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CompTIA’s IT Industry Outlook 2013 provides an overview of the size, shape and growth factors of the information technology (IT) industry. The study consists of three sections, which can be viewed independently or together as chapters of a comprehensive report. The enclosed slides are a sampling of the content found in the report. Section 1: IT Industry Market and Workforce Overview Section 2: 2013 IT Industry Forecasts Section 3: 2013 IT Industry Trends
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IT Industry Outlook 2013
CompTIA Market Intelligence | January 29, 2013
IT Industry Business Confidence Unchanged Heading Into 2013; Outlook Slightly More Promising
Q3 '09
Q4 '09
Q1 '10
Q2 '10
Q3 '10
Q4 '10
Q1 '11
Q2 '11
Q3 '11
Q4 '11
Q1 '12
Q2 '12
Q3 '12
Q4 '12
Q1 '13
Forec
ast44.0
46.0
48.0
50.0
52.0
54.0
56.0
58.0
60.0
62.0
64.0
*6-month forecast
CompTIA’s IT Industry Business Confidence Index is calculated on a 100-point scale, using an aggregation of three metrics: 1). Opinions of the U.S. economy, 2). Opinions of the IT industry, and 3). Opinions of one’s company.
Source: CompTIA 2013 Outlook Study | Base: 518 executives at U.S. IT firms
U.S. Economy Component of Index Continues to Negatively Affect Sentiment
Q3 '09
Q4 '09
Q1 '10
Q2 '10
Q3 '10
Q4 '10
Q1 '11
Q2 '11
Q3 '11
Q4 '11
Q1 '12
Q2 '12
Q3 '12
Q4 '12
Q1 '13
Forec
ast36.0
40.0
44.0
48.0
52.0
56.0
60.0
64.0
68.0
72.0U.S. Economy IT Industry Your Firm
*6-month forecast
CompTIA’s IT Industry Business Confidence Index is calculated on a 100-point scale, using an aggregation of three metrics: 1). Opinions of the U.S. economy, 2). Opinions of the IT industry, and 3). Opinions of one’s company.
Source: CompTIA 2013 Outlook Study | Base: 518 executives at U.S. IT firms
Gap in Sentiment Between Micro-Size and Larger IT Firms Persists
53.0
57.3 57.6 59.8
57.9 56.0 55.9
57.9
Micro = Less than 10 employees Medium = 100 to 499 employeesSmall = 10 to 99 employees Large = 500+ employees
Source: CompTIA 2013 Outlook Study | Base: 518 executives at U.S. IT firms
Data depicts overall IT Industry Business Confidence
Even Under Pessimistic Scenario, Many Expect Positive IT Industry Growth
Midpoint = 0% growth-12% growth +12% growth
Shaded area = Optimistic scenario
Line = Pessimistic scenario
Optimistic scenario:90% NET positive growth forecast4% Flat growth forecast6% NET negative growth forecast
Pessimistic scenario:53% NET positive growth forecast16% Flat growth forecast31% NET negative growth forecast
U.S. IT Industry Revenue Forecast: Distribution of Opinions
Source: CompTIA 2013 Outlook Study | Base: 518 executives at U.S. IT firms
IT Firms Balance Cost Cutting, Staffing & Innovation
Capital expenditures (e.g. non technology)
Business travel
Staffing levels in non-technical positions
Marketing/advertising expenditures
Staff training or professional development
Cost cutting
Technology expenditures
Staffing levels in technical positions
Investments in new products or business lines
20%
27%
13%
14%
14%
7%
10%
12%
7%
61%
52%
61%
56%
55%
57%
52%
48%
51%
19%
21%
26%
31%
31%
36%
38%
40%
43%
Planned Increase
No Change
Planned Decrease
Expected change in spending/investment over next 6 months
Source: CompTIA 2013 Outlook Study | Base: 518 executives at U.S. IT firms
CompTIA Consensus IT Industry Growth Forecasts
2010 2011 2012 20130.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
Grow
th R
ate
Rang
e
2010 2011 2012 20130.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
Grow
th R
ate
Rang
e
Global IT Industry Revenue Forecast U.S. IT Industry Revenue Forecast2013 Optimistic projection: 5.2%2013 Pessimistic projection: 0.7%2013 Midpoint projection: 3.0%
2013 Optimistic projection: 4.9%2013 Pessimistic projection: 0.6%2013 Midpoint projection: 2.9%
Source: CompTIA 2013 Outlook Study | Base: 518 executives at U.S. IT firms
Some Threats Subside, but Fear of a Stalled Recovery and Weak Spending Continue to Worry Industry Executives
Weak export market
Disruptive technologies or business models
Access to credit/capital
Competition from overseas firms
Stock market volatility
Labor prices/availability of talent
Domestic competition
Lengthy sales cycles
IT industry squeezed by decreasing margins
Government regulation
Unexpected shock (e.g. fiscal cliff, oil price spike)
Weak consumer demand
Weak corporate demand
General lack of confidence/paralysis
Stalled recovery
9%
17%
25%
15%
25%
23%
18%
0%
32%
25%
25%
34%
32%
43%
52%
7%
11%
17%
17%
18%
19%
20%
24%
29%
30%
31%
32%
33%
37%
48%
20132012
Source: CompTIA 2013 Outlook Study | Base: 518 executives at U.S. IT firms
NA
Majority of Channel Expects to Undergo at Least a Moderate Degree of Business Transformation in 2013
Degree of Business Transformation Expected During 2013
High Degree
Moderate Degree
Low Degree
12%
52%
36%
Degree of Business Transformation Correlated
with Company Size
73% Large IT firms
73% Medium-size IT firms
63% Small IT firms
50% Micro-size IT firms
NET high + moderate business transformation
Source: CompTIA 2013 Outlook Study | Base: 518 executives at U.S. IT firms
IT Industry Employment vs. IT Occupation Employment
IT Industry Employment
IT Occupation Employment
Within the IT industry, there
are many IT occupations.
An estimated 5.0 million workers were employed in the U.S. information technology industry in 2012. This includes technical and non-technical positions.
An estimated 4.16 million workers were employed in core IT occupations, across the full spectrum of U.S. industry sectors and the government sector. This figure includes non-employers, such as the self-employed.
About this ResearchCompTIA’s IT Industry Outlook 2013 provides an overview of the size, shape and growth factors of the information technology (IT) industry. The study consists of three sections, which can be viewed independently or together as chapters of a comprehensive report. The enclosed slides are a sampling of the content found in the report. Section 1: IT Industry Market and Workforce OverviewSection 2: 2013 IT Industry ForecastsSection 3: 2013 IT Industry Trends This quantitative study consisted of an online survey fielded to IT industry executives and professionals during late December 2012. It was conducted as part of CompTIA’s quarterly IT Industry Business Confidence Index. A total of 518 IT industry companies participated in the survey, yielding an overall margin of sampling error at 95% confidence of +/- 4.4 percentage points. Sampling error is larger for subgroups of the data. As with any survey, sampling error is only one source of possible error. While non-sampling error cannot be accurately calculated, precautionary steps were taken in all phases of the survey design, collection and processing of the data to minimize its influence. CompTIA is responsible for all content contained in this series. Any questions regarding the study should be directed to CompTIA Market Intelligence staff at [email protected]. CompTIA is a member of the Marketing Research Association (MRA) and adheres to the MRA’s Code of Market Research Ethics and Standards.
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