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Financing Eco-refurbishment – a local authority solution June 2011 Christoph Harwood Marksman Consulting LLP

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Page 1: Fringe   carillion energy services

Financing Eco-refurbishment – a local authority solution

June 2011

Christoph HarwoodMarksman Consulting LLP

Page 2: Fringe   carillion energy services

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Local authority Green Deal options

Leave to central government and

the market

Carbon proactive

Minimalist

In house Work with private sector

Provide marketing support

Outsource to third party marketer

End to end in-house

model

Partnership with private sector finance and

delivery model

Jobs and creation of low carbon sector

*North London Sub-Regional Housing Stock Analysis and Business plan

Public Sector Development Company or Project*

First Loss Guarantee Fund*

Public Sector Ownership of Assets through SPV*

Public Sector Ownership of Assets on balance sheet*

Concept

Going live

Page 3: Fringe   carillion energy services

Birmingham City Council – Cabinet Decision 4th April 2011

1. Confirms its commitment to establish a transformational and pioneering public private partnership programme to improve the energy efficiency of 200,000 properties in Birmingham by 2026 by taking advantage of the Government’s Green Deal proposals.

2. Approves the plans for an initial Birmingham Energy Savers Phase 3 Pathfinder Programme for 15,000 properties with an initial scheme value of £100m.

3. Approves the commencement of a procurement process to select a delivery partner for this initial Birmingham Energy Savers Phase 3 Pathfinder Programme with an initial scheme value of £100m which includes the option to extend the scheme value up to £400m by 2020.

4. Approves the deployment of financial, legal, procurement and technical resources, including specialist external support and expertise to conduct the procurement with due diligence.

5. Notes that a further procurement exercise would be required to complete the full Birmingham Energy Savers Phase 3 Programme of 200,000 properties which will be subject of a future Cabinet report and Full Business Case.

Page 4: Fringe   carillion energy services

Changes to the energy efficiency sector

2011 2012 2013

Economic Activity

Warm front

CERT

CESP

Green Deal & ECO

Warm zones

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Financing offer to house owner

£5-10,000Ownership

• Generation and export FIT

• Potential for RHI

Free electricity (£100-200) pa

25 year Green Deal service charge

• Help with hard to treat

• Help with fuel poor

£8,000

Lower cost energy bills

Renewables with roof

rental

Energy efficiency with Green Deal

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Local Authority Operating Model

SPV

Green Deal Payments

Installation companies

Install and manage

ContractMarketing

PV Meter/deemed

Benefits

Finance

Payments

Other

BanksNon-recourse finance

Green Deal + FIT payments

Energy Companies

Hard to treat subsidy

Delivery PartnerContract

LAs

Buffer capital

PWLB

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Initial Local Authority Eco-refurbishment SPV

£25m

£100m

ECO

30%

70%

Local Authorities

Banks

7%

5-6%

Illustrative

£75m

Cost per house - £6-7kNumber of houses = 15,000

6.5%

£25m

£50m

Energy Companie

s

Long term fixed low cost finance

Write-off

Low cost buffer/ junior debt

Non-recourse private sector

Hard to treat

7.5-8.5%

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Working with other local authorities

£25m

£100m

ECO

Local Authorities

Banks

7%

5-6%

Illustrative

£75m7.2%

£25m

£50m

Energy Companie

s

Long term fixed low cost finance

Write-off

Low cost buffer/ Junior debt

Non-recourse private sector

Hard to treat& fuel poor

LA1 LA2

• Shared funding of junior debt • Rebalance for housing take up by LA area at regular periods or end of roll out• Bad debt allocated by LA area?• Shared but independent governance

Cost per house - £6-7kNumber of houses = 15,000

7.5-8.5%

Page 9: Fringe   carillion energy services

Green Deal LA consortium

Consortium

Delivery Partner

LA (2) LA (3)

LA (1)

Initial local authority set up consortium and commit to critical mass for delivery partner

£

LA (4)

£

LA (5)

£

LA (6)

Follow on local authorities join with their own pool of funds for their own housing on incremental cost basis

£

• Finance or underwrite start up costs

• Provide finance for critical mass required to deliver low costs and attract delivery partners

• Other local authorities act as “customer aggregator”

• Commitment to deliver volume• Penalty if not acheived

Page 10: Fringe   carillion energy services

Local Authority Green Deal Warehouse

Green Deal Warehouse

ABS

BCC

NCC

?

?

£3-500m

Benefits

• Size of first tranche of capital may less than £75m

• Project finance from banks may not be required

• Size of equity layer can be as low as 5%

Issues

• Need commitments collectively to reach £300m(tbc)

• Penalties if not achieved

• Passed back to LAs

• Need consistency across programmes

Uniformity requirement

Bank finance

GIB

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Summary

• Local authorities have core role to play

• Trusted by householders• Access to low cost finance• Fits with requirements on jobs, low carbon and fuel poverty

• Green Deal legislation is strong enabler

• Private sector finance does not seem to be available without public sector support – ie local authorities

• Private sector delivery sector is supportive

• Local authorities are taking the lead

• Birmingham and Newcastle have enabled the programme• Other UK local authorities are expected to follow• Consistency across LA programmes will reduce debt requirements, costs and

refinancing risks