SOUTH-SOUTH JURISDICTIONAL AND NESTED REDD+ EXCHANGE WORKSHOP

José Julián González Arenas

Thematic Coordinator Reference Levels Construction

IDEAM

June 13-15 de 2013 Manaus - Brazil

CONTENTS

General Institutional framework (and integration

with national processes).

Grandparenting of projects (and subnational jurisdictions in

future national frameworks).

Subnational (≈Jurisdictional) boundary definitions.

Reference Levels construction pilot in the northern

part of the Colombian Amazon:

General institutional

framework (and integration

with national processes)

Source: MADS, 2012.

Institutional Framework Climate Change Policy and REDD+

Colombian Climate Change Policy

Low Carbon Development Strategy Climate Change Adaptation National Plan

Financial strategy for Disasters protection

National REDD+ Strategy

Sectorial Mitigation actions

Adaptation based on Ecosystems

Sectorial / Territorials

Adaptation actions

Interoperability

Institutional Framework Climate Change Policy and REDD+

Subnational Reference Levels Areas

Source: MADS, 2012.

Recognizes regional differences that occur within the country

(deforestation, socio-economic and ecological dynamics)

National Carbon accounting

MRV Robust •National

•Regional

•Local (Community Based)

National Forest Inventory

- Permanent plot network for Carbon.

Reference levels

- Subnational reference levels development.

Starting implentation of Forest and

Carbon monitoring system for

Colombia.

Deforestation monitoring (1990-

2010-[2012])

Carbon Stocks estimation in

Natural forests (2010-[2012])

Advance level ¿What are our advances?

Conceptual and Geo-statistic

framework for NFI.

26 permanent plots for Carbon

monitoring.

Pilot study for Subnational

Reference levels development

(Northern Colombian Amazon).

Institutional Framework Climate Change Policy and REDD+

Reference Levels construction

pilot in the northern part of the

Colombian Amazon

Pilot area: Boundary definitions

Delimitation criteria:

¿What limit should be

used?

1. Municipality limit.

2. Indigenous people

reserves (Resguardos)

limits.

Total area: 7,608,757 ha

Forest area (2010): 5,201,388 ha

.

Subnational approach: Boundary definitions

Pros and Cons assessment of existing subnational boundaries

Evaluation criteria: number, aggregation potential, governance,

deforestation dynamics representativeness, perverse incentives

from carbon benefits, etc.

• CAR are legally constituted and part of

the national government (respond to

the Ministry of Environment).

• CAR limits mostly respond to

environmental/ecosystem patterns.

• Manageable number after CAR’s

aggregation (33 to 9) using subnational

Climate Change Nodes.

• Diminished risk of perverse incentives

derived from carbon benefits.

• Nested approach: Reference levels

will be established for each one of

the subnational areas and will

eventually integrate to a national

reference level. Priority to Amazon

region.

Subnational approach: Boundary definitions

Pilot area: Articulation with local REDD+ initiatives and

national monitoring systems

Articulation criteria:

¿How to articulate with

local and national

levels?

1. National Monitoring

System (≈MRV)

interoperability

(feedback between

levels)

2. Joint work with REDD+

initiatives (Methods,

data) and regionalized

modeling approach

(grandparenting

issues).

REFERENCE

LEVEL

DRIVERS

EMISSION/REMOVAL

FACTORS

ACTIVITY DATA

Pilot area: Methodological approach and MRV

articulation

Satellite imagery

processing and analysis

Biomass-Carbon plots

establishment

Drivers assessment

SPATIAL

DEFORESTATION

MODELLING/SIMULATION

HISTORIAL INFORMATION

FUTURE TRENDS

NATIONAL FOREST AND CARBON MONITORING SYSTEM (IDEAM)

NATIONAL AND SUBNATIONAL STUDIES

Pilot area: spatial simulation

(deforestation)

IDRISI - LCM DINAMICA

Prediction

2012

Landcover

2012

Landcover

2005

VALIDATION

Landcover

2000

TRAINING

Jurisdictional and

Nested REDD+ (JNR) –

Subnational level

REDD VM0015

(Pedroni 2011) –

Project level

PILOT

REFERENCE

LEVEL

METHODS

Harmonization exercise

SPECIFIC GENERAL

International guidelines and learned lessons

from other countries

INPUTS PROCEDURES

Pilot area: Methodological issues regarding

articulation with local initiatives

• Satellite imagery.

• baseline area boundaries definition.

• Types and carbon content of forests (tC ha-1).

• Definition of categories of use and land cover

(LULUCF classes).

• Classification of deforestation.

• Validation of land cover maps.

• Characterization of agents and drivers of

deforestation.

• Leakage assessment.

• Deforestation Projection.

Pilot area: Methodological issues regarding

articulation with local initiatives

Gra

nd

pa

ren

tin

g issu

es

• Scale interoperability and

accepted uncertainty in

validation assessment.

• Subnational leakage

assessment.

• Projection approach (historical

average vs. modeled

scenarios).

Next steps

• Defining other Reference Levels specific feedbacks with MRV and local

REDD+ Initiatives.

• Pilot results by July of 2013.

• Solve specific technical issues regarding modeling (including leakage)

and validation processes.

• Methodological approach and REL for the Amazonian subnational area

by January of 2014. Order of other areas to be defined by feasibility

study.

• Replicability assessment for the proposed methodological approach.

• Improve national technical capabilities in Reference Levels construction

and updating.

• Obtain additional funding for the REL of the rest of the subnational areas.

1. Memoria Técnica “Cuantificación de la tasa de

deforestación histórica nacional a escalas gruesa

y fina”

http://goo.gl/zLQUz

2. Protocolo de "Procesamiento Digital de

Imágenes, para la cuantificación de la

deforestación en Colombia. Nivel Nacional".

http://goo.gl/0YgFt

3. Protocolo de "Procesamiento Digital de

Imágenes de sensores remotos para la

cuantificación de la deforestación. Nivel

Subnacional".

http://goo.gl/kjhbv

Publications: Activity data

Publications: Emission/Removal factors

1. Estimación de las reservas potenciales de carbono

almacenadas en la biomasa aérea en los bosques naturales

de Colombia.

http://goo.gl/eORyh

2. Estimación de las reservas actuales (2010) de carbono

almacenadas en la biomasa aérea en los bosques naturales

de Colombia.

http://goo.gl/1q4WC

3. Selección y validación de modelos para la estimación de la

biomasa aérea en los bosques naturales de Colombia.

http://goo.gl/X1F1O

4. Protocolo para la estimación nacional y subnacional de

biomasa –carbono en Colombia.

http://goo.gl/1XrFl

5. Madera muerta: un reservorio de carbono de bosques

naturales de Colombia.

http://goo.gl/gEfr8

6. Estimación de las emisiones de dióxido de carbono

generadas por deforestación durante el período 2005-2010.

http://goo.gl/bKef8

Publications: Deforestation simulation,

Emission/Removal factors

"Análisis de tendencias y patrones espaciales de

deforestación en Colombia".

http://goo.gl/qTyN8

http://www.biogeosciences.net/9/2683/2012/bg-9-2683-

2012.pdf

“High-resolution mapping of forest carbon stocks in

the Colombian Amazon".

For more information:

jjgonzalez@ideam.gov.co

informacionredd@ideam.gov.co

! Thank you !