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By Heather McGray. Presented on Day Two of Transforming Transportation. Washington, D.C. January 15, 2010.
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Adaptation to Climate Change in Developing Countries
Heather McGrayWorld Resources Institute
Transforming Transportation 2010January 15, 2010
IADB, Washington, DC
Adaptation
• What is it?
• What does it mean for development?
• What does it mean for transport?
Copenhagen
• What happened?
• What does it mean for adaptation?
• Where do we go from here?
What is Adaptation?
• Adjustment in response to climate stimuli
• Moderates harm OR exploits opportunities
• May be anticipatory or reactive
(IPCC 2007)
What is Adaptation? (2)
• An ongoing process, NOT an endpoint
• Learning from experience
• Anticipating the future
• A set of capacities that fosters ongoing adjustment
What about adaptation and development?
Household Level Adaptation Practices
• Mobility • Storage• Diversification• Communal Pooling• Exchange
Source: Agrawal 2008
Adaptation Project Strategy Types
Source: McGray et al (2007), as modified by Hedger et al (2008)
0 100
x = the incremental benefit from a given activity due to climate change
Development – Adaptation Continuum
(The (Over-)Simplified Version)
Adaptation in the Transport Sector
Building capacities for:
• Assessment
• Prioritization
• Information Management
• Coordination
• Climate Risk Reduction
For additional information, see WRI’s “National Adaptive Capacity Framework” (2009): http://www.wri.org/project/vulnerability-and-adaptation/nac-framework
Copenhagen What happened?
• Negotiators did not reach closure.• Heads of state engaged deeply.• The Copenhagen Accord has uncertain
status.• We have a new system of
“internationalized domestic commitments.”
For additional reflections from WRI on what happened, please see http://www.wri.org/stories/2009/12/reflections-copenhagen-accord-and-way-forward
Copenhagen What does it mean for adaptation?
• Mitigation target: 2 degrees• Finance target: $15b/yr. in “quick-start”
finance• Finance target: Some portion of
$100b/year in long-term finance• Tremendous uncertainty about
operationalization• Need for building trust
Copenhagen Where do we go from here?
• Jan. 31 deadline for commitments.• Watch the US, EU on finance.• Growing need for good adaptation
action models.• Focus shifts to national governments,
smaller multi-lateral arenas.• Growing diversity of institutions
engaged.
Thank you!
Heather [email protected]