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BroadBand The State of The Nation Peter Cochrane COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s ca-global.org cochrane.org.uk Wednesday, 15 June 2011

Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

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FTTH cheaper than copper has been a reality since 1986, but not for the copper minds of the telco world. BPON, GPON and FTTC is the wrong solution, as is copper, but this is the love of those with a lifetime in the last mile. Sooner or later these people will retire, resign, fade away, and the world will move on!

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Page 1: Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

BroadBandThe State of The Nation

Peter Cochrane

COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s

ca-global.orgcochrane.org.uk

Wednesday, 15 June 2011

Page 2: Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

In the history of the human race it is hard to

think of a topic or a technology that has seen

so much debate, so many presentations, and an

industry so far behind the wave!

BroadBand

Wednesday, 15 June 2011

Page 3: Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

The death of a really dumb question ?

Why do people want ‘X’ Mbit/s at home and what will they do with it ?

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Page 4: Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

The death of an old model and way of thinking ?

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Page 5: Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

The death of an old model and way of thinking ?

★ Time, Distance, Bandwidth - are irrelevant

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The death of an old model and way of thinking ?

★ Time, Distance, Bandwidth - are irrelevant

★ Network optimisation - is the kiss of death

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Page 7: Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

The death of an old model and way of thinking ?

★ Time, Distance, Bandwidth - are irrelevant

★ Network optimisation - is the kiss of death

★ Limiting downloads - is plain dumb

Wednesday, 15 June 2011

Page 8: Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

The death of an old model and way of thinking ?

★ Time, Distance, Bandwidth - are irrelevant

★ Network optimisation - is the kiss of death

★ Limiting downloads - is plain dumb

★ Restricting access in any way - is even dumber

Wednesday, 15 June 2011

Page 9: Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

The death of an old model and way of thinking

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The death of an old model and way of thinking

★ Wasting bandwidth - is a positive act

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Page 11: Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

The death of an old model and way of thinking

★ Wasting bandwidth - is a positive act

★ 1M, 10M, 100M, 1G, 10G - cost the same

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Page 12: Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

The death of an old model and way of thinking

★ Wasting bandwidth - is a positive act

★ 1M, 10M, 100M, 1G, 10G - cost the same

★ Connectivity - outguns everything else

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The death of an old model and way of thinking

★ Wasting bandwidth - is a positive act

★ 1M, 10M, 100M, 1G, 10G - cost the same

★ Connectivity - outguns everything else

★ The money - is in services and the meta data

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Page 14: Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

A well established dependence !

The internet has evolved into the nervous

system of the planet in a way the telephone

network could could never do...

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Page 15: Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

Power ing the g loba l economy - heal th & wellbeing off nations

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Page 16: Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

We learn’t a lot from the root technology - but it cannot be extended to what we now need....

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Page 17: Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

A world with everything is on line - and the human race become insignificant communicators

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Global, local and transient clouds where people, things and networks are mobile, wireless - and spontaneous connections are the norm

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This is not a world that is asymmetric - it is a world where everyone and thing has a lot to say

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This is not a world that will accept delays and queueing - it has to be faster than the human

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Traffic jams & pile ups will kill commerce & progress - it will all grind to a halt

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Page 23: Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

★Bandwidth is our cheapest commodity

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Page 24: Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

★Bandwidth is our cheapest commodity

★Exploiting bandwidth reduces costs

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Page 25: Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

★Bandwidth is our cheapest commodity

★Exploiting bandwidth reduces costs

★Optical fibre is everywhere

Wednesday, 15 June 2011

Page 26: Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

★Bandwidth is our cheapest commodity

★Exploiting bandwidth reduces costs

★Optical fibre is everywhere

★Radio spectrum is effectively infinite

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Page 27: Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

★Bandwidth is our cheapest commodity

★Exploiting bandwidth reduces costs

★Optical fibre is everywhere

★Radio spectrum is effectively infinite

★We know how to do it

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★Bandwidth is our cheapest commodity

★Exploiting bandwidth reduces costs

★Optical fibre is everywhere

★Radio spectrum is effectively infinite

★We know how to do it

★There is an existence theorem!

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★Marketing and slight of hand is not the way

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★Marketing and slight of hand is not the way★Up to 20Mbit/s won’t cut the mustard

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★Marketing and slight of hand is not the way★Up to 20Mbit/s won’t cut the mustard★Copper has no part to play

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★Marketing and slight of hand is not the way★Up to 20Mbit/s won’t cut the mustard★Copper has no part to play★Business models have to change

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Page 34: Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

★Marketing and slight of hand is not the way★Up to 20Mbit/s won’t cut the mustard★Copper has no part to play★Business models have to change★The network industry has to change

Wednesday, 15 June 2011

Page 35: Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

★Marketing and slight of hand is not the way★Up to 20Mbit/s won’t cut the mustard★Copper has no part to play★Business models have to change★The network industry has to change★This is vital to the future of the nation

Wednesday, 15 June 2011

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★Marketing and slight of hand is not the way★Up to 20Mbit/s won’t cut the mustard★Copper has no part to play★Business models have to change★The network industry has to change★This is vital to the future of the nation★It is way beyond the bottom line of individuals...

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Actuality

Download

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Page 38: Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

Actuality

Download

When in the UK

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Page 39: Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

Actuality

When out of the UK

Download

When in the UK

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Page 40: Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

Actuality

When out of the UK

Download

When in the UK Global Average

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Page 41: Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

Actuality

Upload

Wednesday, 15 June 2011

Page 42: Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

Actuality

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When in the UK

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Page 43: Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

Actuality

When out of the UK

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When in the UK

Wednesday, 15 June 2011

Page 44: Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

Actuality

When out of the UK

Upload

When in the UK Global Average

Wednesday, 15 June 2011

Page 45: Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

Global Ranking

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Global Ranking

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Where is the UK?

Somewhere between 25 and 35 in the league table

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UK Ranking

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Wednesday, 15 June 2011

Page 49: Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

UK Ranking

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Wednesday, 15 June 2011

Page 50: Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

Report Card

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Report Card

COULD D

O MUCH BE

TTER !

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Page 52: Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

Where are we?

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Page 53: Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

Where are we?

★The planet is well fibred

★The UK is well fibred

★Long lines are all fibre

★Local loop is the last hurdle

★85% of the population live <1km from an optical fibre

★The lack of roll out is only in the mind and not the wallet

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Page 54: Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

“…can be almost impossible, and it is generally far easier to build a new one”

Changing an established company !

Niccolò Machiavelli 1469 - 1527

This is what you have

This is what you needWednesday, 15 June 2011

Page 55: Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

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★We have no national vision

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★We have no national vision

★We have no national plan

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★We have no national vision

★We have no national plan

★Our politicians don’t get it

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★We have no national vision

★We have no national plan

★Our politicians don’t get it

★Our companies are long established

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★We have no national vision

★We have no national plan

★Our politicians don’t get it

★Our companies are long established

★And so are the business and operational models

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★We have no national vision

★We have no national plan

★Our politicians don’t get it

★Our companies are long established

★And so are the business and operational models

★We may just have to wait for a generation to die!

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Page 62: Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

Clarity : An existence theorem

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★KIS - very simple

Clarity : An existence theorem

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★KIS - very simple★Stop buying telecom equipment

Clarity : An existence theorem

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★KIS - very simple★Stop buying telecom equipment★Adopt Gbit EtherNet

Clarity : An existence theorem

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★KIS - very simple★Stop buying telecom equipment★Adopt Gbit EtherNet★Direct Fibre

Clarity : An existence theorem

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★KIS - very simple★Stop buying telecom equipment★Adopt Gbit EtherNet★Direct Fibre★No Cabinets

Clarity : An existence theorem

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★KIS - very simple★Stop buying telecom equipment★Adopt Gbit EtherNet★Direct Fibre★No Cabinets★Exploit fibre span to reduce building stock

Clarity : An existence theorem

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★KIS - very simple★Stop buying telecom equipment★Adopt Gbit EtherNet★Direct Fibre★No Cabinets★Exploit fibre span to reduce building stock★Fibre from the periphery to the core

Clarity : An existence theorem

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Page 70: Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

★KIS - very simple★Stop buying telecom equipment★Adopt Gbit EtherNet★Direct Fibre★No Cabinets★Exploit fibre span to reduce building stock★Fibre from the periphery to the core★Stop installing in homes and offices

Clarity : An existence theorem

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Page 71: Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

★KIS - very simple★Stop buying telecom equipment★Adopt Gbit EtherNet★Direct Fibre★No Cabinets★Exploit fibre span to reduce building stock★Fibre from the periphery to the core★Stop installing in homes and offices★Encourage/reward home/office owner installation

Clarity : An existence theorem

Wednesday, 15 June 2011

Page 72: Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

★KIS - very simple★Stop buying telecom equipment★Adopt Gbit EtherNet★Direct Fibre★No Cabinets★Exploit fibre span to reduce building stock★Fibre from the periphery to the core★Stop installing in homes and offices★Encourage/reward home/office owner installation★Include wifi, 3G,4G,LTE (+) in fibre terminals

Clarity : An existence theorem

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Page 73: Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

★KIS - very simple★Stop buying telecom equipment★Adopt Gbit EtherNet★Direct Fibre★No Cabinets★Exploit fibre span to reduce building stock★Fibre from the periphery to the core★Stop installing in homes and offices★Encourage/reward home/office owner installation★Include wifi, 3G,4G,LTE (+) in fibre terminals★Leave RG45 ports open

Clarity : An existence theorem

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Page 74: Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

★KIS - very simple★Stop buying telecom equipment★Adopt Gbit EtherNet★Direct Fibre★No Cabinets★Exploit fibre span to reduce building stock★Fibre from the periphery to the core★Stop installing in homes and offices★Encourage/reward home/office owner installation★Include wifi, 3G,4G,LTE (+) in fibre terminals★Leave RG45 ports open★Close down the PSTN

Clarity : An existence theorem

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Page 75: Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

★KIS - very simple★Stop buying telecom equipment★Adopt Gbit EtherNet★Direct Fibre★No Cabinets★Exploit fibre span to reduce building stock★Fibre from the periphery to the core★Stop installing in homes and offices★Encourage/reward home/office owner installation★Include wifi, 3G,4G,LTE (+) in fibre terminals★Leave RG45 ports open★Close down the PSTN★Adopt a new business and operations plan

Clarity : An existence theorem

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★Recover lead, copper plastic cables

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★Recover lead, copper plastic cables

★Lease duct and building space

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★Recover lead, copper plastic cables

★Lease duct and building space

★Embrace your competitors

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★Recover lead, copper plastic cables

★Lease duct and building space

★Embrace your competitors

★Sell off unwanted sites

Wednesday, 15 June 2011

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★Recover lead, copper plastic cables

★Lease duct and building space

★Embrace your competitors

★Sell off unwanted sites

★Milk remaining assets

Wednesday, 15 June 2011

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★Recover lead, copper plastic cables

★Lease duct and building space

★Embrace your competitors

★Sell off unwanted sites

★Milk remaining assets

★Establish new relationships

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★Recover lead, copper plastic cables

★Lease duct and building space

★Embrace your competitors

★Sell off unwanted sites

★Milk remaining assets

★Establish new relationships

★Get out of Telco/Cablco mode and into www working

Wednesday, 15 June 2011

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★Recover lead, copper plastic cables

★Lease duct and building space

★Embrace your competitors

★Sell off unwanted sites

★Milk remaining assets

★Establish new relationships

★Get out of Telco/Cablco mode and into www working

★Be much more than a ‘bit pipe’ - just a utility

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Page 85: Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

Most importantly...

Do it fast !

Really fast !!Wednesday, 15 June 2011

Page 86: Broadband UK - The State of The Nation

Thank You

ca-global.orgcochrane.org.uk

COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s

Wednesday, 15 June 2011