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Presentation of New Hampshire US Senate survey.
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Y O U R L O G O
Citizens for a Strong New HampshireConducted September 10th-11th, 2014
2,214 Likely Voter Interviews
MOE +/-2.0%
Statewide Public Opinion Survey
Ossipee
Lancaster
Woodsville
Keene
Nashua
Exeter
Laconia
Newport
Concord
3. Would you say things in country are going in the right direction or have they gotten off on the wrong track?
Statewide
Region
35%
65%
RIGHT DIRECTION WRONG TRACK
37%29%
41%37%
31%39%
63%71%
59%63%
69%61%
Age
18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
35% 33% 32%
39% 37%
65% 67% 68%
61% 63%
Right Direction Wrong Track
3. Would you say things in country are going in the right direction or have they gotten off on the wrong track?
Party Gender Terrorist/Boarder
Party by Gender Generic Ballot Obama Approval
GOP MEN GOPWOMEN
DEM MEN DEMWOMEN
IND MEN INDWOMEN
13% 11%
68%62%
32% 35%
87% 89%
32%38%
68% 65%
MALE FEMALE
33%38%
67%62%
NSS GOP STR GOP GOP IND DEM STR DEM NSS DEM
24%
7%12%
34%
64%
78%
32%
76%
93%88%
66%
36%
22%
68%
DEM GOP UND
77%
5%
28%23%
95%
72%
APRV DISAPRV UND
88%
3%
43%
12%
97%
57%
LIKELY NOT LIKELY
19%
67%
81%
33%
Right Direction Wrong Track
4. If the election for US Senate were being held today, and all you knew about the two candidates was that one was a Republicanand the other was a Democrat, for whom would you vote?
Statewide
Region
Age
47%
36%
17%
REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATE
UNDECIDED
Republican Candidate
Democrat Candidate
Undecided
18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
47%45%
52%
43% 45%
38%34%
30%
40% 41%
15%
21%18% 17% 15%
47%53%
38%
47% 48%43%
38%
30%
41%38% 40% 38%
15% 17%21%
15%12%
19%
4. If the election for US Senate were being held today, and all you knew about the two candidates was that one was a Republicanand the other was a Democrat, for whom would you vote?
Party Gender Terrorist/Boarder
Party by Gender Mood Obama Approval
Republican Candidate
Democrat Candidate
Undecided
NSS GOP STR GOP GOP IND DEM STR DEM NSS DEM
61%
89%
80%
40%
16%
7%
36%
21%
4%10%
30%
75%
89%
42%
19%
6%10%
30%
9%4%
22%
MALE FEMALE
51%
42%
31%
41%
18% 16%
LIKELY NOT LIKELY
63%
14%20%
69%
17% 17%
GOP MEN GOPWOMEN
DEM MEN DEMWOMEN
IND MEN INDWOMEN
81% 80%
13%18%
43%37%
12%7%
73% 76%
27%34%
8%13% 15%
6%
31% 30%
APRV DISAPRV
5%
77%83%
6%13%
17%
RD WT
7%
68%
80%
13%14%19%
5. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Scott Brown?
Statewide
Region
Age
41% 51%32% 30% 28% 31%
50% 37%55%
50%44%
53%
9% 10% 12% 19%23%
15%
18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
33% 40% 41% 37% 40%
51%48% 43% 50% 48%
10%13% 15% 12% 11%
39%
48%
12% 1%
FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE
HEARD OF BUT NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF
Favorable Unfavorable Heard, No Opin Never Heard Of
5. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Scott Brown?
Party Gender Terrorist/Boarder
Party by Gender Generic Ballot Obama Approval
GOP MEN GOPWOMEN
DEMWOMEN
IND MEN IND WOMEN
63% 62%
12%
39% 36%
28%22%
73%
47% 46%
9%14% 12% 13% 16%
LIKELY NOT LIKELY
53%
11%
32%
78%
13% 11%
NSS GOP STR GOP GOP IND DEM STR DEM NSS DEM
47%
70% 62%
37%
13% 7%25%
41%
18% 25%
47%
75% 85% 51%
10% 12% 11% 15% 11% 7%
19%
MALE FEMALE
43%35%
46%49%
11% 14%
DEM GOP UND
4%
71%
25%
88%
16%
47%
8% 12%24%
APRV DISAPRV
5%
63%
86%
23%
8% 13%
Favorable Unfavorable Heard, No Opin Never Heard Of
6. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Jeanne Shaheen?
Statewide
Region
Age
18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
41% 42% 42% 47% 49%
52% 51% 53% 48% 45%
5% 7% 5% 5% 6%
44% 39%51% 52% 44% 48%
51% 55% 39% 42% 47% 48%
4% 5% 10% 6% 9% 4%
45%
49%
5%0%
FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE
HEARD OF BUT NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF
Favorable Unfavorable Heard, No Opin Never Heard Of
Party Gender Terrorist/Boarder
Party by Gender Generic Ballot Obama Approval
MALE FEMALE
41% 48%
54% 45%
4% 6%
NSS GOP STR GOP GOP IND DEM STR DEM NSS DEM
34%
12% 19%
43%
77%93%
41%
60%
83% 75%
49%
21%6%
54%
6% 6% 6% 8% 2% 1% 4%
Favorable Unfavorable Heard, No Opin Never Heard Of
GOP MEN GOPWOMEN
DEM MEN DEMWOMEN
IND MEN INDWOMEN
20% 17%
78% 77%
41% 45%
76%75%
20% 21%
53% 45%
4% 9% 2% 1% 6% 10%
LIKELY NOT LIKELY
26%
81%
67%
14%6% 5%
DEM GOP UND
93%
9%
39%
5%
86%44%
2% 5%15%
APRV DISAPRV UND
93%
11%
72%
3%
83%
13%
3% 6%12%
6. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Jeanne Shaheen?
7. And do you approve or disapprove of the job that Barack Obama is doing as President?
Statewide
Region
Age
33%
57%
10%
APPROVE DISAPPROVE UNDECIDED
18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
33%30% 29%
36% 37%
51%
61% 61%55% 55%
16%9% 9% 9% 8%
31% 30%39% 38%
29%
39%
59% 61%
50% 51%59%
54%
11% 10% 11% 10% 12%7%
Approve Disapprove Undecided
7. And do you approve or disapprove of the job that Barack Obama is doing as President? s
Party Gender Terrorist/Boarder
Party by Gender Generic Ballot Mood
Approve Disapprove Undecided
NSS GOP STR GOP GOP IND DEM STR DEM NSS DEM
19%
7%11%
31%
62%
78%
23%
73%
89%84%
58%
24%
9%
57%
8%3% 5%
11%15% 12%
20%
MALE FEMALE
29%
37%
63%
51%
7%12%
GOP MEN GOPWOMEN
DEM MEN DEMWOMEN
IND MEN INDWOMEN
12% 10%
63% 61%
27%35%
84% 84%
24% 24%
65%
52%
3% 6%13% 16%
8%13%
LIKELY NOT LIKELY
18%
64%
74%
23%
8%13%
DEM GOP UND
75%
3%
25%
9%
94%
58%
16%
3%
17%
RD WT
83%
6%5%
85%
12% 9%
8. If the election was being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Scott Brown, Republican, or Jeanne Shaheen, Democrat?
Statewide
Region
Age
46%
44%
10%
SCOTT BROWN JEANNE SHAHEEN UNDECIDED
18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
38%44%
50%47% 46%48%
43%40%
46% 46%
14% 13%10% 8% 8%
46%
55%
39%42% 41% 42%44%
38%
50% 49% 47% 47%
11%7%
11% 8% 11% 11%
Brown Shaheen Undecided
8. If the election was being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Scott Brown, Republican, or Jeanne Shaheen, Democrat?
Party Gender Terrorist/Boarder
Party by Gender Generic Ballot Obama Approval
STR GOP GOP IND DEM STR DEM NSS DEM
87%79%
42%
13%5%
31%
8%14%
43%
80%
93%
50%
5% 7%15%
7%2%
18%
MALE FEMALE
53%
39%38%
50%
9% 11%
GOP MEN GOPWOMEN
DEM MEN DEMWOMEN
IND MEN INDWOMEN
79% 78%
16%11%
47%
36%
15% 14%
79% 81%
38%
49%
6% 9% 6% 8%15% 15%
LIKELY NOT LIKELY
63%
12%
27%
79%
10% 9%
DEM GOP UND
1%
87%
28%
96%
5%
40%
3%7%
32%
APRV DISAPRV UND
2%
78%
9%
95%
10%
72%
3%12%
19%
Brown Shaheen Undecided
11. In your opinion, has congress done an adequate job securing the US/Mexico border?
Statewide
Region
Age
Yes No
18%
76%
YES NO
18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
32%22% 19% 14% 13%
61%72% 75% 80% 81%
20% 13% 22% 20% 14% 21%
74% 81% 72% 71% 80% 72%
11. In your opinion, has congress done an adequate job securing the US/Mexico border?
Party Gender Terrorist/Boarder
Party by Gender Generic Ballot Obama Approval
Yes No
NSS GOP STR GOP GOP IND DEM STR DEM NSS DEM
13% 6% 8% 14%
35%45%
14%
83% 92% 89% 79%
55%45%
78%
MALE FEMALE
19% 18%
78% 73%
GOP MEN GOPWOMEN
DEM MEN DEMWOMEN
IND MEN INDWOMEN
10% 6%
41% 32%
14% 15%
88% 91%
56% 55%
82% 76%
LIKELY NOT LIKELY
7%
42%
88%
52%
DEM GOP UND
41%
4%11%
50%
94%81%
APRV DISAPRV UND
42%
3%
28%
47%
95%
59%
12. And in your opinion, how likely is it that terrorists will enter the US by crossing the US/Mexico border?
Statewide
Region
Age
Likely Not Likely
39%
27%
23%
11%
VERY LIKELY SOMEWHAT LIKELY
NOT TOO LIKELY NOT AT ALL LIKELY
18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
67%
58%
67% 67%70%
33%
42%
33% 33%30%
69% 69%
57%63%
68% 65%
31% 31%
43%37%
32% 35%
12. And in your opinion, how likely is it that terrorists will enter the US by crossing the US/Mexico border?
Party Gender Mood
Party by Gender Generic Ballot Obama Approval
NSS GOP STR GOP GOP IND DEM STR DEM NSS DEM
71%
88%82%
69%
45%38%
63%
29%
12%18%
31%
55%62%
37%
MALE FEMALE
67% 67%
33% 33%
GOP MEN GOPWOMEN
DEM MEN DEMWOMEN
IND MEN INDWOMEN
81%85%
42%48%
67%71%
19%15%
58%52%
33%29%
DEM GOP UND
37%
90%
67%63%
10%
33%
APRV DISAPRV UND
36%
87%
54%
64%
13%
46%
RD WT
36%
83%
64%
17%
Likely Not Likely