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glhearn.com The Second Annual Planning Survey: The Results! Designing the future planning system 17 September 2013

Designing the future planning system

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Page 1: Designing the future planning system

glhearn.com

The Second Annual Planning Survey: The Results!

Designing the future planning system

17 September 2013

Page 2: Designing the future planning system

glhearn.com

Introduction and welcomeAlastair Crowdy

National Head of Development Group

17 September 2013

The second annual planning survey

Page 3: Designing the future planning system

glhearn.com

Setting the sceneShaun Andrews

Head of Investor and Developer Planning, GL Hearn

17 September 2013

The second annual planning survey

Page 4: Designing the future planning system

First Annual Planning SurveyRecap

• Key issues last year:

‒ Cost

‒ Certainty

‒ Time

‒ Relationship – although improving, the two cultures of planning

• Key area for improvement:

‒ Planning Performance Agreements

‒ Time

‒ Relationship – although improving, the two cultures of planning

Page 5: Designing the future planning system

Major Applications Research

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Approach

• All London Boroughs analysed and compared with 2011/12 results

• Manchester metropolitan area also assessed for first time

• Objective – assessment of how each borough processes major applications – standard definition

• No S73 or 96a applications (variations / amendments)

• Timeframe - 12 month period following NPPF (published April 2012) and it immediately follows the previous survey – two years of complete data

• Focus – Activity, Time and Certainty

Page 7: Designing the future planning system

Importance of each factor in decision to invest

Site specific opportunity

Fit with investment strategy

Market opportunity

Previous dealings with local planning authority

Effectiveness of the planning system

Reputation of the local planning authority

8.3

8.2

8.1

5.8

5.8

5.4

LPA itself important to decision-making

Page 8: Designing the future planning system

Activity in London

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No. of major apps determined last year

Westminster ; 59

Tower Hamlets ; 46

Southwark ; 43

Camden ; 42

Hackney ; 42

Hounslow ; 41

Croydon ; 30

Lambeth ; 29

Greenwich ; 26

Newham ; 26Barnet ; 22

City of London ; 22

Islington ; 22

Kingston-upon-Thames ; 22

Merton ; 22

Brent ; 21

Wandsworth ; 21

Ealing ; 19

Hammersmith & Fulham ; 19

Havering ; 19

Bromley ; 18

Hillingdon ; 18

Bexley ; 17

Haringey ; 17

Harrow ; 16Barking & Dagenham ; 15

Enfield ; 15

Waltham Forest ; 15

Sutton ; 14

Redbridge ; 13

Kensington & Chelsea ; 11Lewisham ; 7

Richmond-upon-Thames ; 6

Total no. of Apps 775

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28% (on previous year)

Total number of major apps last year

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Percentage change in major applications 2011/12 to 2012/13

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Determination Time in London

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Major applications being determined 29% faster

201

201

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45

3

3

19

24

5

10

Submission-Validation Validation- Resolution Resolution- Determination

Weeks

34

24

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Validation–determination comparison

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Val to Det (weeks) (2011-2012) Val to Det (weeks) (2012-2013)

London Boroughs

Num

ber o

f Wee

ks

2012/13 24 Average wks

2011/12 34 Average wks

13 average weeks

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Certainty in London

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Yearly comparison of major application approval

50%

55%

60%

65%

70%

75%

80%

85%

90%

95%

100%

% of major apps approved 2011-12 % of major apps approved 2012-13Average Percentage 2011-12 Average percentage 2012-13

London Boroughs

Page 17: Designing the future planning system

Delegated vs. committee decisions last year

36% Delegated64% Commitee

Approved 69%

Refused 31%

Approved 89%

Refused 11%

Page 18: Designing the future planning system

Determination time vs. no. of major apps last year

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 7010

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

Camden

HounslowSouthwark

Westminster

Number of Major Apps.

Nu

mb

er o

f W

eeks

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Appeals allowed (average of all London boroughs)

2008-9 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-20130

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Number of appeals determined Percentage of appeals allowed

No

. of

ap

pe

als

de

term

ine

d

Pe

rce

nta

ge

s o

f a

pp

ea

ls a

llow

ed

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Manchester Metropolitan Area

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Manchester: total 389 major applications last year

Manch

ester C

ity

Traffo

rd

Stock

port

Wig

an

Old

ham

Bury

Bolton

Salford

Rochdale

Tamesid

e

95

47 4641

35 3329 28 27

8

Page 22: Designing the future planning system

Manchester approval percentage 2012-13

75%

80%

85%

90%

95%

100%100%

97% 96%

93%93%

91% 91% 91%

88%

85%

Manchester boroughs

93%Manchester average

82 % London average

Page 23: Designing the future planning system

Second Annual Planning Survey

Page 24: Designing the future planning system

Second Annual Planning SurveyAbout the survey

• Objective – to understand current views of the planning system and of recent and proposed changes

• Two surveys conducted over the summer:

‒ one of LPAs – 50 respondents

‒ one of applicants (either applicants or their advisers) – 144 respondents

• Only selected highlights today, full results to be published

• Selected figures from the first survey also included

• Main issues raised last year related to time, cost and certainty

Page 25: Designing the future planning system

Second Annual Planning SurveyGeneral views on time

• We asked the same question in 2012:

‒ 70% of applicants remained dissatisfied with how long applications take to reach a decision, down slightly from 75% in 2012

• Furthermore, significant divergence of opinion on how quickly LPAs process applications:

‒ 79% of Applicants disagreed with the statement that LPAs process applications speedily whereas 78% of LPAs agreed

Page 26: Designing the future planning system

Second Annual Planning SurveyApplicants’ views on cost

• We asked the same question in 2012:

‒ 63% of applicants remain dissatisfied with the cost of applications, down slightly from 68% in 2012

Page 27: Designing the future planning system

Second Annual Planning SurveyEffectiveness of developer and LPAs relationship

• 78% of LPAs deemed relationship to be quite effective and 6% very effective

• 30% of Applicants deemed relationship to be quite effective and 1% very effective

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Effect of Localism Act and NPPF on producing a leaner and faster planning system - % agree

LPAs Applicants0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

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Effect of Localism Act and NPPF on development activity

LPA Applicants0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

4% 9%

18%

29%

66%46%

8% 12%

4% 4%

Decreased a lot

Decreased a little

Neither

Increased a little

Increased a lot

Page 30: Designing the future planning system

Second Annual Planning SurveyEffect of further reforms

• Since last survey, two significant measures introduced:

• On Special Measures:

a) 47% of Applicants believe that they will improve LPA performance, 58% think it is fair and 61% think it is a positive move

b) From the LPAs however, 58% do not think it will improve performance, 66% do no think it is fair and 70% do not think it is a positive move

• On PPAs:

a) Of those who entered into PPAs only 24% of Applicants view the experience as positive (the same as in 2012), yet 62% of LPAs who have entered into one think the experience a positive one

Page 31: Designing the future planning system

GL Hearn view

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Are things really getting quicker?

• “Why have major applications dropped dramatically by 28% in London?”

• “And if major applications in London are being determined 29% quicker, why are applicants still so concerned?”

• “And furthermore, only 18% of LPAs and 9% of Applicants believe planning reforms have produced a faster and leaner system”

‒ Increased scrutiny has created unintended consequences

‒ Nature of pre-app has changed and its length increased

‒ A two-stage application process now evolving:

• ‘Informal’ pre-app stage: can be bloated, non-transparent and expensive

• The formal application stage: can still take 24 weeks (average), advice can be inconsistent, full fee still applies

‒ Need to focus on ‘whole-life’ of application

‒ Fundamentally is the application process too complex?

Page 33: Designing the future planning system

Can LPAs and Applicants work better together?

• A common purpose, enabling the right development to happen in the right locations

• Survey has shown again however that perspective of the two parties are very different

• Most striking perhaps is the difference between the perceived relationship:

‒ 69% of Applicants do not think Applicants and LPAs work together effectively, yet 84% of LPAs think they do

• Whilst regulatory role of LPA is understood, we really need to focus on creating a better partnership

Page 34: Designing the future planning system

glhearn.com

Page 35: Designing the future planning system

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Planning Reform - the journey continuesTony Thompson

Director, Department for Communities and Local Government

17 September 2013

The second annual planning survey

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The developer perspective: partnerships of the future – what works, and what doesn’tEmma Cariaga

Development Director, Land Securities

17 September 2013

The second annual planning survey

Page 37: Designing the future planning system

The Developer’s Perspective

Emma Cariaga, Development Director

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Land Securities portfolio

London/Retail Portfolio

Long term asset managers

25.6m sq,ft portfolio

2.5m sq.ft Development pipeline in London

Importance of functioning planning system

Page 39: Designing the future planning system

UK’s Planning History 2010-2013

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2010

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2011

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2012

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2013 – CIL watch

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Current position

Only 2% of LA’s consider communities benefit from development

Only 8% of LA’s think the Localism Bill & NPPF increased the number of decisions made locally

<20% of LA’s think the NPPF & Localism Bill has produced a faster & leaner planning system

(Source GL Hearn Annual Planning Survey)

Page 45: Designing the future planning system

Current position

Local Authorities

Budgetary pressures

Major change in burden of responsibility

Skills shortage

Investors

Reduced certainty of outcome = higher risk

Wide disparity of outcomes

Longer process

Communities

Lack of certainty

Significant input required – consultation fatigue…..

Silent majority often not heard

Page 46: Designing the future planning system

So now what?

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My vision for the Planning System – 2020

Development perceived as a force

for good

Replicate approach taken in cities

to suburban and rural areas with

strategic not detailed plans

Further deregulation of the process

to improve efficiencies

Page 48: Designing the future planning system

And in the mean time here’s for some quick wins….

A return to EZ’s for a finite period to encourage land zoning & simplified permissions to stimulate growth in areas of high demand

2yr grace period with no requirement for planning permission for any applications delivering 100% affordable housing or PRS, to help balance the housing supply in areas of high demand

Short term privatisation of determining large applications in return for a guaranteed decision in 6 months

Page 49: Designing the future planning system

Thank You

Page 50: Designing the future planning system

glhearn.com

The local authority perspective: how to make the best of the current environmentMike Kiely

Director of Planning & Building Control, London Borough of Croydon

17 September 2013

The second annual planning survey

Page 51: Designing the future planning system

glhearn.com

London: the GLA’s perspective on the results and how London can continue to thriveStewart Murray

Assistant Director of Planning for the Mayor of London

17 September 2013

The second annual planning survey

Page 52: Designing the future planning system

GL Hearn/BPF Research & Seminar

17 September 2013Stewart Murray, Assistant Director – PlanningEmail: [email protected];

Page 53: Designing the future planning system
Page 54: Designing the future planning system

Mayor ’s 2020 Vision

A popu la t ion exp los ion :8 .3m now ( *Census 2011)

9 .0m by 2020s10 .0m by 2030s

A d i re shor tage o f homes and aff ordab le homes

The most uncompromis ing g loba l economy ever

Page 55: Designing the future planning system

GLA Strategies & Timetable• Revised Early Minor Alterations to London Plan (REMA) –

Assembly Committee early Sept, published Autumn‘13• Mayor’s Housing Strategy - consultation draft October’13• New London Housing Funding prospectus – Late Nov’13• Growth Figures per borough/SHLAA, Further Alterations to

London Plan (FALP) consultation– Jan’14• London Plan EIP - Autumn ‘14• Publish London Plan – March’15

Page 56: Designing the future planning system

Further Alterations to the London Plan and the revised draft London Housing Strategy

Emerging policy changes

Page 57: Designing the future planning system

LONDON PLAN

A growing population – towards 10 million mega city

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London’s Future housing requirementsDepends on:

1. Household formation (CLG currently suggests c52,000 more households pa to 2021- GLA c41,000 but falling after 2021 – intend to use GLA estimates)

2. Rate backlog is addressed – suggest use life of plan to 2036 – need settled for SHMA

“At least 40,000 per year” in strategy – mustn’t pre-judge plan/SHLAA

Page 59: Designing the future planning system

London Housing supply

• Need a set number for London Plan – SHLAA early indications just over 40,000pa is possible

• How to handle any ‘gap’ between requirements and capacity? Opportunity Areas & Town Centres back-up capacity reservoir.

• An overall target for long-term covenanted PRS? – Could help support accelerated delivery of supply– Recognises tenure that houses 25% of London households

Page 60: Designing the future planning system

Housing densities

– scope for higher densities in town centres and Opportunity Areas – recognise importance of sustaining local character in suburbs

Page 61: Designing the future planning system

Housing Standards & Quality

• DCLG standards review

– London distinctiveness – Mayor’s Housing SPG?– Should we strongly maintain current position?

• Ambiguity in national consultation document means this could be seen as supporting Government position

• London’s distinct circumstances (scale of provision, densities) justifies maintaining London’s approach

– Mayor’s design standards will continue to apply to funded affordable housing and other housing investments

Page 62: Designing the future planning system

Strategic Large developments

• Emphasise importance to provision and potential for large scale sites, transport corridors and accelerated PRS development

• Key role of GLA-led Opportunity Area Planning Frameworks (OAPFs) in bringing forward capacity, e.g. Vauxhall Nine Elms Battersea (VNEB)

Page 63: Designing the future planning system

Old Oak Common – Super Interchange Station

Strategically located in West London on vast brownfield & rail land

High Speed 2 to the North

Crossrail to the East

High Speed to

the Continent

Crossrail to

MaidenheadGWML

to the West

Old Oak Common

EustonSt. Pancras

Stratford

Waterloo

Page 64: Designing the future planning system

Old Oak Common OAPF

Crossrail Depot

IEP Depot

Wormwood Scrubs

West London Opportunity Areas

Page 65: Designing the future planning system

Old Oak Common Opportunity Area

• OAPF draft consultation – now!• London’s 2nd MDC• 19,000 new homes• 90,000 new jobs• HS2 / Crossrail 1 Super interchange• Relieve Euston Station• Link North and Birmingham to West & East London avoiding

bottlenecks• Estuary Airport potential links• New Urban Quarter for West London• Canal-side community/Wormwood Scrubs open space

Page 66: Designing the future planning system

Old Oak CommonOpportunity Area Planning Framework

Aerial Old Oak Common with Indicative Masterplan

Page 67: Designing the future planning system

Mixed communities and affordable housing

Housing Strategy aiming for new approach, post 2015 Round:

• social rent/target rents debate• rented homes for working Londoners (PRS)• affordable home ownership (LCHO) - How to reflect in plan?

1. Maintain 60:40 split – learn from AR experience

2. Have overall affordable housing number, no split – maximises flexibility but would need legal view

3. Enshrine anew mix with evidence base: justify in terms of broader economic, resource, welfare factors

Page 68: Designing the future planning system

Existing stock and future investment

• Barriers to Delivery - translating approvals to completions: distinguish build out rates;

• Speculators/non-builders/land bankers (‘lose it or use it’);• Genuine barriers (planners et al?)

• Slowness of planning system and uncertainty (e.g. Shell & Smithfield Market call-ins)

• Clarify CIL: imposed after account taken of AH, Mayoral CIL and other policy costs (i.e. Nth Devon decision)

Page 69: Designing the future planning system

• Currently just for Crossrail

• Crossrail total cost £14.5 billion

• Mayor (£7.1bn), Govt.grant (£4.7bn), Business (Canary Wharf, BAA, City)

• Funding arrangements agreed by Mayor & Ministers

• £600m Development contributions

• £300m S.106 / Supplementary Planning Guidance

• £300m CIL

CIL in LondonCollection of the Mayoral CIL – One year on

Page 70: Designing the future planning system
Page 71: Designing the future planning system

CIL in LondonCollection of the Mayoral CIL – One year on

Page 72: Designing the future planning system

CIL in LondonCollection of the Mayoral CIL – One year on

Page 73: Designing the future planning system

Borough 2000 -2005

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013-August

Total 2000-2013 August

City of London 72 16 20 5 1 5 12

6 5

142

Barking & Dagenham 36 4 11 8 6 6 10

11 4

96Barnet 19 1 8 10 12 6 14 8 8 86Bexley 21 6 8 6 4 9 2 8 1 65Brent 31 3 3 8 9 9 7 12 5 87Bromley 54 6 3 5 5 6 4 9 2 94Camden 15 6 7 3 6 7 7 9 7 67Croydon 49 6 13 9 8 7 8 4 6 110Ealing 51 2 8 7 6 7 8 14 7 110Enfield 32 3 4 1 5 7 7 10 5 74Greenwich 52 12 28 13 5 11 17 20 7 165Hackney 38 10 7 7 13 7 9 4 9 104Hammersmith & Fulham 39 7 8 9 5 7 11

9 6

101Haringey 13 3 4 3 2 3 4 5 3 40Harrow 12 4 5 10 6 5 13 6 5 66Havering 38 7 2 5 13 3 13 8 3 92Hillingdon 72 12 15 23 15 9 10 19 11 186Hounslow 35 7 7 11 7 10 14 12 14 117Islington 21 5 13 5 9 9 6 5 5 78

Kensington & Chelsea 10 2 6 10 1 2 2

4 7

44Kingston upon Thames 19 0 4 5 2 1 1

3 1

36Lambeth 44 13 7 13 4 13 7 8 11 120Lewisham 26 4 9 7 3 7 8 2 3 69Merton 32 3 3 13 3 6 1 2 2 65Newham 74 19 28 20 16 30 20 14 3 224Redbridge 10 4 1 1 4 0 9 7 1 37Richmond upon Thames 24 3 4 6 1 1 4

0 4

47Southwark 82 21 13 20 15 12 13 10 7 193Sutton 11 3 7 7 4 5 2 3 1 43Tower Hamlets 129 36 41 47 30 23 33

20 16375

Waltham Forest 15 4 0 3 0 1 6

3 1

33Wandsworth 34 14 11 8 9 6 3

13 6104

Westminster 59 15 33 26 11 18 15

22 19218

Totals 1,269 261 341 334 240 258 300 290 195 3488

Table 1: Planning Applications Referred to the Mayor 2000 - 2013Source: GLA Planning Unit

Page 74: Designing the future planning system

Totals 1,269 261 341 334 240 258 300 290 195 3488

Borough 2000 -2005

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013-August

Total 2000-2013 August

Page 75: Designing the future planning system

Totals 272 109 77 65 26 26 21 47 59 702

Borough 2000 -2005

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013-August

Total 2000-2013 August

Page 76: Designing the future planning system

Mayor of London, GLA

Note: This is Boris Johnson!

Stewart MurrayAssistant Director –PlanningCity Hall, London SE1 2AA

Email: [email protected];

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DebateFacilitated by Liz Peace

Chief Executive, BPF

17 September 2013

The second annual planning survey

Page 78: Designing the future planning system

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Conclusions and next stepsLiz Peace

Chief Executive, BPF

17 September 2013

The second annual planning survey

Page 79: Designing the future planning system

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