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.FREIGHT TRANSPORTATION
IN THE FUTURE SOME INDICATIONS
Per Olof Arnäs Chalmers University of Technology
@Dr_PO [email protected]
about.me/perolofarnas Slides: slideshare.net/poar
Horizon car by Shigeru Komatsuzaki
Doing some Sisyphus work by Kalexanderson on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA)
5 GLOBAL TRENDS
Source: PWC (google: pwc megatrends 2014)
Crowd by James Cridland on Flickr (CC-BY)
Megatrend #1
Demographic and social
change
Source: PWC (google: pwc megatrends 2014)
Four Storms And A Twister by JD Hancock on Flickr (CC-BY)
Megatrend #2
Shift in economic
powerSource: PWC (google: pwc megatrends 2014)
Boston Downtown at Night by Werner Kunz on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA)
Megatrend #3
Rapid urbanisation
Source: PWC (google: pwc megatrends 2014)
¡Rayos! by José Eugenio Gómez Rodríguez on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA)
Megatrend #4
Climate change and
resource scarcity
Source: PWC (google: pwc megatrends 2014)
Megatrend #5
Technological breakthroughs
Source: PWC (google: pwc megatrends 2014)
Demographic and social
change
Shift in economic
power
Rapid urbanisation
Technological breakthroughsClimate
change and resource scarcity
5 GLOBAL TRENDS
Things are happening outside the freight industry
(and have been for some time)
Things are happening outside the freight industry
(and have been for some time)
1957
Things are happening outside the freight industry
(and have been for some time)
Image: Richard Hancock, twitter.com/CanaryWorf
2015
355:365:2015BWH by hermitsmoores on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA)
Make analogue information digital
Digitization:
Mob
ile W
orld
Con
gres
s 201
6 by
Kār
lis D
ambrān
s on
Flic
kr (C
C-BY
)
Increased use of digital technology
Digitalization:
Mob
ile W
orld
Con
gres
s 201
6 by
Kār
lis D
ambrān
s on
Flic
kr (C
C-BY
)
Increased use of digital technology
Digitalization:
Make analogue information digital
Digitization:
Both are important! (and interesting)
Ominous Windmill by Conrad Kuiper on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA)
Digit(al)ization is not a trend
Ominous Windmill by Conrad Kuiper on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA)
Digit(al)ization is not a trend
It is a force of nature
We are in the middle of a
gigantic exponential
development curve
beginni
ng
A new global eco system where new types of, knowledge based,
industries compete with traditional ones
http://jaysimons.deviantart.com/art/Map-of-the-Internet-1-0-427143215
Gartners Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies
Augmenting humans with technology
Machines replacing humans
Humans and machines working
alongside each other
Machines better
understanding humans and
the environment
Humans better understanding
machines
Machines and humans
becoming smarter
Gartners Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies
Source: Gartner July 2015
Could affect transportation and logistics
Process improvement
Servic
e
developm
entInfrastructure
development
Customer controls last
mile
Faster and better
returns
Better delivery
experience
Secure identification on pickup/delivery
Distribution of food
Home delivery
Support companies that want to add E-commerce to their business
Collect-in-store
Local same-day delivery
Improved delivery note
Delivery and pickup during
weekends
Marketing of the E-channel
Sustainable and climate friendly
3PL targeted at E-commerce
Faster, more reliable and secure
deliveries in Europe
Better infrastructure on
consumer side
Better security
Source: Svensk Digital Handel 2014 Bo Zetterqvist
Areas of development for logistics companies in relation to e-commerce
Process improvement
Servic
e
developm
entInfrastructure
development
Customer controls last mile
Faster and better
returns
Better delivery
experience
Secure identification on pickup/delivery
Distribution of food
Home delivery
Support companies that want to add E-commerce to their business
Collect-in-store
Local same-day delivery
Improved delivery note
Delivery and pickup during
weekends
Marketing of the E-channel
Sustainable and climate
friendly
3PL targeted at E-commerce
Faster, more reliable and
secure deliveries in Europe
Better infrastructure on
consumer side
Better security
Source: Svensk Digital Handel 2014 Bo Zetterqvist
Areas of development for logistics companies in relation to e-commerce
Digital development
needed in freight
transport
Customer controls last mile
Faster and better
returns
Better delivery
experience
Secure identification
on pickup/delivery
Collect-in-store
Improved delivery note
Sustainable and climate
friendly3PL targeted at
E-commerce
Faster, more reliable and
secure deliveries in
Europe
Better security
Source: Svensk Digital Handel 2014 Bo Zetterqvist
Digital development needed in freight transport
Process improvement Use ICT to make the system more efficient
Real-time decision making, footprinting, better digital interaction between stakeholders
Service development Use ICT to create new services
Digital information enables new business models
Infrastructure development Use ICT to interact with infrastructure
Location Based Intelligence etc.
Business processes Infrastructure
Paper based Phone
Papers
Road signsAnalogue
tools
RDS
Monitor fuel
cosnumption
Digitalisation version 0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0
E-m
ail
Fax
TMS
-
systems
Excel
Route planning
GPS for n
avigatio
n
Electro
nically
genera
ted
freig
ht docum
ents
Barcodes
RFI
D-t
ags
Simple order handling
Advanced order handling
Open interface
Web
based UI
Platform based
systems
Hardw
are-
oriented
Data collection
systems
(prop
rietary)
Com
munication w
ith
vehicles
E-invoice
Web based
booking
Route optimisation
Th
e so
cia
l web
Open connectivity
Integrated
prognosis
Data collection
systems (open)
Tolling
systems
Webservices with
traffic data
Dyn
amic
ro
utin
g sy
stem
s
Pe
rform
an
ce
Ba
sed
ac
ce
ss
Pe
rfo
rma
nc
e
Ba
sed
ac
ce
ss
Mas
hups
Mul
tiple
dat
a so
urce
s
Pro
be
dat
a
Individual
routin
g
inform
ation
Platooning
PlatooningExceptions handling
Sm
art g
ood
s
Manual
Computers
Software
Functions
Dis
trib
uted
deci
sion
m
akin
g
Goods as bi-
directio
nal
hyperlink
Paper based
CC-BY Per Olof Arnäs, Chalmers
Goods VehicleBarcodes
RFIDSensors
ERP systemsTMS systems
E-invoicesCloudbased
services
Order handlingDriver supportVehicle economics
RDS-TMCRoad taxesActive traffic support
Predictive
maintenance
2014-10-15
Integration of digital and physical worlds
http://www.sygic.com/gps-navigation/addon/head-up-display
Say hi to the new sensors
http://mobsentech.com
”New” modes of transport
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=50sv4M4rgBMhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HG76DcXySuw
More automation
Strategic Tactical Operational Predictive
Time horizons
We are approaching this boundary
…and we are starting to move past it!
Real-time!
The Action of New York City by Trey Ratcliff on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA)
Real-time (data driven) decision making
Data collection Data processingData exploitation
http://mindconnect.se/http://waze.com
https://mydrive.tomtom.com/
The sharing economy hits freight transport (again and again…)
Bitcoin, bitcoin coin, physical bitcoin, bitcoin photo by Antana on Flickr (CC-BY,SA)
Bitcoin, bitcoin coin, physical bitcoin, bitcoin photo by Antana on Flickr (CC-BY,SA)
Block chain technology
Records transactions and data among actors that do not trust each other
Fully decentralized
https://news.bitcoin.com/nimber-disrupts-logistics-system-blockchain-matters/
http://www.economist.com/news/leaders/21677198-technology-behind-bitcoin-could-transform-how-economy-works-trust-machine
Bitcoin, bitcoin coin, physical bitcoin, bitcoin photo by Antana on Flickr (CC-BY,SA)
http://www.coindesk.com/how-bitcoins-technology-could-make-supply-chains-more-transparent/
https://news.bitcoin.com/future-use-cases-blockchain-technology-parcel-tracking-regardless-courier/
Block chain technology
Records transactions and data among actors that do not trust each other
Fully decentralized
Servitization
Move up in the value chain
Upgrade drop points
Consumer services
Expose data
Mall of Scandinavia
http://www.smartcompany.com.au/growth/innovation/41765-online-retailer-offers-a-courier-that-waits-at-your-door-fashion-advice-not-included.html
https://www.amazon.com/dashbutton
https://www.shyp.com
Curated services made possible with data
Mindconnect Sendify
FREIGHT TRANSPORTATION IN THE FUTURE
SOME INDICATIONS
Per Olof Arnäs Chalmers University of Technology
@Dr_PO [email protected]
about.me/perolofarnas Slides: slideshare.net/poar
Horizon car by Shigeru Komatsuzaki
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