Taiwan Integrated Research Programme on Climate Change Adaptation Technology,

TaiCCAT

Dec. 31, 2015

TaiCCAT

. . (2015)

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2011-2015

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VAVulnerability assessment

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EAEnvironmental

system analysis

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AGAdaptation governance

ICinterdisciplinary

coordination

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(2015)

http://www.taiccat.net/

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. . 2015 . 2014 . 2013 . 2012

https://www.facebook.com/taiccat/Facebook

http://140.121.161.45/envDB/index.htmTaiCCAT

http://sdl.ae.ntu.edu.tw/TaiCATS/

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Technology Service

Online Offline offline

http://sdl.ae.ntu.edu.tw/TaiCATS/

D-I-K-W

(Taiwan Climate Adaptation Technology Service, TaiCATS)

http://sdl.ae.ntu.edu.tw/TaiCATS/

. . :

. TAO (SCI) special issue: Climate Change Adaptation – Scientific evidence, assessment framework and decision-making

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6.1.2.31.2.3.4.54.5.6

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104

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103 TaiCCAT

104TaiCCAT

104 TaiCCAT

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103106

TAO (SCI) special issue: climate change adaptation - scientific evidence, assessment framework and decision-making

SCI TAO (the journal of Terrestrial, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences)

Climate Change Adaptation – Scientific evidence, assessment framework and decision-makingTaiCCATTaiCCAT

20 - Important date:

• May 01, 2015. • Oct. 31, 2015. • Mar. 31, 2016. • Sept. 01, 2016. TAO

Sept. 24, 25, 2015. @ NCUhttp://taiccat.wix.com/ccat2015http://www.taiccat.net/#!events/c1ulz

Keynote speech I : Study for climate change impact analysis in water related disasters

Mr. Yoichi Iwami, ICHARM, Japan

Keynote speech II : Climate change and international trade

Prof. Dabo Guan, University of East Anglia, UK

Keynote speech II : Extreme climate in urban areas: perspectives of participatory early warning and real time monitoring for flooding

Dr. Peter van der Keur, GEUS, Denmark

Presentation:

The long-term sea surface temperature change in vicinity of Taiwan and its possible impact on the biology resources

( )

Presentation:

The effect of urban development on urban heat island and regional precipitation pattern from ground based and satellite data

( )

Presentation:

Analyzing the relationship between urban development, rainfall conditions and flood occurrence

()

Presentation:

Landslide trend under extreme climate ( )Presentation:

Impact analysis of coastal disasters under climate change

( )

Presentation:

Impact on wetland biodiversity from potential sea-level rise in Tainan City

( )

Conclusion

The feasibility on the environmental potential index and value-added analysis using multidisciplinary approach in Tainan city

TaiCCATPresentation:

The Decision Supportive Tool for Climate Change Adaptation

( )

Presentation:-

Assessment of Flood Risk and Adaptation Strategy under Climate Change Impact

(

)

Presentation:

Effects of Rainfall and Flooding Events on Waterborne Diseases

( )

Presentation:

The cross-sectoral vulnerability assessment of food security under climate change

( )

Presentation:

A Framework for Assessing Risk of Climate Change on Coastal Ecosystems in Taiwan

( )

Presentation:

Assessing Water Resources Vulnerability and Resilience of Southern Taiwan in Changing Climate

( )

Conclusion

Presentation: -

Engaging stakeholders to assessing and enhancing adaptation capacity- The case of Tainan County

()

Presentation: -

Articulating a legal framework for climate change adaptation -- A Taiwan's perspective

( )

Presentation:

The application of land use simulation model on the climate change adaptation strategies

( )

( )

Presentation:

The establishment and application of community adaptation indices corresponding to flood and high temperature of climate change

( )

Presentation::

Unpacking the Co-production of Knowledge in Adaptation to Climate Change: The Role of Local Knowledge in a Coastal City – Tainan, Taiwan

( )

Presentation:

Flood resilient cities: using geodesign to support decision-making on climate change adaptation

()

Conclusion

TaiCCATOverview:

– TaiCCAT Developing climate change adaptation technology – lessons learned from the TaiCCAT project

( )

Presentation: –

The assessment of government policies on climate change adaptation in Taiwan – a pilot study of the Taiwan Climate Change Adaptation Performance Index (TCCAPI)Presentation:2011 2015 –

Research pattern of climate adaptation from 2011 to 2015 - a co-word based analysis

()

Closing ceremony:,

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. :

6.1.2.3

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l Drought Severity (SPI per event )�

l Drought Duration (months per event)�

Ø Trend�

Ø Trend�

Ø Trend�

(based on SPI) – Tainan City, 1960-2009

UHI & Fraction of total Rainfall�

Ø The results indicate that rainfall fraction of thunderstorm around the area of core urban is enhanced by the intense UHI effect�

1995 2012

1995 2011

Land use and land cover

Urban heat island intensity (related to urbanisation)

Aug. 1992

Aug. 2007

Aug. 2012

(e.g.,

)

dust storm�

biomass burning�

haze�

man-made pollution�

Taiwan related�

Other Anthropogenic Biomass Dust Mixture�

2010 2014

2010 2014

TOA BOA at the top of the atmosphere bottom of the atmosphere ATM atmosphere

TOA BOA (ATM)

TOA BOAATM Dust

( )

Landsat-8

DINEOF AVHRR

Data Interpolating Empirical Orthogonal Functions(DINEOF)

DINEOF [Ding et al. 2008]

longitude (E)

latit

ude

(N)

120 120.5 121 121.5 122

22

22.5

23

23.5

24

24.5

25

-30

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10

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30%

Regional rainfall change rate during El Nino Spring (Feb-Apr) comparing to the normal year (-0.5<NINO3.4< 0.5)

Lag-correla/onbetweenrainfallmodesandtheENSOandPDOindex

TCCIP

(1975-2008)

2001� 2004�

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Year� Overall accuracy

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2075-2099 mm 25,885,700m2

Positive (negative )values indicate the coastal erosion (deposition )

1918 2012

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(1980-1999)(2020-2039)

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(2020~2039) 10m3/m*sec

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Adapta2onPathway

4.Iden2fying/Assessing

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2.Assessing/AnalyzingCurrentRisk

1.Iden2fyingProblem/Objec2ve

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5.

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1.2

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2.3

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4.1

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5.1

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Data

Output

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AdaptSTEPS -

- (2012)

AdaptCloud -

AdaptSTEPSAdapCAB

AdaptCross - (Cross-sectoral System Dynamics Model, CSD Model)

Visual BasicCSD Model AdaptCross

VENSIM AdaptCrossAdaptCross

Water supplysub-system

Daily amount of publicwater supply in surface

water

Daily amount ofagricultural water supply

in surface water

Daily amount of publicwater supply in

groundwaterDaily amount of

agricultural water supplyin groundwater

Domestic waterdemand

Industrial waterdemand

Agriculturalwater demand

Land use

Active storagecapacity

Domestic waterquality

Leakage rate

Riverdischarge

Water storagefacilities

Diversioncapacity

Revenue waterratio

Soil type

Channellength

Channel waterconveyance losses

Flow release

Forestcoverage

Pumpingfacilities

Gross DomesticProduct (GDP)

Daily domestic waterconsumption per person

Non-tap waterwithdrawal

Airtemperature

Economicoutput value

Rainfall

Area of theindustrial zone

Irrigated area

Aquaculturewater

Crop outputvalue

Crop speciesLivestock

water

Discount watersupply

Water purificationcapacity

Urban sewagerecycling

Industrialwastewaterrecycling

Return flow

Population

Amount of alternativewater resources supply

Desalination

CSD Model

D-S-R

AdaptCross

AdaptCross VENSIM VENSIMAdaptCross

AdaptRanking -

AdaptRanking

AdaptScn -

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S4 ( )

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4.5.6

1:

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(

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-

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( )

Bottom up – Top down

-

( ) / ( ..)

/

(102-106 )

-

- (urban resilience):

(resilience) ( the capacity to )

(considering the current situations)

--

Walker and Salt, 2006UK Cabinet Office, 2012

(examining trends and future threats)

---

UK Cabinet Office, 2012Bouwer et al, 2010

(learning from previous experiences)

- Walker and Salt, 2006Hutter, 2011, Hutter et al., 2011, Hutter, 2010, Bernhard, 2010, van den Brink

(setting goals)

-

-

Godschalk, 2003, Fleischhauer, 2008, van den Brink et al., 2011, Gupta et al., 2010

(initiating actions)

------

Fleischhauer, 2008, Hutter, 2011, Hutter et al., 2011, Hutter, 2010, Bernhard, 2010

(involving the public)

--

Godschalk, 2003, Davoudi and Strange, 2009, UK Cabinet Office, 2012, Hutter, 2011, Hutter et al., 2011, Hutter, 2010,

Taipei

Tainan

Taipei Climate Change Adaptation Plan, 2012

44.95%

15.67%

6.85%

14.18%

18.34%

Disaster Infrastructure Water Resources

Land use Energy supply

and industry

Agricultural

production and

biodiversity

Health

Considering the current situation

Examining trends and future threats

Learning from previous experiences

Setting goals

Initiating actions

Involving the public

Tainan Climate Change Adaptation Plan, 2014

11.26%4.69%

21.79%43.79%

18.47%

Considering the current situation

Examining trends and future threats

Learning from previous experiences

Setting goals

Initiating actions

Involving the public

Disasters Infrastructure Water Resources

Land use Energy supply

and industry

Agricultural

production and

biodiversity

Health

Coastal zones判斷目前狀態

評估未來趨勢

從過去的經驗中學習

制定目標

落實行動

公共參與

Findings: -

-

Taipei Tainan

- (urban resilience):

:

( ) � Return period

450 years�Return period

200 years�Return period

100 years�Return period

50 years���� 0.120 (6500)� 0.119 (9500)� 0.120(11500)� 0.151(120000)��� 0.133(6500)� 0.133(9500)� 0.127(11500)� 0.185(120000)���� 0.138(6495)� 0.137(9487)� 0.129(11454)� 0.153(11913)���� 0.253(6500)� 0.253(9500)� 0.269(11500)� 0.347(120000)��� 0.275 (-)� 0.263(-)� 0.404(-)� -(-)�

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綠覆率 (RGC)

溼地面積 (AW)

山坡地開發面積比 (RDSL)

災害潛勢區內之開發面積 (ADAP)

指標類型 構面數量

因子數量

功能

土地使用調適能力評估指標

3 10 土地調適指標可用以規劃因應氣候變遷之土地使用調適策略與行動計畫，並有助於空間的設計、評估與分析。

區域調適能力指標

5 19 量化行政區之調適能力，評估社會經濟、基礎設施、制度、知識認知與生態等構面，可針對低調適能力區加強管理

社區調適能力指標

5 15 評估社區因應氣候變遷的調適能力

2020 2025 2030

2020 2025 2030

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Fire bureau

Mayor

Deputy Mayor

Councilor

Water Resources Bureau

Economic Development Bureau

Tech. Industrial Park

Agricultural Bureau

District office

Irrigation assoc.

Water Resource Agency

Council of Agriculture

Ministry of Economic

Six River Management OfficeSouthern Region Water Resources Office

Taiwan Water Corporation

Public Construction Commission

Southern Taiwan Science Park

Citizen

Construction sector

Agriculture

Industry

Fishery

Transportation Food

Environmental groups

Farmer's assoc.

Experts

:

Central Weather Bureau

Citizen

Construction and Planning Agency

Councilor

Deputy?Mayor

Directorate General of Highways

District office

Education Bureau

Environmental Protection Bureau

Executive Yuan

Experts

Fire bureau

Fishery

Industry

Legislator

Mayor

Ministry of Economic

Ministry of Education

President

Public Works Bureau

Six River Management Office

Transportation Bureau

Water Resource Agency

Water Resources Bureau

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1

2

3

4

5

•  •  •  • 

6

1

2

3

4

5

•  •  •  • 

6

3:

2009DPSIR

2 3

:

(bibliometric map)

(e.g., land use, assessment, tourism, heat islands)

: SCOUPS climate adaptation (11326)

bibliomatric map (44)

UNESCO-IHEGEUSIMPRESSIONS

UNESCO-IHEGEUSIMPRESSIONS

TaiCCAT�

IMPRESSIONS�

Tainan City�

Europe �

Dr. Harrison�

IMPRESSIONS

~ Climate change adaption for sustainable urban development (ClimUrban) The ClimUrban project (Climate change adaption for sustainable urban development) is a seed money project leading towards a project application to the new INTERREG Programme period 2014-2020 or other clients.

Memorandum of Understanding (MoU)

Project-led collaboration

-

WebGIS

TCCIP

WebGIS

Locational-oriented

( )

( ) (

)

 

IMPRESSIONS

( )

(maladaptation)

, TaiCCAT