Ukrainian opinions research march2014

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Research which clearly shows opinion and attitude differencies between Western+Central and Southern+Eastern Ukraine. There are some questions to - wording and formulation of questionnaire, - some methodics of results presentation of this USA-sponsoring research, but anyway that shows the whole picture

Text of Ukrainian opinions research march2014

  • 1. International Republican Institute Public Opinion Survey Residents of Ukraine March 14 26, 2014

2. Detailed Methodology 2 The survey was conducted by the public opinion and market research company Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization on behalf of the International Republican Institute. The field work was carried out by Rating Group Ukraine. Data was collected throughout Ukraine (including Crimea) March 1426, 2014, through face-to-face interviews at respondents home. The sample consisted of 1,200 permanent residents of Ukraine older than the age of 18 and eligible to vote. It is representative of the general population by age, gender, education, region and size of the settlement. Multistage probability sampling method was used with the random route and next birthday respondents selection procedures. Stage one: 27 official administrative regions of Ukraine were defined (25 regions of Ukraine, Kyiv and Sevastopol). All regions of Ukraine were surveyed. Stage two: selection of the settlements - towns and villages. Towns were grouped into subtypes according to the size: City more than one million residents City 500,000-999,000 residents City 100,000-499,000 residents City 50,000-99,000 residents City to 50,000 residents Village Settlements were selected at random. The number of selected settlements in each region was proportional to the share of population living in a particular type of the settlement in each region. Stage three: primary sampling units were described. The margin of error does not exceed plus or minus 2.8 percent. Response rate was 63 percent. Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding. The survey was funded by the U.S. Agency for International Development. 3. International Republican Institute Russian-Speaking Citizens Not Under Pressure or Threat 4. Do you feel that Russian-speaking citizens of Ukraine are under pressure or threat because of their language? 4 5% 7% 14% 71% 3% Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer 5. Do you feel that Russian-speaking citizens of Ukraine are under pressure or threat because of their language? 5 3% 12% 5% 17% 13% 17% 76% 49% 3% 5% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Ethnic Ukrainian Ethnic Russian Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer By ethnicity 6. Do you feel that Russian-speaking citizens of Ukraine are under pressure or threat because of their language? 6 1% 3% 13% 5% 3% 2% 11% 12% 7% 11% 23% 16% 88% 83% 51% 58% 1% 1% 2% 8% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% West Center South East Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer 7. Do you support the decision of the Russian Federation to send its army to protect Russian-speaking citizens of Ukraine? 7 7% 6% 9% 72% 6% Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer 8. Do you support the decision of the Russian Federation to send its army to protect Russian-speaking citizens of Ukraine? 8 1% 1% 16% 12% 1% 11% 12% 5% 5% 16% 12% 93% 91% 51% 49% 1% 1% 6% 15% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% West Center South East Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer 9. Do you support the decision of the Russian Federation to send its army to protect Russian-speaking citizens of Ukraine? 9 3% 23% 4% 20% 9% 11% 80% 32% 4% 14% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Ethnic Ukrainian Ethnic Russian Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer By ethnicity 10. International Republican Institute Majority Want Closer Ties to Europe 11. If Ukraine was able to enter only one international economic union, should it be with? 11 42% 36% 37% 32% 40% 42% 41% 52% 40% 43% 41% 42% 37% 37% 36% 27% 3% 4% 5% 6% 5% 5% 9% 6% 15% 17% 17% 20% 18% 16% 14% 14% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% November 2011 March 2012 May 2012 August 2012 May 2013 September 2013 February 2014 March 2014 European Union Customs Union with Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan Other Don't know/Refused to answer 12. If Ukraine was able to enter only one international economic union, should it be with? 12 90% 70% 29% 20% 3% 9% 37% 59% 2% 11% 10% 3% 5% 10% 24% 18% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% West Center South East European Union Customs Union with Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan Other Don't know/Refused to answer 13. If a referendum were held today on Ukraine joining the European Union, how would you vote? 13 53% 28% 8% 11% Would vote for Ukraine to join the EU Would vote against Ukraine joining the EU Would not vote Don't know/Refused to answer 14. If a referendum were held today on Ukraine joining the European Union, how would you vote? 14 90% 71% 29% 22% 4% 16% 37% 55% 2% 2% 23% 7% 4% 11% 11% 16% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% West Center South East Would vote for Ukraine to join the EU Would vote against Ukraine joining the EU Would not vote Don't know/Refused to answer 15. If a referendum were held today on Ukraine joining the Customs Union with Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan, how would you vote? 15 28% 51% 15% 6% Would vote for Ukraine to join the Customs Union Would vote against Ukraine joining the Customs Union Would not vote Don't know/Refused to answer 16. If a referendum were held today on Ukraine joining the Customs Union with Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan, how would you vote? 16 6% 10% 31% 62% 77% 74% 32% 19% 9% 5% 35% 17% 8% 11% 2% 2% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% West Center South East Would vote for Ukraine to join the Customs Union Would vote against Ukraine joining the Customs Union Would not vote Don't know/Refused to answer 17. Do you think that the authorities of Ukraine should sign the Association Agreement with the European Union as soon as possible? 17 25% 35% 20% 18% 16% 12% 25% 21% 14% 14% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% February 2014 March 2014 Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer 18. Do you think that the authorities of Ukraine should sign the Association Agreement with the European Union as soon as possible? 18 72% 42% 12% 13% 18% 30% 15% 9% 3% 9% 15% 19% 2% 6% 35% 42% 5% 13% 23% 17% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% West Center South East Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer 19. If a referendum were held today on Ukraine joining NATO, how would you vote? 19 34% 44% 9% 13% Would vote for Ukraine to join NATO Would vote against Ukraine joining NATO Would not vote Don't know/Refused to answer 20. If a referendum were held today on Ukraine joining NATO, how would you vote? 20 64% 47% 11% 14% 17% 33% 52% 67% 5% 4% 26% 8% 14% 16% 11% 11% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% West Center South East Would vote for Ukraine to join NATO Would vote against Ukraine joining NATO Would not vote Don't know/Refused to answer 21. International Republican Institute Majority Consider Russias Actions an Invasion 22. In your opinion, a referendum in Crimea on joining Russia is? 22 23% 68% 1% 8% A legitimate right of the residents of Crimea to express their opinion about the future of Crimea An attempt to break Ukraine into several parts and threat to its independence Other Don't know/Refused to answer 23. In your opinion, a referendum in Crimea on joining Russia is? 23 2% 7% 41% 45% 94% 87% 48% 40% 2% 2% 5% 10% 13% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% West Center South East A legitimate right of the residents of Crimea to express their opinion about the future of Crimea An attempt to break Ukraine into several parts and threat to its independence Other Don't know/Refused to answer 1% 2% 24. In your opinion, what should the status of Crimea should be? 24 50% 13% 13% 8% 5% 1% 1% 9% Autonomous republic within Ukraine Crimean-Tatar autonomous republic within Ukraine Should become part of Russia Become an oblast of Ukraine Should become an independent state Should become part of Turkey Other Don't know/Refused to answer 25. In your opinion, what the status of Crimea should be? 25 61% 66% 42% 31% 14% 11% 11% 16% 3% 31% 20% 16% 8% 4% 5% 2% 3% 4% 11% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 6% 6% 6% 15% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% West Center South East Autonomous republic within Ukraine Crimean-Tatar autonomous republic within Ukraine Should become part of Russia Become an oblast of Ukraine Should become an independent state Should become part of Turkey Other Don't know/Refused to answer 26. How do you evaluate Russias actions in Crimea? In your opinion, are they aimed at...? 26 54% 17% 13% 5% 4% 1% 6% Invasion and occupation of independent Ukraine Threat to new Ukrainian political leaders Protection of Russian-speaking citizens of Ukraine Response to the new Crimea leaders asking for help Protection of Russian military base in Sevastopol Other Don't know/Refused to answer 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 27. How do you evaluate Russias actions in Crimea? In your opinion, are they aimed at...? 27 74% 20% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% Invasion and occupation of independent Ukraine Threat to new Ukrainian political leaders Protection of Russian-speaking citizens of Ukraine Response to the new Crimea leaders asking for help Protection of Russian military base in Sevastopol Other Don't know/Refused to answer Western Ukraine 28. How do you evaluate Russias actions in Crimea? In your opinion, are they aimed at...? 28 75% 16% 3% 2% 1% 0% 3% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% Invasion and occupation of independent Ukraine Threat to new Ukrainian political leaders Response to the new Crimea leaders asking for help Protection of Russian-speaking citizens of Ukraine Protection of Russian military base in Sevastopol Other Don't know/Refused to answer Central Ukraine 29. How do you evaluate Russias actions in Crimea? In your opinion, are they aimed at...? 29 37% 31% 15% 7% 2% 2% 6% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% Invasion and occupation of independent Ukrain