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The Cows By TN

Final Project3

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Page 1: Final Project3

The CowsBy TN

Page 2: Final Project3

CowMilk

Boss of Milk-Cow Farm

All of the calculations base on TI-84 Plus

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After came back from the statistic class of Mr.K

He started gather the data about the milk of his cows in a month, and he made this table

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a/ Is the data approximates the normal distribution? Using the probabilities of the normal distribution.

b/ Mr.K makes a small party in his class. CowMilk decided that he will kill all of the cows which give him less than 50% of the normal milk to make the steaks and get milk from the cows which give him greater than 80% of the normal. What is the number of cows he will use?

C/ After the party, Cow Milk decided that he will buy a car which total cost 300 000$.He’s going to rent the money from the bank which give him 7.5% annually interest in 5 years, compound monthly. CowMilk is also going to, How much he can save in the total if CowMilk uses all the money from selling milk of the cows he has to pay the interest otherwise he pay exactly the number of payment monthly the bank will give him?

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Oki… lets start …..

Question a. “Is the data approximates the normal distribution? Using the probabilities of the normal distribution.”

1 σ

3 σ

Remember Standard Normal Distribution curve!

To determine . We need to imagine that the number of cow should lay on x-axis and the number of milk should lay on the y-axis

Number of Cow Number of

Milk

So….

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We need to calculate the mean(μ) and standard deviation (σ) base on the data of Milk and Cows !

To calculate mean and standard deviation, we can use the calculator:

List 2 List 1

We put the number of cow to List 2 and the number of Milk to List 1

Use 1-Var stats to calculate σ and μ:[stat] => CALC => 1-Var Stats => [ENTER]

And set up the screen like this …

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L1 L21-Var Stats

The number of Milk

Frequency ( the number of Cow)

And….ENTERWe will see on the main screen of the calculator:

σ

μFor convenient, we can save the result of μ and σ by use :[VARS] => Statistics… => =>[STO] => [ALPHA] => [M]( the divide key) => [ENTER]

,

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And now, we have mean and standard deviation, Lets calculate 1 σ , 2 σ, and 3σ

1-Standard deviation :

Max: + =20.7Min: - =17.12

So the Cows which give the milk between 17.12L and 20.7L .. uhmm lets count …There are 153 Cows

2-Standard deviation :

Max: + 2 =20.7Min: - 2 =17.12

3-Standard deviation :

Max: + 3 =20.7Min: - 3 =17.12

There are 193 Cows

There are 209 Cows

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After that, we change the number of Cows to %, because we want to compare with “68-95-99 rule”

1-Standard deviation : 2-Standard deviation : 3-Standard deviation :

153/209=73.2%

We know total of the Cows : 209 Cows

193/209=92.34% 209/209=100%

Base on “68-95-99 rule” the data approximates the normal distribution

To be..continue =>

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……Time to Party ^_^!

And now….

B/Mr.K makes a small party in his class. CowMilk decided that he will kill all of the cows which give him less than 50% of the normal milk to make the steaks and get milk from the cows which give him greater than 80% of the normal. What is the number of cows he will use?

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When solve any kind of this question, we usually need a GRAPH

Because we know that the data approximates the normal distribution (question a/) . We can make a graph

“…he will kill all of the cows which give him less than 50% of the normal milk… “

“…get milk from the cows which give him greater than 80% of the normal…”

The question give us the %, we need to change it to the z-score to put on the graph !

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To convert from % to Z-score, we use the calculator to convert : [2ND] => [VARS] => invNorm( => [ENTER]

And then put 0.80 (80%) => [ENTER]

The calculator will give us z-score of 0.80(80%) , this is 0.84162

0.84162

So on for 50% REMEMBER put invNorm(0.5) in the calculator

We will have z-score of 0.50(50%) = 0

0

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0.841620

“…get milk from the cows which give him greater than 80% of the normal…”

“…he will kill all of the cows which give him less than 50% of the normal milk… “

Look at the question

So, look at the graph, we will see the cows he will use

The Cows he will use

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Use this formula, we can calculate the volume of milk (X) at 2 points on the graph m

ean

Z-sc

ore

Volume of milk

We all know Z , , mean => we calculate X

X50 =18.913

X80 =20.41

And the pull out the table and…count

=> The number of the cows he use :8+11+21+45+18+8+8 =119 Cows

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Can I borrow 300 000$ to buy that

Car ?

Uhmmm…we offer the loan with 7.5% annually interest

for 5 years, compound monthly

Ok !!

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if I use all the money from selling milk of the cows I have, to pay the interest otherwise pay exactly the number of payment monthly the

bank will offer.

• Assume The amount of milk every month doesn’t change and 1L Milk =3$

HOW MUCH CAN I SAVE ?

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At first, he need to calculate the total amount of milk he have in 1 month : 48*19 + 42*20 + 18*21 + 8*22 + 8*23 = 2490 L (The rest were killed to make steak).

=> Total $/month = 2490L * 3$/L = $7470

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After that, he take his calculate and use TVM solve to calculate the monthly payment which can be offered by the bank:

TVM solve :[APPS] => Finance…=> TVM solve

=> payment/month =$ 6011.38

Total payment : $6011.38 * 60 = $360682.8

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If he use all of the money he have from selling the milk to pay for monthly payment , he must find how long it will take …

….so that, he also use TVM solve with PMT = $7410

Total amount : 46.82 * $7410 = $346936.2

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Consider 2 results, we can know the difference :

$360682.8 -346936.2 =$13749.6

SO…if he use all the money from selling the milk, he can make 46.8 ~ 47 payments ( 47/12 ~4 years) and save $13749.6 !!! He should do it.. I mean.. I should do it ^^