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The mobile landscape has changed quite dramatically over the past few years, with the emergence of new mobile platforms and a significant shift toward open source in mobile technologies. What are the key economic drivers for this shift, and what are the lessons that can be learnt from the mobile industry's adoption of open source? This talk draws on Andrew's experiences as Open Source Manager for the LiMo Foundation. It looks at how and why open source has become commonplace in mobile platform development, and the advantages and pitfalls of using open source.
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The economics of innovationin mobile technologies
Transfer Summit, Oxford, 25 June 2010
twitter @savs
http://www.andrewsavory.com/blog/
Hi, I’m Andrew.
economics
innovation
mobile technologies
The dim & distant past
19982002 2006
2005 2007
1983
$
The future
Investment
Value Creation
We are here
The present
Reduced cost ofacquisition of software
Reduced cost ofaccess to innovation
Reduced cost ofownership of
software
3 Mobile OSS Economic Drivers
GeoClue
... collaboration with OSS projects for maintenance of community software ...
... reduced cost of ownership ...
Maintenance is the biggest cost in the TCO of Community Open Source Software
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ForkingUpstream open source
Internal “fork”
Product code
=
FAIL
S/W£10.5m
1™ White Paper
Mobile Open Source Economic Analysis
LiMo Foundation White PaperAugust 2009
™
Where an open mobile platform is already using key
open source projects of critical importance, there is direct economic value in
constructive engagement with the corresponding open
source communities.
blog.limofoundation.org/index.php/LiMo-Foundation/Mining-of-Open-Source-Code-to-Understand-the-Economics-of-Using-Open-Source-Within-Mobile.html
www.google.com/search?q=limo+blog+mal+economic+analysis
Upstream open source
Internal “fork”
Product code
“unleveraged potential”
Maintenance is the biggest cost in the TCO of Community Open Source Software...
contributeupstream
mergedownstream
Merge Never
Merge Late Contribute Late
Merge Early Contribute Later
Merge Early Contribute Early
$40m / 283 FTEs per year
$20m / 141 FTEs per year
$10m / 70 FTEs per year
$8.3m / 24 FTEs per year
Product development cycle approx 2 years
Cost of upstream resync
Time
Community open source development codeline
Software selection decision made at this point
Resync (merge) with upstream
MLCL
MECL
MN
With ME, the vendor’s internal dev branch is OSS
MECE Contribute upstream later
Product shipment made at this point
Closer integration with upstream innovation
Greater sophistication required to manage integration activity
Working with open source is a sophisticated supply chain management problem ...
... not rocket science.
(benevolent) dictator
technical steering group
committers
contributing developers
contributing users
users
evaluators
Meritocracy
Increasinginvolvement
The future
source: VisionMobilewww.visionmobile.com/blog/2010/06/lead-innovate-or-assemble-how-software-is-changing-the-macro-economics-of-mobile-handsets-2/
“the evolution of software has been anything but linear in the last two years; Google’s Android, an operating system that was greeted with skepticism in 2008 become a launchpad for just about everyone working within the mobile industry.”
Convergence
Platforms
http://www.flickr.com/photos/nielsvk/258859545/
Developers
Thank you!