DSD-INT 2016 Hydrodynamic modeling and resource-device suitability analysis of Northern Luzon - de Luna

Hydrodynamic modeling and resource-device

suitability analysis of Northern Luzon, Philippines

for tidal stream energy resource assessment

OLIVER DAN G. DE LUNA Training Center for Applied Geodesy and Photogrammetry

University of the Philippines, Diliman, Quezon City

[email protected]

Delft Software Days 2016 Delft, The Netherlands

November 1, 2016

1

BORACAY ISLAND BEACH 2

BORACAY ISLAND BEACH

3

CORON ISLAND

4

CORON ISLAND

5

MASUNGI GEORESERVE

6

MASUNGI GEORESERVE

7

DONSOL DIVING

8

DONSOL DIVING

9

PALAWAN ISLAND UNDERGROUND RIVER

10

11

MANILA WALLED CITY

12

MANILA BONIFACIO GLOBAL CITY

13

MANILA BONIFACIO GLOBAL CITY

14

15

16

The PHILIPPINES

7,100 islands

1,000 islands are populated

11 islands make up 95% of landmass

300,000 m2 land mass

36,289 km coastline

17

18

RENEWABLE ENERGY

IN THE PHILIPPINES

Oil Based 19%

Hydro 19%

Geothermal 10%

Coal 32%

New RE 5%

Natural Gas 15%

Installed Generating Capacity in 2015 (MW)

TOTAL

18,765

RE Total

6,330 (33.7%)

2015 Philippine Power Statistics

19

Total Power Generation in 2015 (GWh)

RE Total

20,963 (25.4%)

2015 Philippine Power Statistics

Oil Based 7%

Hydro 10%

Geothermal 13%

Coal 45%

Other RE (Wind, Solar,

Biomass) 2%

Natural Gas 23%

TOTAL

82,413

20

DOE Circular No. DC2015-07-0014

TARGET

15,304 MW RE resources in installed capacity by 2030

6,330 MW as of 2015

Circular signed June 26, 2015

21

Tidal Energy Potential Sites (Department of Energy)

1. Bohol/Talibon Strait

2. Basiao Channel

3. Surigao Strait

4. Gaboc Channel

5. Hinatuan Passage

6. San Bernardino Strait

7. Basilan Strait

8. San Juanico Strait

In the Philippines, efforts in tidal energy

assessment is in its pioneering stage.

22

Ocean energy technology readiness Lifted from IRENA August 2014 Report “Ocean Energy”

23

Tidal Current Energy Integrated Resource Assessment and Spatial Planning Tool

Training Center for Applied Geodesy and Photogrammetry MH 406 Melchor Hall, College of Engineering

University of the Philippines Diliman, Quezon City

Department of Science and Technology Philippine Council for Industry, Energy and Emerging Technology

for Research and Development (PCIEERD)

Republic of the Philippines

U.P. Marine Science Institute University of the Philippines Diliman, Quezon City

U.P. Department of Mechanical Engineering University of the Philippines Diliman, Quezon City

24

RESOURCE-DEVICE

SUITABILITY ANALYSIS

Environmental Impact

Assessment Protocol

SITE SUITABILITY

ANALYSIS

RESOURCE

ASSESSMENT Hydrodynamic Modeling

(Delft3D-FLOW)

WEB-GIS

TOOL

25

26

RESOURCE ASSESSMENT

Delft3D-FLOW SOFTWARE

GRID-GENERATION SOFTWARE (RGFGRID)

DEPTH-GENERATION SOFTWARE (QUICKIN)

TIDAL MODEL DRIVER SOFTWARE

Numerical Grid - Grid file (.grd) - Enclosure File (.enc)

Location Depth - xyz File (text file)

Bathymetry - Depth File (.dep)

Tidal Solution Database - Netcdf file (.nc)

Boundary Definition - Boundary Definition File (.bnd)

Boundary Conditions - B.C. File (.bca)

Observation Points - Observation File (.obs)

USER

Time Frame and Physical Parameters

IHO, IN-SITU

GEBCO

Regional Tidal Solution:

China Sea

Output Data File

Validation 27

Hydrodynamic Modeling

Grid Resolution: 1 km x 1 km

Data Resolution:

60 minutes Simulation Period:

1 year

LUZON

VISAYAS

MINDANAO

Palawan Island

28

-0.4

-0.3

-0.2

-0.1

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

-0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5

Wat

er L

evel

fro

m D

elft

3D

, m

Water Level from IHO Station, m

Nagabungan Iloco

R2 = 0.904364 RMSE = 0.0540

Delft3D IHO

29

-0.6

-0.4

-0.2

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

-0.6 -0.4 -0.2 0 0.2 0.4 0.6

Wat

er L

evel

fro

m D

elft

3D

, m


Musa Bay

R2 = 0.967227 RMSE = 0.0412

Delft3D IHO

30

-1

-0.8

-0.6

-0.4

-0.2

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

-1 -0.8 -0.6 -0.4 -0.2 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

Wat

er L

evel

fro

m D

elft

3D

, m


Port San Vicente

R2 = 0.942215 RMSE = 0.0845

Delft3D IHO

31

-1

-0.8

-0.6

-0.4

-0.2

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

-1 -0.8 -0.6 -0.4 -0.2 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

Wat

er L

evel

fro

m D

elft

3D

, m


Patunungan Bay

R2 = 0.972760 RMSE = 0.0612

Delft3D IHO

32

-1.1

-0.6

-0.1

0.4

0.9

-1.1 -0.6 -0.1 0.4 0.9

Wat

er L

evel

fro

m D

elft

3D

, m


Port Bicobian

R2 = 0.980530 RMSE = 0.0567

Delft3D IHO

33

-1.2

-0.7

-0.2

0.3

0.8

-1.2 -0.7 -0.2 0.3 0.8

Wat

er L

evel

fro

m D

elft

3D

, m


R2 = 0.963197 RMSE = 0.0612

34

35

Annual

Available Energy

Density Map

North Luzon

N. Mavudis Island

20.98o N, 121.90o E

1.82 GWh/m2

S.E. Dinem Island

20.62o N, 121.98o E

1.96 GWh/m2

S. Balintang Island

19.90o N, 122.15o E

1.87 GWh/m2 Luzon Strait #1

19.66o N, 121.47o E

2.60 GWh/m2

S. BALINTANG ISLAND

S.E. DINEM ISLAND

N. MAVUDIS ISLAND

LUZON STRAIT #1

,0.10

,0.12

,0.14

,0.16

,0.18

,0.20

,0.22

,0.24

0.5

0.55

0.6

0.65

0.7

0.75

0.8

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Mea

n S

pee

d (

m/s

)

,0.10

,0.12

,0.14

,0.16

,0.18

,0.20

,0.22

,0.24

0.5

0.55

0.6

0.65

0.7

0.75

0.8


Mea

n S

pee

d (

m/s

)

,0.10

,0.12

,0.14

,0.16

,0.18

,0.20

,0.22

,0.24

0.5

0.55

0.6

0.65

0.7

0.75

0.8


Ava

ilab

le E

ner

gy (

MW

h/s

qm

)

,0.10

,0.12

,0.14

,0.16

,0.18

,0.20

,0.22

,0.24

0.5

0.55

0.6

0.65

0.7

0.75

0.8


Ava

ilab

le E

ner

gy (

MW

h/s

qm

)

36

37

N N

N N

Site 1: Luzon Straight #1 Site 2: S.E. Dinem Island

Site 3: S. Balintang Island Site 4: N. Mavudis Island

1

2

3

4

38

39

RESOURCE-DEVICE

SUITABILITY ANALYSIS

HS100 (1000 kW) Hammerfest Strøm (Norway) [Axial Flow]

EnCurrent005 (5 kW) New Energy Corporation (Canada) [Cross-Flow] 40

Device Rated Power (kW) Rated Speed (m/s) Cut-in Speed (m/s) Cut-out Speed (m/s) Technology Developer*

HS1000 1,500 3.00 1.10 4.60 Hammerfest Strøm

AR1000 1,000 3.00 0.60 4.50 Atlantis Resources Corporation

MCTSeagen 2,500 3.00 0.70 4.00 Siemens/Marine Current Turbines

CorMat 500 3.00 1.00 3.50 Nautricity

EvopodE35 35 2.00 0.70 3.20 Oceanflow Energy Limited

EvopodE1000 1,000 4.00 0.70 4.20 Oceanflow Energy Limited

OpenCenter 250 3.00 0.70 4.00 OpenHydro

TocardoT100 43 2.00 0.40 4.00 Tocardo International BV

TocardoT200 87 2.00 0.40 4.00 Tocardo International BV

KPHS5mDia 85 3.00 0.70 4.00 Veradant Power, Inc.

KPHS10mDia 500 3.00 0.70 4.00 Veradant Power, Inc.

HyTide 500 3.00 1.00 5.00 Voith Hydro Ocean Current Technologies

SIT3m 70 4.00 0.90 6.75 Schottel Hydro



DeepGreen 500 2.00 0.50 4.00 Minesto AB

CC050A 125 3.00 1.00 4.10 Clean Current Power Systems, Inc.

ENCO25F4 25 3.00 1.50 4.00 New Energy Corporation, Inc.



*developers shortlisted by International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) [28] 41

1

2

3

4

42

𝐴𝐹 =𝑡𝑎𝑇

Availability Factor

43

1

2

3

4


𝐶𝐹 =𝐸𝑔

𝐸𝐶

Availability Factor

Capacity Factor

44

45

𝐶𝐹 =𝐸𝑔

𝐸𝐶

Capacity Factor

46

1

2

3

4


𝐶𝐹 =𝐸𝑔

𝐸𝐶

Availability Factor

Capacity Factor

47

Device Name Rated

Power (kW)

Rated Speed

(m/s)

Cut-in Speed

(m/s)

Cut-out

Speed (m/s)

Annual Energy

Yield (kWh) CF AF

Deep Green 500 2.00 0.50 4.00 577,104 13.14 % 65.78 %

TocardoT200 87 2.00 0.40 4.00 55,797 7.30 % 74.94 %

TocardoT100 43 2.00 0.40 4.00 27,177 7.20 % 74.94 %

Performance parameters of the top 3

devices for Luzon Strait #1

1

2

3

4

48

1

2

3

4

49

1

2

3

4

50

1

2

3

4

51

1

2

3

4

52

1

2

3

4

53

Site Device Name

Rated

Power

(kW)

Rated

Speed

(m/s)

Cut-in

Speed

(m/s)

Cut-out Speed

(m/s)

Annual

Energy Yield

(kWh)

CF AF

1

Deep Green 500 2.00 0.50 4.00 577,104 13.14 % 65.78 %

TocardoT200 87 2.00 0.40 4.00 55,797 7.30 % 74.94 %

TocardoT100 43 2.00 0.40 4.00 27,177 7.20 % 74.94 %

2

Deep Green 500 2.00 0.50 4.00 427,927 9.74 % 65.78 %

TocardoT200 87 2.00 0.40 4.00 42,176 7.30 % 74.94 %

TocardoT100 43 2.00 0.40 4.00 20,494 7.20 % 74.94 %

3

Deep Green 500 2.00 0.50 4.00 407,687 9.28% 58.04%

TocardoT200 87 2.00 0.40 4.00 40,144 5.25% 68.52%

TocardoT100 43 2.00 0.40 4.00 19,497 5.16% 68.52%

4

Deep Green 500 2.00 0.50 4.00 395,354 9.00% 59.38%

TocardoT200 87 2.00 0.40 4.00 39,066 5.11% 70.34%

TocardoT100 43 2.00 0.40 4.00 18,972 5.02% 70.34%

54

55

PROJECT PROGRESS

MODELING DOMAIN (11 Subdomains)

Total 74 IHO Stations

𝑅2 ≥ 0.90

- 39 Stations

0.80 ≤ 𝑅2 < 0.90

- 18 Stations

𝑅2 < 0.80

- 17 Stations

* For further

validation with in-situ

data measurements

56

RESOURCE ASSESSMENT

IN-SITU DATA MEASUREMENT 57

WEB-GIS TOOL

Monthly Site Power Graph

Site Velocity Histogram

58

Tidal Current Energy Integrated Resource Assessment and Spatial Planning Tool

Training Center for Applied Geodesy and Photogrammetry MH 406 Melchor Hall, College of Engineering

University of the Philippines Diliman, Quezon City

Department of Science and Technology Philippine Council for Industry, Energy and Emerging Technology

for Research and Development (PCIEERD)

Republic of the Philippines

U.P. Marine Science Institute University of the Philippines Diliman, Quezon City

U.P. Department of Mechanical Engineering University of the Philippines Diliman, Quezon City

59

60 THANK YOU