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STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL
WA Power and Gas Conference
Synergy’s activities and projects in emerging markets:
The role of the utility in this period of consumer led transformation
28 March 2017
1STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL
What We DoSynergy is Western Australia’s largest provider of electricity and gas, holding over 2,800MW of generating capacity
and delivering energy to more than one million residential, business and industrial customers
Western Power transports
the electricity and manages
the poles and wires
Synergy makes
and sources the
electricity
Synergy sells
the electricity
2STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL
Energy markets are rapidly transforming
Consumers
Disengaged customers
Centralised energy supply
Single points of control
Basic infrastructure
Distribution & transmission
Energy intense
Carbon dependent
Industry consolidation
Monopolistic
Prosumers
Involved energy producers
Distributed generation
Decentralised energy management
Smart networksDigitisation & automation beyond the
meter
Energy/carbon efficient
Renewables focus
Disaggregation & Deregulation
Competitive markets
To
New technologies are driving the greatest upheaval of the past century in electricity
marketsFrom
3STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL
A more personalised approach to supply is required with different customers requiring different
services at different times
Customer Centric Supply Chain
Customer
Trading /distribution
Generation and T&D
Energy services
Storage
RetailingElectric vehicles
Metering
Data analytics
Load aggregation
Possible future customer-centric model
4STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL
Utilities worldwide are adopting new operating modelsbased on partnerships, alliances and acquisitions
• Key players are positioning themselves
in the new downstream space.
• Increased prevalence of joint ventures
and strategic alliances.
• New energy technologies have the
potential to unlock value of both the
solar and battery business and support
customers desire for energy independence
and control.
Source: Company’s websites
5STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL
Potential scenarios for electricity in Australia1
Customer choice and behavior will define the future electricity landscape
1. Set and forget 2. Rise of the prosumer 3. Leaving the grid 4. Renewables thrive
• Customers adopt peak
demand management.
• Consumers are not
particularly motivated and
systems are designed on a
“set and forget” basis after
customers decide the level of
demand that suits them.
• Widespread adoption of on-site
generation.
• Consumers are actively engaged
in their electricity supply. Electric
vehicle adoption is popular.
• By 2050, on-site generation
accounts for half of all
consumption.
• New energy service companies
invite consumers to leave the grid,
offering an initially higher-cost
solution but one that appeals to a
sense of independence.
• By 2040, with reduced storage
costs, disconnection becomes
mainstream.
• 100% renewable target by 2050
for centralised generation.
• To shift demand and meet
renewable supply gaps, storage
technology is enabled at utility and
consumer sites.
• By 2050, overall renewable share
is 86% (centralised and on-site).
Source: CSIRO “The Future Grid Forum’s analysis of Australia’s potential electricity pathways to 2050”
6STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL
The role of the utility
Traditional utility providers recognise that to stay competitive and relevant to customers,
they need to look at energy differently.
7STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL
Customers expect Synergy to be a leader in energy efficient and innovative future technologies
Source: Synergy Connect surveys
Synergy should be a
key player in
exploring how future
WA homes can be
more efficient
Expect Synergy to
be a leader in
innovative future
technologies
I’d feel more positive
about Synergy if they
had products around
future-orientated
technologies like
batteries and EVs
Brand Perception of Synergy in the Renewable Category
(Agree or strongly agree)
81
%
60
%
74
%
8STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL
Our teams are well advanced on scoping, sourcing and bringing new products to market
Synergy activities and projects
Alkimos
Beach
Solar
ReturnStorage
Electric
Vehicles
Home of
the Future
Virtual Power Plants
Network Optimisation
Energy Trading
9STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL
WA has one of the highest solar uptakes in the country but distributed storage uptake remains low
Source: Jacobs
The Impact of Distributed Solar and Storage
Installed capacity of battery systems, 2015-16 to 2025-26
10STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL
Electric Vehicles
Source: AEMO
Base case scenario based on assumptions consistent with the neutral sensitivity from the AEMO.
Energy consumption estimates assume average battery sizes of 23 kWh, different PHEVs/BEVs for the different uptake scenarios with PHEVs driving 50% of distances on petrol.
11STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL
Future technology will open the door to multiple
product offerings
Demand Response Appliances
• Demand response enabled appliances shed load
from the grid and may help consumers save money
during peak demand with the right tariff incentives
Energy Storage
• Maximises self consumption, back-up power and
peak load reduction
• Enables flexibility to distributed generation and
potentially enables off-grid solutions
Electric Car
• The charging of EVs increases electricity
demand and provides back up storage.
Energy Efficiency & Insulation
• Improved efficiency through weather-
proofing and appliances
Micro wind turbine
• Supplementary renewable generation
Solar panels
• The average home would need at least
10 panels in addition to battery back-up
Smart meters
• Communication gateway between the
Smart Grid and the home.
• Key enabler of new tariff products &
BTM tech
Solar & heat pump water heater
Geothermal heat pump
Energy efficient lighting & appliances
Home energy manager
• Helps homeowners optimise energy
consumption.
Battery Management System
• Monitors power generated from solar
panels to load batteries or into the grid
12STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL
Our regulatory framework needs to adapt to previously un-thought of grid and market requirements
Source: McKinsey analysis, July 2015; Customer Insights & Retail Strategy team, March 2016; VaasaETT, Dynamics of Retail Margins, Churn & Market Share, December 2015
Development and uptake of distributed energy resources in the SWIS
Power is shifting to the customer,
who is more engaged, has more
choices and is seeking to control
energy costs
Customer led growth
Definition of coherent
frameworks and systems for
market design
▪ Full retail contestability on the
horizon but timeframe uncertain
▪ Current capacity mechanism future
design undecided
▪ Metering contestability
▪ Gas moratorium still in place
▪ Tariff reform under discussion
Technological breakthroughs are
underway and are primed for
accelerated adoption
Technology Policy/Regulation