25

30

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

May2017

Lowest score since Sep 2007 (4%)

Inflation rate hits 16 year peak

Inflation rises to 3.4%


17




HousingWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

5

10

15

20

25

30

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

May2017

Highest score since

October 1974 (22%)


18




Pensions/Social Security/BenefitsWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

5

10

15

20

25

30

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

May2017

Equitable Life sells

its non-profit

pension annuities

Labour proposes ‘affluence testing’ to

exclude the well-off from state

benefits

Gordon Brown unveils

pension credits Pensions commission report –

“more than 12 million working

people are not saving enough for

their retirement”

Lowest ever

score (3%)


19




Pollution / EnvironmentWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

5

10

15

20

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

May2017

Wettest Autumn since

records began –

widespread flooding

Nine killed in gales across

Britain and EU proposes

carbon emission cuts of

20% by 2020

Winter flooding

and storms


20




Low pay/minimum wage/fair wagesWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

5

10

15

20

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

May2017


Highest recorded

score (15%)

21

Top issues – concern by party support

Base: 233 Conservative and 337 Labour supporters aged 18+, 1 – 13 September 2017



55%

37%

40%

16%

18%

14%

16%

11%

12%

17%

41%

45%

17%

25%

17%

15%

16%

21%

14%

8%




Education/Schools

Economy

Housing


Poverty/Inequality



Top mentions %

CONSERVATIVE

SUPPORTERS

LABOUR

SUPPORTERS

22

Top issues – concern by gender

Base: 486 men and 513 women aged 18+, 1 – 13 September 2017



50%

35%

26%

17%

20%

15%

19%

13%

11%

9%

42%

44%

25%

22%

15%

17%

13%

17%

13%

15%




Education/Schools

Economy

Housing


Poverty/Inequality



Top mentions %

MEN

WOMEN

23

Brexit and the NHS are the top two issues across

socio-demographic groupsWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Top three issues by age and social grade

Source: Ipsos MORI Issues IndexBase: 999 British adults 18+, 1 – 13 September 2017

65%

42%

32%

EU/Brexit

NHS

Immigration

63%

47%

29%

EU/Brexit

NHS

Education

41%

36%

27%

EU/Brexit

NHS

Housing

40%

38%

31%

NHS

EU/Brexit

Immigration

41%

33%

30%

NHS

EU/Brexit

Immigration

28%

24%

22%

NHS

EU/Brexit

18

-34

35

-54

55

+

ABC1 C2DE

Social grade

Ag

e b

rac

ke

t

Immigration/ Defence

24

Top issues – concern by social grade

Base: 613 people from social grades ABC1 and 386 people from social grades C2DE, aged 18+, 1 – 13 September 2017



58%

42%

24%

23%

22%

19%

16%

17%

13%

14%

32%

37%

28%

15%

12%

13%

15%

12%

11%

10%




Education/Schools

Economy

Housing


Poverty/Inequality



Top mentions %

ABC1

C2DE

25

Top issues – concern by age group

Base: 265 18-34 year olds, 292 35-54 years olds and 442 55+ year olds, 1 – 13 September 2017



33%

32%

19%

20%

18%

20%

17%

12%

10%

8%

51%

45%

26%

24%

19%

12%

13%

21%

12%

13%

52%

41%

31%

15%

16%

16%

17%

12%

14%

14%




Education/Schools

Economy

Housing


Poverty/Inequality



Top mentions %

18-34

35-54

55+

26

Concern about EU/Brexit by subgroup

Base: 999 British adults 18+, 1– 13 September 2017

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? EU/Europe/Brexit

Ipsos MORI Issues Index

18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

Concern about the EU/Brexit by age group:

55%

39%

43%

56%

Concern by region:

46%50%

42%

55%

41%

63%

52%

35%30%

Overall

Concern about the EU/Brexit by key demographic groups:

45%

35% 32%52% 54% 50%51%

Men Women CON LAB AB C1 C2 DE

Social GradeGender Party support

27

Concern about the NHS by subgroup


What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? NHS

Ipsos MORI Issues Index

18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

Concern about the NHS by age group:

54%

36%

38%

44%

Concern by region:

40%35%

44%37%

45%41% 43%

36% 38%

Overall

Concern about the NHS by key demographic groups:

33%

32% 33%51% 43% 40%38%

Men Women CON LAB AB C1 C2 DE

Social GradeGender Party support

September 2017ECONOMIST/IPSOS MORI ISSUES INDEX

For more information contact:

[email protected]

[email protected]

News & Politics

Ipsos MORI Issues Index September 2017