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Ethan Zuckerman “What Now?” / “Wat nu?” @ethanz #cjc16 2.12.16

What next? Civic engagement in an age of high mistrust

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Page 1: What next? Civic engagement in an age of high mistrust

Ethan Zuckerman “What Now?” / “Wat nu?”

@ethanz #cjc16 2.12.16

Page 2: What next? Civic engagement in an age of high mistrust
Page 3: What next? Civic engagement in an age of high mistrust

“Shocked, but not surprised”

Page 4: What next? Civic engagement in an age of high mistrust

institutionalists insurrectionists

Page 5: What next? Civic engagement in an age of high mistrust

“Do you trust the government in Washington to do the right thingall or most of the time?” 77% in 1964, 19% in 2011.

Pew Research Center, Public Trust in Government: 1958-2014

Page 6: What next? Civic engagement in an age of high mistrust

+22 (+44%) from 50% in 1981

+10 (+18%) from 57% in 1998

-12 (-19%) from 64% in 2004

-26 (-38%) from 68% in 1975

-43 (-54%) from 80% in 1975

-39 (-54%) from 72% in 1991

-33 (-51%) from 65% in 1988

-31 (-50%) from 62% in 1975

-32 (-53%) from 60% in 1979

-15 (-38%) from 39% in 1977

-27 (-53%) from 51% in 1979

-6 (-21%) from 29% in 2012

-25 (-54%) from 46% in 1993

-13 (-38%) from 34% in 1975

-34 (-81%) from 42% in 1973

Page 7: What next? Civic engagement in an age of high mistrust
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Yascha Mounk and Roberto Stefan Foa, “The Signs of Democratic Deconsolidation,”

Journal of Democracy, 2017

Page 9: What next? Civic engagement in an age of high mistrust

113th Congress, 9% approval

Passed 296 laws, 84 were “symbolic”

Page 10: What next? Civic engagement in an age of high mistrust

“CNN sucks!”oh… they hate us, too

Page 11: What next? Civic engagement in an age of high mistrust

FAKE

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Page 13: What next? Civic engagement in an age of high mistrust

cc photo by Sara Björk

mistrust leads to powerlessness

Page 14: What next? Civic engagement in an age of high mistrust
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efficacy?

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WELL THAT MAKES ME ANGRY

SEEMS LIKE I SHOULD DO SOMETHING TO HELP

OOH, LOOK! PICTURES OF KITTIES!

images from Randall Munroe’s wonderful (and CC licensed) xkcd comic strip

are we helping people be effective?

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Inform Investigate

Analyze Public Forum

Social Empathy Mobilization

Promote Democracy

“Six or Seven Things the News

can do for Democracy”

Page 19: What next? Civic engagement in an age of high mistrust

Inform Investigate

Analyze Public Forum

Social Empathy Mobilization

Promote Democracy

“Six or Seven Things the News

can do for Democracy”

Page 20: What next? Civic engagement in an age of high mistrust

Inform Investigate

Analyze Public Forum

Social Empathy Mobilization

Promote Democracy

“Six or Seven Things the News

can do for Democracy”

Page 21: What next? Civic engagement in an age of high mistrust

what if we’ve got civics wrong?

Page 22: What next? Civic engagement in an age of high mistrust

law

markets

norms

code

Page 23: What next? Civic engagement in an age of high mistrust

law

markets

norms

code

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cartoon by Peter Steiner

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code

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markets

Page 27: What next? Civic engagement in an age of high mistrust

normsflickr photo by Sean Davis

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norms

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norms

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norms

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so what’s our role?

Page 32: What next? Civic engagement in an age of high mistrust

law

markets

norms

code

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Landscape Mapper

we need new tools to understand and measure how power works today

Page 34: What next? Civic engagement in an age of high mistrust

Sources: Mapping Police Violence, Washington Post, Guardian 01/01/2013 - 06/29/2016 (n=333). MediaCloud articles in the two week period after death, normalized by total MediaCloud article count. 10 observations within 14 days before Michael Brown’s death are omitted.

News articles per unarmed black person killed by US police in the days surrounding each death, including before & after the death of Michael Brown

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An unarmed black person killed by US police received 10.5x the incidence rate of News Articles after Michael Brown’s death from those killed before

Sources: Mapping Police Violence, Washington Post, Guardian 01/01/2013 - 06/29/2016 (n=333). MediaCloud articles in the two week period after death, normalized by total MediaCloud article count. NB Model controls for age, gender, and regional population. p=7.84e^-14

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Among unarmed black people killed by US police, the number of news articles per person for June 2016 was not significantly different from Jan 2013

Sources: Mapping Police Violence, Washington Post, Guardian 01/01/2013 - 06/29/2016 (n=333). MediaCloud articles in the two week period after death, normalized by total MediaCloud article count. NB Model controls for age, gender, and regional population.

Page 37: What next? Civic engagement in an age of high mistrust

Articles about an unarmed black person killed by US police received 49.8x the incidence rate of Total Facebook Shares after Michael Brown’s death

Sources: Mapping Police Violence, Washington Post, Guardian 01/01/2013 - 06/29/2016 (n=333). Facebook Shares of articles in the two week period after death, normalized by total MediaCloud article count. NB Model controls for age, gender, and regional population. p=2.56e^-12

Page 38: What next? Civic engagement in an age of high mistrust

Articles about an unarmed black person killed by US police received 49.8x the incidence rate of Total Facebook Shares after Michael Brown’s death

Sources: Mapping Police Violence, Washington Post, Guardian 01/01/2013 - 06/29/2016 (n=333). Facebook Shares of articles in the two week period after death, normalized by total MediaCloud article count. NB Model controls for age, gender, regional population, and article count.

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communicate how power works

celebrate successes of the new civics

link stories to meaningful action

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It’s not the public’s job to save journalism.

It might be journalism’s job to save civics.

Saving civics - or, at least, understanding it - is the first step towards saving journalism.

Page 43: What next? Civic engagement in an age of high mistrust

thanks/dank u wel @ethanz

[email protected] #cjc16